SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Tower Heist to steal the box office

After going through years of development hell, the heist comedy Tower Heist [TWRHS] has finally come together at seemingly the right time. Ben Stiller [BSTIL] and Eddie Murphy [EMURP] topline the PG-13 rated film about the blue-collar employees of a high-rise condo that band together to steal money from the rich penthouse resident who had swindled away their pension. The concept and sentiment should resonant with moviegoers in today’s economic. Stiller already has a proven track record at the box office, while Murphy returns to playing a character similar to his popular 48 Hrs and Beverly Hills Cop. Directed by Brett Ratner [BRATN] known for delivering crowd-pleasers, Tower Heist looks to have all the ingredients for a winning formula. Occupying 3367 theaters, Tower Heist could stake out about $30 million.

Even if the East Coast weather had not taken a bite out of its debut, Puss in Boots [PUSNB] would still have had a hard time cracking $40 million. The animated film gets the family market all to itself for another weekend to show there’s still life in the Shrek spin-off. Puss in Boots looks to hold around 60% for a sophomore session around $20 million.

After first going to White Castle and then escaped from Guantanamo, John Cho [JCHO] and Kal Penn [KPENN] are back for A Very Harold and Kumar 3D Christmas [HAKU3]. Older but not necessarily wiser, the duo find themselves once again in marijuana-fueled R-rated hijinks, this time in 3D as shown to comedic effects in the trailers.   The previous installment Harold and Kumar Escape From Guantanomo Bay debuted to $14.9 million in 2008. Since then, Neil Patrick Harris [NPHAR] has gotten even more popular and Warner Bros. has wisely marketed him as the third star. Opening against Tower Heist shouldn’t be a concern for the young male target audience. Blazing into 2875 theaters, A Very Harold and Kumar 3D Christmas could toke $16 million.

Halloween didn’t save Paranormal Activity 3 [PNAC3] from shedding 65% during its second weekend. The rate of decay should improve slightly for the horror sequel to scare up another $7.5 million.

The sci-fi thriller In Time [NTIME] proved to be a hard sell. With word of mouth mixed, In Time looks to run down 50% to $6 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWRHS, BSTIL, EMURP, BRATN, PUSNB, JCHO, KPENN, HAKU3, NPHAR, PNAC3, NTIME

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 3, 2011 @ 04:34 PM 7438 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Abigail (ABGAL) 100000 30.54 (-0.69)          Challengers (CHALN) 100000 39.91 (+0.42)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 3326 286.44 (+1.27)          Abbey Lee (ABLEE) 25000 37.33 (+0.25)          Djimon Hounsou (DHOUN) 15200 67.17 (+0.10)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.27 (+1.38)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.27 (+1.38)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 4.21 (-0.23)          Jay Baruchel (JBARU) 25000 76.21 (-1.25)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 7.99 (0.00)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.44 (-1.60)          Talk 2 Me aka Talk to Me 2 (TLKT2) 50000 20.31 (-0.12)          The Long Game (TLNGM) 150000 3.88 (+0.08)          The Long Game (TLNGM) 150000 3.88 (+0.08)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 289 108.97 (0.00)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 2134 9.27 (+0.02)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 311 88.42 (+1.88)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 579 9.27 (+0.02)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 15200 39.75 (-0.09)          Blake Lively (BLIVE) 3200 39.75 (-0.09)          The Dead Don't Hurt (TDDH) 4400 2.24 (-0.03)          Daisy Edgar-Jones (DEDGA) 25000 79.30 (+0.25)          Paul Walter Hauser (PWHAU) 25000 52.73 (+0.80)          Diane Lane (DLANE) 25000 76.28 (+0.50)          Vanessa Hudgens (VHUDG) 25000 50.33 (+0.16)          Joe Pantoliano (JPANT) 25000 51.80 (0.00)          Will Ferrell (WFERR) 25000 114.29 (+1.00)          Alexander Ludwig (ALUDW) 13200 68.08 (+0.13)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.91 (+0.42)          Giovanni Ribisi (GRIBI) 25000 75.15 (0.00)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 40287 24.42 (-1.26)          Martin Lawrence (MLAWR) 25000 73.18 (+0.25)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 2 4.44 (-1.60)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 149998 22.06 (-0.57)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.06 (-0.57)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 41100 24.42 (-1.26)          Tiffany Haddish (THADD) 25000 29.33 (+0.25)          Kent State (KENTS) 150000 5.32 (+0.16)          Kent State (KENTS) 150000 5.32 (+0.16)          Will Patton (WPATT) 1 62.98 (0.00)          Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 150000 8.05 (+0.07)          Just Watch Me (JUSWM) 150000 8.05 (+0.07)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.96 (+0.35)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 3.96 (+0.35)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 20.05 (+0.59)          The Monkey (MONKY) 150000 20.05 (+0.59)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.27 (+1.38)          Star Trek Origin Story (TREK4) 14200 70.03 (+0.02)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 17.27 (+1.38)