SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 2871 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 4.52 (-1.52)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.00 (-0.07)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 1 5.80 (+0.08)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 1.84 (-0.06)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 149983 5.80 (+0.08)          Cuckoo (CUCKO) 150000 5.80 (+0.08)          Proxy (PROXY) 19 2.96 (+0.02)          Dark Slides aka Polaris (POLRS) 10 1.84 (+0.01)          Friday Night Lights (FRIN2) 19 2.10 (+0.03)          Francis and the Godfather (FGODF) 10 0.48 (0.00)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 1 11.22 (-0.12)          Fairyland (FARYL) 10 0.49 (+0.01)          Lobo (LOBO) 1 21.30 (-0.19)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 1 63.29 (+3.29)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 1 131.74 (-1.64)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 40000 22.06 (-0.57)          Lobo (LOBO) 150000 21.30 (-0.19)          Lobo (LOBO) 149999 21.30 (-0.19)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.41 (-0.08)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 131.74 (-1.64)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 149999 131.74 (-1.64)          The Incredible Hulk 2 (THLK2) 150000 49.49 (-0.40)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.00 (-0.07)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.00 (-0.07)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 100000 46.86 (+0.38)          Gundam (GUNDM) 20000 1.88 (0.00)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 1.84 (-0.06)          Greenhouse aka The Uninhabitable (GRENH) 50000 50.37 (-0.14)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 41.86 (-0.28)          Greedy People (GRDYP) 50000 5.33 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 154.51 (-1.21)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 18000 1.25 (+0.05)          Challengers (CHALN) 150000 39.41 (-0.08)          Glitter & Doom (GLTDM) 150000 0.16 (0.00)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 41.86 (-0.28)          Gambit (GAMBI) 40000 0.91 (-0.03)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 150000 154.51 (-1.21)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 50000 154.51 (-1.21)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 4.26 (-0.07)          Fruitcake (FRUTC) 150000 4.26 (-0.07)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 17000 40.26 (-1.17)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 25000 287.06 (+0.18)          Good Fortune (GDFRT) 10000 29.58 (-0.49)          Fly Me to the Moon (PARTM) 150000 65.10 (-0.21)          Fly Me to the Moon (PARTM) 150000 65.10 (-0.21)          Flash Gordon (FLSHG) 30000 2.98 (-0.01)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 10000 22.06 (-0.57)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 10000 22.06 (-0.57)          Challengers (CHALN) 24000 39.41 (-0.08)