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Whisper Numbers: Super Bowl won't deflate American Sniper

Will the biggest sporting and television event in America finally stop the momentum of American Sniper [AMSNP]? Hollywood is providing little competition this weekend against the box office phenomenon due to the Super Bowl.  After tearing through the $200 million marker, American Sniper has the $300 million goalpost clearly in sight. Even with the Super Bowl cutting into business on Sunday, American Sniper could still hold around 60% of last weekend to remain in first with around $40 million.

Paramount targets teenagers with the PG-13 rated Project Almanac [ALMNC]. The time travelling, found-footage film was originally scheduled for release last year under the title Welcome to Yesterday. The new title clearly mimics Project X, Warner Bros.’ found footage party film which opened to $21.0 million in March 2012. Earlier that same year, Fox’s found-footage sci-fi film Chronicle debuted with $22.0 million over Super Bowl weekend. However, the found-footage concept is no longer fresh today. Clocking in at 2893 theaters, Project Almanac could bring home $14.0 million.

After its decent opening last week, The Boy Next Door [BOYND] is likely drop 55% to about $6.5 million.

Kevin Costner [KCOST] stars in the PG-13 rated racial drama Black or White [BLKWH], which has received favorable reviews on a sensitive subject matter. Relativity targets older adults, but most are likely to just wait for it to reach the small screen. Costner’s starpower has diminished as Draft Day managed only a $9.8 million opening last year. Opening in1823 theaters, Black or White may divvy up $5.5 million.

Open Road has dusted off The Loft [TLOFT] from the shelf where it was previously dropped by both Warner Bros. and Universal. The R-rated thriller premiered its trailer just last month, and had little marketing outside targeted ad buys on cable TV during the last week. The Loft may post $3 million from 1841 locations.

After a month of successful platform release, A24 expands A Most Violent Year [AMVYR] wide into 818 theaters. Although the R-rated drama had excellent reviews, it failed to garner any Oscar nominations. A Most Violent Year could tally $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, ALMNC, BOYND, KCOST, BLKWH, TLOFT, AMVYR

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 29, 2015 @ 03:38 PM 1726 views

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Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 24999 52.27 (+2.41)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 57.21 (+2.41)          Challengers (CHALN) 25000 37.74 (-1.53)          Sound of Freedom aka Possum Trot (PSMTR) 5000 16.54 (+0.60)          Spawn (SPWN2) 137936 3.52 (+0.04)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 24999 48.44 (+3.07)          Jak and Daxter (JADAX) 29295 13.00 (+0.73)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 4000 250.11 (-1.00)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1 119.62 (+2.80)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 24997 57.21 (+2.41)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 149999 14.19 (+1.20)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 2082 290.08 (+3.64)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 25000 186.24 (+4.10)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 10000 8.84 (-0.04)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.25 (+1.25)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 10000 9.24 (-0.03)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 65.08 (+1.04)          Challengers (CHALN) 1 37.74 (-1.53)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 10000 9.28 (-0.02)          Breathe (BRETE) 1 2.51 (-0.01)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 75000 80.51 (+0.30)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 119.62 (+2.80)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 26.18 (-0.41)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 10000 51.88 (-0.18)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 57.21 (+2.41)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 57.21 (+2.41)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 15434 290.08 (+3.64)          White Bird (WHBRD) 10000 12.06 (-0.01)          Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 25000 52.27 (+2.41)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 25000 48.44 (+3.07)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 25000 48.44 (+3.07)          Devara Part 1 (DEVAR) 10000 6.40 (-0.02)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 25000 48.44 (+3.07)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 149999 11.25 (+1.25)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 25000 48.44 (+3.07)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 63021 290.08 (+3.64)          Piece by Piece (PCBPC) 10000 15.74 (-0.02)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 57.21 (+2.41)          Jared Harris (JHARR) 25000 34.13 (+0.12)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 30.57 (-0.29)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 25000 186.24 (+4.10)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 25000 48.44 (+3.07)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 150000 24.43 (+0.16)          Thandiwe Newton (TNEWT) 25000 48.44 (+3.07)          Nightbitch (NTBTC) 20000 9.24 (-0.03)          Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 25000 52.27 (+2.41)          Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 25000 52.27 (+2.41)          Terrifier 3 (TERF3) 20000 9.28 (-0.02)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 57.21 (+2.41)          Mads Mikkelsen (MMIKK) 25000 57.21 (+2.41)