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Whisper Numbers: Will The Martian overcome Gravity?

NASA announced the discovery of recent water on Mars this week just as The Martian [MARTN] arrives theaters. Fox can’t be any happier with the free publicity for their PG-13 rated sci-fi film.  Matt Damon [MDAMO] stars as an astronaut stranded on the red planet who must survive solely on his scientific knowledge. Damon played a similar role in Interstellar, which opened to $47.5 million last November, while Sandra Bullock's stranded-in-space flick Gravity set the October record two years ago at $55.8 million. Advance tickets sales are pacing ahead of Gravity. However, The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity. The film is highly anticipated by fans of the best-selling novel and the overwhelmingly positive reviews only build the buzz. If hurricane Joaquin doesn’t hit the East Coast, The Martian could land $58 million from 3826 locations.

Hotel Transylvania 2 [HTRN2] prove more popular than ever. Sony’s Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 declined 38% in its second weekend. A similar decay would put Hotel Transylvania 2 around $29 million.

Older women turned out for the comedy The Intern [INTRN] and should continue to do so. The Intern could hold 60% in its second weekend for $10.5 million.

After two weeks of limited release, Sicario [SICAR] expands wide into 2620 theaters. The R-rated crime drama about the border war on drugs has garnered critical acclaim. Though Lionsgate faces competition for the same audience from The Martian. Sicario may have to settle with $10 million.

Everest [EVRST] did not breakout in its wide expansion. With the loss of most IMAX screens to The Walk, Everest may descend to $6 million.

The Walk [TWALK] opened on 448 IMAX screens Wednesday and grossed just $0.24 million. The 1974-set film stars Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] as the real-life Frenchman who tightwalked across a wire strung between the Twin Towers. There’s little buzz as moviegoers appear uninterested in revisiting the CG site of the 9-11 tragedy. The Walk may reach $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MARTN, MDAMO, HTRN2, INTRN, SICAR, EVRST, TWALK, JGORD

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 1, 2015 @ 04:16 PM 3983 views

Recent Comments

Alby
Friday, October 2 at 21:16 PM Pacific
"The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity" I'm calling BS --- http://www.si.edu/imax/movie/205



Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 1000 389.23 (-0.25)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 4000 133.33 (-1.53)          Thanksgiving 2 (THNK2) 1111 22.57 (-0.06)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 40000 60.00 (0.00)          Gladiator II aka Gladiator 2 (GLAD2) 3000 169.56 (+0.56)          Challengers (CHALN) 30000 39.51 (-0.65)          One Punch Man (1PMAN) 149999 18.71 (-0.05)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1 60.00 (0.00)          Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (AGINA) 5000 55.38 (+0.20)          Eddington (EDNGT) 2 19.55 (+0.01)          Naruto (NARUT) 150000 41.81 (-0.12)          Sacramento (SACTO) 2 2.81 (0.00)          Nosferatu (NOSFR) 50000 20.91 (-0.04)          Eddington (EDNGT) 2 19.55 (+0.01)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 5000 9.95 (+0.04)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.57 (+0.29)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 1 2.99 (+0.01)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.57 (+0.29)          The Watchers (WATCS) 1000 37.03 (0.00)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Wolf Man aka The Wolfman (TWLFM) 4500 32.06 (-0.06)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 750 244.04 (+0.83)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Kinds of Kindness (AND) 1 17.64 (+0.01)          Gladiator II aka Gladiator 2 (GLAD2) 500 169.56 (+0.56)          The Wild Robot (TWRBT) 1110 68.53 (-0.20)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 33.32 (+2.69)          Superman (SUPRM) 1000 191.55 (0.00)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 500 38.85 (-0.19)          Untitled Trey Parker (UVCHA) 2 23.58 (+0.02)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Smile 2 aka Smiles (SMIL2) 1000 51.82 (0.00)          They Listen (THEYL) 50000 30.72 (+1.19)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 2 8.93 (+0.02)          Alien: Romulus (ALIE5) 1000 63.24 (-0.05)          They Listen (THEYL) 50000 30.72 (+1.19)          They Listen (THEYL) 50000 30.72 (+1.19)          Alien: Romulus (ALIE5) 1000 63.24 (-0.05)          They Listen (THEYL) 50000 30.72 (+1.19)          The Life of Chuck (LCHUC) 2 23.55 (+0.02)          They Listen (THEYL) 50000 30.72 (+1.19)          Gladiator II aka Gladiator 2 (GLAD2) 278 169.56 (+0.56)          They Listen (THEYL) 50000 30.72 (+1.19)          The Life of Chuck (LCHUC) 2 23.55 (+0.02)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 50000 110.51 (+2.40)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 50000 110.51 (+2.40)          Ezra (INAPB) 2 6.51 (+0.02)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 50000 110.51 (+2.40)