SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Are the days of Saw dominance numbered?

The weekend before Halloween brings another edition in Lionsgate's money franchise, Saw VI [SAW6].  Whether you regard torture horror as trick or treat, the R-rated series have consistently delivered openings in the $30 million range.  However, the sequels have been trending downward, while Paranormal Activity [PNACT] provides direct competition this year.  Saw VI should still claim first place with about $26 million from 3036 theaters. 

Last weekend, Where the Wild Things Are [WILD] brought out fans of the children’s book young and old.  However, the PG-rated tale did not enjoy the typical Friday to Saturday bump of family films.   Mixed word of mouth could keep Where the Wild Things Are grounded in its second outing with a decline around 45% to $18 million.

After breaking out with nearly $20 million last weekend, Paranormal Activity more than doubles its theaters to 1945 this weekend. Although Saw VI poses as a strong challenge, buzz on the fresher fare Paranormal Activity remains high. The low budget horror film might gross out another $16 million.

The CG-animated Astro Boy [ASBOY] is based on the famous Japanese comics and TV series that introduced the world to anime back in the 1960s. The PG-rated film’s audience though appears to be limited to young boys and perhaps nostalgic older fans.  Blasting into 3014 theaters, Astro Boy could lift off with $12 million. 

Law Abiding Citizen [LACTZ] performed better than anyone anticipated in giving Overture its biggest hit.  The adult-targeted thriller should drop less than 50% to $11 million for its sophomore session.

Universal hopes to cash in on the vampire craze with Cirque du Freak: The Vampire’s Assistant [VAMPA].  However, moviegoers seem to see right through the attempt as buzz has been sorely lacking. Staked at 2754 locations, The Vampire’s Assistant could draw in around $9 million.

Hilary Swank [HSWAN] stars in the biographical drama Amelia [AMELA].  Fox Searchlight hopes to appeal to older adults, particularly women.  Unfortunately, reviews have mostly been negative on the Mira Nair [MNAIR] directed film. Flying in under the radar at just 818 theaters, Amelia may settle for about $5 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.

 



Tag(s): SAW6, PNACT, WILD, ASBOY, LACTZ, VAMPA, HSWAN, AMELA, MNAIR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 22, 2009 @ 03:59 PM 3214 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 100000 12.87 (-0.07)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 55000 55.84 (+2.09)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 4.42 (+0.05)          Anora (ANORA) 55000 3.67 (-0.15)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Train Dreams (TRDRM) 7 6.63 (-0.02)          Wicked Little Letters (WCKLL) 150000 3.89 (-0.18)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Monk and the Gun (TMATG) 150000 0.41 (-0.02)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 100000 255.54 (-0.75)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 4.42 (+0.05)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 150000 4.42 (+0.05)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 150000 54.94 (-0.05)          IF (IMGNF) 75000 147.89 (-1.70)          Popular Theory (POPTH) 150000 0.07 (+0.02)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 100005 133.13 (-1.73)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1841 60.00 (0.00)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 150000 15.94 (-0.19)          The Return (TRETU) 149999 3.77 (+0.49)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 0.82 (-0.18)          Drift (DRFT) 150000 0.50 (0.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 5.50 (-0.50)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 22.99 (-0.64)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 31.27 (-0.70)          Karate Kid (KKID2) 149999 102.46 (-1.74)          Aggro Dr1ft (AGROD) 150000 1.69 (-0.02)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 148159 60.00 (0.00)          Karate Kid (KKID2) 150000 102.46 (-1.74)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 100000 117.84 (-2.64)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Emilia Jones (EJONE) 25000 2.77 (+0.02)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 1.21 (+0.08)          Madden (MADEN) 2500 34.11 (+3.48)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 25000 20.54 (-0.21)          IF (IMGNF) 75000 147.89 (-1.70)          Nate Parker (NAPAR) 1995 23.93 (-0.37)          Nate Parker (NAPAR) 1995 23.93 (-0.37)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 30000 43.84 (-0.15)          The Man in My Basement (TMIMB) 150000 4.29 (-0.06)          Aang: The Last Airbender (ATLA1) 15000 43.84 (-0.15)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 15000 41.43 (-0.41)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 4000 117.84 (-2.64)          Play Dirty (PLDRT) 100000 24.45 (-0.08)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 149990 60.00 (0.00)          Play Dirty (PLDRT) 20000 24.45 (-0.08)          The Authority (AUTHO) 150000 46.46 (-0.35)          Rege-Jean Page (RPAGE) 25000 33.65 (+0.12)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 1.57 (-0.01)