SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5409 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Wildcat (WLDCT) 150000 1.23 (0.00)          Alan Ritchson (ARITC) 24999 88.51 (+0.25)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 826 255.29 (-1.00)          Greta Lee (GLEE) 24999 70.51 (-0.75)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 24999 49.20 (+0.01)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 83.70 (-1.26)          Bill Skarsgard (BSKAR) 25000 83.70 (-1.26)          Dandelion (DNDLN) 150000 0.38 (-0.01)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 1 80.92 (-0.85)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 1 80.92 (-0.85)          The Wasp (TWASP) 150000 0.60 (+0.04)          NBC: Extended Family (EXTFAM) 25000 13.16 (+0.21)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 10000 111.32 (+3.21)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 25000 111.32 (+3.21)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 9 416.86 (-0.82)          NBC: Extended Family (EXTFAM) 25000 13.16 (+0.21)          Between the Temples (BTMPL) 1 1.32 (-0.04)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1 111.32 (+3.21)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 1 80.92 (-0.85)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 80.92 (-0.85)          Shang-Chi 2 (SHCH2) 150000 80.92 (-0.85)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The Fire Inside aka Flint Strong (FLNTS) 1 5.33 (-0.01)          The Fire Inside aka Flint Strong (FLNTS) 1 5.33 (-0.01)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 22.83 (-0.80)          Accidental Texan (ACTEX) 149999 1.29 (-0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 1 34.13 (+3.50)          Madden (MADEN) 1 34.13 (+3.50)          Horizon: An American Saga Chapte (HORZ2) 150000 62.94 (+0.39)          Humane (HUMNE) 150000 0.77 (+0.03)          The Long Game (TLNGM) 150000 3.80 (-0.05)          Wicked (WICKD) 98774 161.34 (-0.24)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 1 10.98 (-0.96)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 150000 9.96 (+0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 34.13 (+3.50)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 1 10.98 (-0.96)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 34.13 (+3.50)          Tarot (HRSCP) 3000 26.84 (-0.88)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.98 (-0.96)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 34.13 (+3.50)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 10.98 (-0.96)          Alto Knights aka Wise Guys (WISEG) 150000 27.86 (-0.28)          Challengers (CHALN) 10800 39.50 (-0.66)          Alto Knights aka Wise Guys (WISEG) 150000 27.86 (-0.28)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 18834 60.00 (0.00)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 13.46 (-0.14)          Tank Girl (TANKG) 150000 13.46 (-0.14)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 20000 8.52 (+1.29)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 2000 8.52 (+1.29)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 3200 60.00 (0.00)