SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Cars 2 races for more money.

Although 2006’s Cars is generally considered one of Pixar’s lesser films, that didn’t stop Disney from producing the sequel Cars 2 [CARS2]. Cars is Disney’s most lucrative brand generating billions annually in merchandising. To keep that gravy train rolling, Lightning and Mater return for a new adventure that takes them around the world in a spy caper. Cars 2 is getting the worst reviews of any Pixar films, but that’s not gonna matter to boys who play with the toys. Though the G-rated film may not appeal to teens as well as adults who frequented previous Pixar offerings. Toy Story 3’s $110 million opening last year is out of reach, but the sequel should improve on Cars’ $60 million debut.   Cars 2 should appeal to enough families to drive away with $72 million from 4115 locations.

Sony hopes its R-rated comedy Bad Teacher [BDTCH] follows in the success of this summer’s Bridesmaids and The Hangover Part II. The cast of Cameron Diaz [CDIAZ], Jason Segel [JSEGE] and Justin Timberlake [JTIMB] are all likeable and each brings fans of their own. The trailers and TV spots have been funny, which should bring out moviegoers looking for a laugh. Opening in 3049 theaters, Bad Teacher could earn $24 million.

Green Lantern [GLANT] did not shine as bright as Warner Bros. hoped in its debut. With its opening weekend already frontloaded to Friday, the superhero film is not crossing over to a broader audience. Green Lantern looks to drop more than 55% to about $22 million.

The sci-fi film Super 8 [SUPR8] should be in line for another 60% hold this weekend, which would net another $13 million.

With competition for the family audience from Cars 2, Mr. Popper’s Penguins [POPNG] is likely to drop 50% to around $9 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): CARS2, BDTCH, CDIAZ, JSEGE, JTIMB, GLANT, SUPR8, POPNG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 23, 2011 @ 03:54 PM 6078 views

Recent Comments

ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:44 PM Pacific
it isn't often that i disagree with you and I have never posted any opposing remarks but I think you are nuts. Cars 2 is going to be huge. Likely not a TS3 but it should have no problems hitting $90M opening weekend. It has just barely been passed by t
ITGeek
Thursday, June 23 at 19:46 PM Pacific
oops... too many chars... TS3 merch sales barely passed Cars and with only one movie so far I think those sales have to be considered. If it makes less than $90M opening I will be shocked but only slightly surprised if it passes $110M.



Gremlins 3 (GREM3) 149997 0.63 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 3000 54.97 (-0.17)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 25000 20.85 (+0.18)          Your Monster (URMNS) 150000 2.19 (-0.04)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 7200 16.99 (-0.02)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 1000 16.99 (-0.02)          Coyote vs. ACME (CVACM) 2000 16.99 (-0.02)          Without Blood (WOBLD) 10000 11.92 (+0.02)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 21.59 (-1.12)          Cloverfield 2 (CLOV2) 3000 27.21 (0.00)          Boy Band (BOYBN) 2000 32.32 (-0.07)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 1200 19.89 (+0.16)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 3200 19.89 (+0.16)          A Life of Jesus (ALJES) 2000 19.89 (+0.16)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 2600 23.62 (-0.04)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 1000 23.62 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 116 118.62 (-11.77)          In the Blink of An Eye (IBOAE) 150000 11.91 (+0.69)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 3000 133.20 (+3.13)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 15000 133.20 (+3.13)          Tow (TOW) 30000 7.06 (+1.19)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 487 36.55 (+0.81)          Fuze (FUZE) 10000 15.30 (-0.70)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Ghostlight (GHSTL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          Fuze (FUZE) 5000 15.30 (-0.70)          Twilight of the Warriors: Walled (TOWWI) 150000 1.77 (-0.23)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 H$10 Ca (STRN3.CA) 25000 2.26 (+0.01)          IF H$50 Call (IMGNF.CA) 25000 2.75 (+0.20)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.62 (-11.77)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 5.32 (+0.48)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 118.62 (-11.77)          Ghostlight (GHSTL) 150000 2.00 (0.00)          The Forge (TFORG) 1 17.97 (0.00)          Monopoly (MONOP) 10000 15.20 (-0.14)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 24.39 (-0.43)          Back to Black - Opening Weekend (BTBLK.OW) 100000 5.32 (+0.48)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 18.42 (+2.62)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 18.42 (+2.62)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 9200 18.42 (+2.62)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 24.39 (-0.43)          Tow (TOW) 30000 7.06 (+1.19)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 75000 118.62 (-11.77)          Housekeeping for Beginners (HKFBG) 150000 0.53 (+0.06)          The Forge (TFORG) 1 17.97 (0.00)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 4000 37.93 (+1.19)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 7.42 (-0.39)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 5000 37.93 (+1.19)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 6000 37.93 (+1.19)