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Whisper Numbers: Will Planes reach Elysium?

As the summer movie season winds down, four new releases crowd into theaters this weekend led by the summer’s last Hollywood blockbuster hopeful. Four years after the low-budget District 9 opened to $37.4 million in 2009, director Neil Blomkamp [NBLOM] is back with his second feature Elysium [ELYSM]. The big-budget sci-fi film stars Matt Damon [MDAMO] as a dying man in a dystopian future where the wealthy 1% lives in a pristine space station above the poor 99% masses on a ruined earth. Original sci-fi films have taken a hit this year with the mild performances of Oblivion, After Earth and Pacific Rim.  Mixed reviews have put a damper on the Elysium buzz, but the goodwill from District 9 should still carry some cache from moviegoers. The R-rated Elysium could occupy $35 million from 3284 locations.

Originally a straight to home video from Walt Disney Animation, Planes [PLANE] fly into a marketplace crowded with family fares. Since it’s not produced by Pixar, Disney marketing has heavily emphasized “From above the world of Cars” to connect with that money-making franchise. Most parents will not notice the difference, though they do see a obvious cash grab when they see Planes. Cars 2 opened to $66 million two years ago, and Planes may at best to do half that. Swooping into 3702 theaters, Planes could land about $31 million.

Jennifer Aniston [JANIS] and Jason Sudeikis [JSUDE] star in the R-rated comedy We’re the Millers [WEMIL] about a fake family on a pretend vacation in order to smuggle marijuana from Mexico in a RV.  The trailers have been amusing and effective in conveying the original premise, while Aniston stripping down to her underwear should sell a few tickets. New Line got a head-start on the weekend with a Wednesday opening that netted $6.7 million. Crossing the border in 3260 theaters, We’re the Millers could bring back $21 million over the weekend.

Fox has finally produced Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters [PJAC2], the second chapter in its teen fantasy series. The first film Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief opened at $32.3 million, but that was three and a half years ago, an eternity compared to the spacing in Harry Potter and The Twilight Saga. Audiences may be fatigued by the glut of fantasy films based on young adult book series, leaving only the die-hard fans who haven’t out-grown the original. The PG-rated sequel opened on Wednesday earning $5.4 million. Over the weekend, Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters could secure $18 million from 2907 theaters.

Rounding out the top five, 2 Guns [2GUNS] should hold a bit better than 50% in its second weekend and draw another $14 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NBLOM, ELYSM, MDAMO, PLANE, JANIS, JSUDE, WEMIL, PJAC2, 2GUNS

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 8, 2013 @ 04:38 PM 2660 views

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The Fall Guy (FALGY) 20000 99.28 (-0.11)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 20000 136.77 (-0.61)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 20000 37.16 (-0.01)          Beautiful (BUTIF) 50000 12.76 (-0.02)          Challengers (CHALN) 11000 41.58 (-0.01)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 3.47 (-0.13)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 149999 3.47 (-0.13)          Tow (TOW) 150000 7.08 (-0.22)          Tow (TOW) 149999 7.08 (-0.22)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 4.72 (+0.39)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 149999 13.78 (+0.69)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 150000 13.78 (+0.69)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 149999 30.67 (+0.95)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 150000 30.67 (+0.95)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 6000 136.77 (-0.61)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 6999 163.86 (-0.06)          Legally Blonde 3 (BLON3) 20000 18.18 (0.00)          G.I. Joe sequel (GIJO4) 20000 25.36 (-0.01)          Distant (DISTN) 11000 11.46 (+0.02)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 21000 163.86 (-0.06)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 20000 41.64 (-0.07)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 1000 136.77 (-0.61)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 56000 0.12 (0.00)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 18000 46.67 (-0.02)          Janet Planet (JNTPL) 150000 2.79 (+0.02)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 20000 99.28 (-0.11)          A Quiet Place: Day One (AQPL3) 150000 132.01 (+0.45)          IF (IMGNF) 10000 147.61 (-0.02)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 900 136.77 (-0.61)          Fly Me to the Moon (PARTM) 150000 65.51 (+0.15)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZN) 30000 93.02 (-0.08)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 77000 136.77 (-0.61)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 26000 119.45 (+0.07)          Hit Man (HTMAN) 150000 1.79 (+0.02)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 30000 78.97 (-0.05)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 3000 300.39 (+0.25)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 147.61 (-0.02)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 5000 136.77 (-0.61)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 10000 136.77 (-0.61)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 150000 110.17 (0.00)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 10000 169.90 (-0.08)          IF (IMGNF) 10000 147.61 (-0.02)          Wicked (WICKD) 20000 161.96 (-0.04)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 900 13.78 (+0.69)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 4.72 (+0.39)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 4.72 (+0.39)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 7000 169.90 (-0.08)          Venom: The Last Dance aka Venom (VENM3) 17000 169.90 (-0.08)          Planes, Trains and Automobiles (PTAUT) 149999 13.78 (+0.69)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 1 5.28 (0.00)