SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: The Avengers casts over Dark Shadows.

Even The Dictator knew better than to deal with the second weekend of The Avengers [AVNGR] as the Sacha Baron Cohen film pushed its release date back until next week leaving Dark Shadows [DRKSH] as the sole new wide opener.  After shattering the opening weekend box office record, The Avengers has held up reasonably well during the weekdays.  The Avengers enjoys excellent word of mouth, which will attract moviegoers seeing these superheroes for the first time as well as bring repeat business. Much like Avatar, The Avengers has become a must-see event for those who want to stay cultural relevant. Amongst the superhero blockbusters that opened the first weekend in May, The Avengers' second weekend drop-off should be closer to the well-liked Spider-Man (-38%) and Iron Man (-48%), rather than the maligned Spider-Man 3 (-61%) and Iron Man 2 (-60%)  The Avengers looks to amass around $107 million and set another record for biggest second weekend ever.

Dark Shadows reunites Johnny Depp [JDEPP] with director Tim Burton [TBURT]. Their last collaboration Alice in Wonderland opened to $116 million in 2010, but that was a family-friendly 3D film based on a famous literary as well as Disney property. Dark Shadows is based on a 1960s TV series no one under 40 is familiar with. Warner Bros. was late in starting the marketing campaign and when the first trailer finally arrived, its offbeat humor divided opinions.  The PG-13 rated gothic comedy has received mixed reviews from critics, which may turn off older adults who actually remembered the original show.  Younger moviegoers are more likely to watch The Avengers again.  With Depp and Burton indulging in their weird kookiness, Dark Shadows looks to attract only their die-hard fans. Opening in 3755 theaters, Dark Shadows may suck in $32 million.

As for the rest of the box office, ahh who cares. Wink  Nothing else will make more than a few million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, DRKSH, JDEPP, TBURT

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 10, 2012 @ 03:10 PM 6571 views

Recent Comments

oozy
Friday, June 29 at 10:14 AM Pacific
How much profit will we make with devi on avengrs?



The History Of Sound (HISND) 150000 2.94 (+0.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 100000 9.82 (-0.18)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 100000 9.82 (-0.18)          War of the Worlds (WAROW) 149999 3.25 (-0.02)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 40000 4.31 (-1.09)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 25000 2.22 (+0.22)          Force of Nature: The Dry 2 (FNTUR) 150000 0.34 (-0.02)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 34.41 (+1.81)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 34.41 (+1.81)          Poolman (POOLM) 150000 1.40 (-0.02)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Wasp (TWASP) 125000 0.41 (-0.06)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 4.95 (+0.17)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 150000 4.95 (+0.17)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 25000 100.22 (+0.02)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Absence of Eden (KHGRD) 50000 0.36 (0.00)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 4.56 (+0.31)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 16.00 (0.00)          Monopoly (MONOP) 5000 15.41 (-0.06)          Anora (ANORA) 149999 4.56 (+0.31)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 25000 0.71 (+0.08)          Red One (REDON) 108194 81.02 (+0.11)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 4000 39.70 (+0.03)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 20.67 (-0.06)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 7.70 (-0.07)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 15.85 (-0.35)          Johnny Depp (JDEPP) 25000 81.19 (-0.25)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 5000 136.53 (+1.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 6200 131.54 (+0.46)          The Best Christmas Pageant Ever (TBCPE) 150000 27.06 (+0.13)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 14.73 (+1.84)          The Pack (TPACK) 150000 15.36 (+1.89)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 13350 46.49 (+0.39)          The Nickel Boys (NICKB) 25000 6.72 (-0.44)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 20000 41.69 (+1.23)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 34.41 (+1.81)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 12273 50.85 (+0.85)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 - Openi (STRN3.OW) 25000 9.82 (-0.18)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 84981 50.85 (+0.85)          IF (IMGNF) 10000 148.94 (+0.56)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 84981 50.85 (+0.85)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 150000 10.21 (+0.01)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 1373 50.85 (+0.85)          IF - Opening Weekend (IMGNF.OW) 1373 50.85 (+0.85)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 10000 36.24 (+0.43)