SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Spider-Man shoots for spectacular weekend

Despite three blockbuster Spider-Man movies since 2002, Sony decided to reboot the franchise with the fourth entry The Amazing Spider-Man [SPID4]. Andrew Garfield [AGARF] takes over the role of Peter Parker, while Emma Stone [ESTON] plays his high school sweetheart Gwen Stacy. Many have questioned the wisdom of another origin story so soon and wondered if moviegoers will turn out for what’s marketed as “the untold story”. Well, the mid-week turnout has allayed those fears. Opening on Tuesday ahead of the Fourth of July holiday, The Amazing Spider-Man has already banked $58.3 million in two days. Although Spider-Man 3 was the worst of the trilogy, the superhero remains popular with fans of all ages. The Amazing Spider-Man is the first installment to be in 3D, which will add a significant bump to the bottom line.  Swinging into 4318 theaters, The Amazing Spider-Man could spin about $67 million from Friday to Sunday.

Ted [TED] scored the highest R-rated opening ever for a non-sequel comedy. Great word of mouth should help broaden the audience to other demographics besides young males. Ted may decline 45% and finish second at around $30 million.

Magic Mike [MGCMK] brought out the ladies on opening night but has quickly tailed off. The exotic dancing revue could be stripped down 60% to $17 million.

The R-rated actioner Savages [SAVAG] stars Taylor Kitsch [TKITS] and Aaron Johnson [AJOHN] as marijuana entrepreneurs who fight back against a Mexican drug cartel that kidnapped their girlfriend, played by Blake Lively [BLIVE]. The young leading stars have yet to establish box office draw from young moviegoers. Despite heavy promotion from Universal, the film’s appeal looks to be limited to older guys familiar with the supporting cast and director Oliver Stone [OSTON]. Savages may earn $13 million from 2627 locations.

Katy Perry [KPERR] is the latest popstar to get a 3D concert movie. Paramount launched Justin Bieber: Never Say Never to a $29.5 million debut last year, and hopes Katy Perry: Part of Me [KP3D] gets the same love from young girls.  However, her older fanbase does not appear as rabid. Katy Perry: Part of Me opens a day early in 2730 theaters to get a jump on the weekend and could take in $10 million from Friday to Sunday.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): SPID4, AGARF, ESTON, TED, MGCMK, SAVAG, TKITS, AJOHN, BLIVE, OSTON, KPERR, KP3D

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 5, 2012 @ 02:52 PM 10451 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Levon's Trade (LEVON) 10000 21.14 (0.00)          Adria Arjona (AARJO) 25000 45.21 (0.00)          With Love (WOLOV) 20000 28.22 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 149997 132.27 (+1.19)          Asphalt City (BLKFL) 8000 0.71 (0.00)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 10000 59.45 (-0.07)          Hard Miles (HRDML) 7000 0.94 (+0.01)          Asphalt City (BLKFL) 8000 0.71 (0.00)          Problemista (PRBLM) 8000 2.55 (-0.05)          The Wind in the Willow (TWITW) 30000 3.03 (-0.03)          Beautiful Ruins (BTRUI) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 149999 17.27 (+0.01)          Hunters In The Dark (HNTRD) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 149999 9.33 (+0.01)          The Things They Carried (TTTHC) 30000 1.93 (0.00)          Red One (REDON) 10000 80.84 (-0.07)          Summer Camp (SUMCP) 149999 10.10 (-0.02)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 149999 7.86 (-0.03)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 5.83 (-0.10)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 20000 80.09 (-0.04)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 16.75 (-0.14)          Hello Kitty (HLOKT) 150000 16.75 (-0.14)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 14.61 (+1.72)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 2000 10.20 (0.00)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 14.61 (+1.72)          Clue (CLUE) 149999 18.15 (-0.05)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 2000 10.20 (0.00)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 10000 163.25 (+0.11)          Didi (DIDI) 2000 3.69 (-0.01)          My Old Ass (MOLAS) 10000 6.82 (0.00)          The Things They Carried (TTTHC) 30000 1.93 (0.00)          Joker: Folie à Deux (JOKE2) 31 266.06 (+0.93)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 30000 5.98 (0.00)          The Return (TRETU) 149999 7.68 (-0.09)          The Pack (TPACK) 150000 15.26 (+1.79)          The Pack (TPACK) 150000 15.26 (+1.79)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 74.23 (-1.00)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 74.23 (-1.00)          Better Man (BETRM) 10000 29.04 (-0.07)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 1000 8.86 (-0.08)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 34.20 (+1.60)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 149999 34.20 (+1.60)          The Six Billion Dollar Man (6MILL) 150000 21.27 (0.00)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 32.98 (+0.01)          Downton Abbey 3 (DWTA3) 15000 28.55 (+0.04)          The Smashing Machine (SMACH) 4000 17.27 (+0.01)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 20000 30.00 (-0.01)          The Haunting In Wicker Park aka (TRUEH) 30000 5.98 (0.00)          Transformers One (TFCYB) 30000 80.09 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 2000 132.27 (+1.19)