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Whisper Numbers: Alice in Wonderland to trip up four new releases.

Moviegoers were apparently really starved for a new 3D film, especially a fresh spin on the classic story Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW] reuniting Tim Burton [TBURT] and Johnny Depp [JDEPP].  However, the fantasy film is unlikely to have the legs of its 3D predecessor, Avatar after its multiple record-breaking debut.  Alice in Wonderland could be headed for a tumble of more than 50% to come through its second weekend at about $54 million.

Matt Damon [MDAMO] reteams with director Paul Greengrass [PGREE] for the R-rated actioner Green Zone [GREZN]. Originally based on the non-fiction book "Imperial Life in the Emerald City" which explained how the U.S. bungled post-war Iraq, the film has instead been turned fictionalized into an American solider going rogue in search of the truth.  Since films about war and politics in the Middle East have not fared well at the box office, Universal has smartly marketed Green Zone like it was a Bourne sequel.  However, the R-rated film is still unlikely to recover its production cost of at least $140 million. Green Zone could dig up just $21 million from 3003 locations.  

The success of Knocked Up with its improbable coupling has inspired another nerdy-loser-gets-the-hot-girl movie in She’s Out of My League [SHOML]. The R-rated raunchy comedy hopes to appeal to the same young crowd drawn to I Love You, Man, which opened to $17.8 million last year.  However, the DreamWorks film lacks the star power of the typical Apatow film in this genre. Opening in 2956 theater, She’s Out of My League could score $13 million on its first date.

Summit will see if Twilight fans will follow Rob Pattinson [RPATT] to another film with Remember Me [REMBR].  The PG-13 rated romance is targeted strictly at ladies who swoon for the young heartthrob. Playing in 2212 theaters, Remember Me could tally $11 million in its debut.

Forest Whitaker [FWHIT] clashes cultures with Carlos Mencia [CMENC] in the PG-13 rated Our Family Wedding [FAMWD].  Also starring America Ferrera [AFERR], the interracial romantic comedy from Fox Searchlight film is aimed at the urban audience.  Stepping into 1605 theaters, Our Family Wedding could walk away with at least $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): ALCNW, TBURT, JDEPP, MDAMO, PGREE, GREZN, SHOML, RPATT, REMBR, FWHIT, CMENC, FAMWD, AFERR

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 11, 2010 @ 03:48 PM 4084 views

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CBS: Tracker (TRACKR) 25000 13.67 (-0.35)          CBS: Tracker (TRACKR) 25000 13.67 (-0.35)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          The One (THEON) 150000 11.91 (-0.10)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.13 (-0.10)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.13 (-0.10)          Naruto (NARUT) 150000 41.67 (-0.26)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 100000 46.86 (-0.77)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.OW) 100000 46.86 (-0.77)          East Bay (EASTB) 10000 0.88 (-0.12)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 32.75 (+2.12)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 25000 90.38 (+0.75)          Madden (MADEN) 10000 32.75 (+2.12)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 55.23 (+1.48)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.30 (+0.47)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 22.30 (+0.47)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 20.57 (-0.18)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 2495 60.00 (0.00)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 25000 90.38 (+0.75)          Thelma (THELM) 150000 3.45 (-0.03)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 150000 8.02 (+0.79)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 150000 8.02 (+0.79)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 25000 90.38 (+0.75)          John Cho (JCHO) 25000 12.00 (-0.10)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 25000 90.38 (+0.75)          Riff Raff (RIFRF) 150000 7.96 (-0.03)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Cleaner (CENER) 150000 19.37 (-0.14)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 150000 8.02 (+0.79)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 25000 90.38 (+0.75)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 150000 6.28 (-2.00)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 5.55 (-0.45)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 0.88 (-0.12)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 15000 23.79 (+0.08)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          Timothy Spall (TSPAL) 24994 4.29 (+0.09)          SNL 1975 aka The Wolverines (SNL75) 13247 29.46 (+0.04)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 99999 6.28 (-2.00)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4.CA) 25000 1.13 (-0.10)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 1 0.88 (-0.12)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.42 (+0.14)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.42 (+0.14)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 60.00 (0.00)          We Live in Time (WLITM) 150000 8.97 (+0.04)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 7500 117.87 (-2.61)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 20000 110.49 (+2.38)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 25000 144.15 (+0.66)