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Whisper Numbers: Will Argo rise to the top?

The weekend before Halloween brings four new wide releases, but many moviegoers will be partying in costumes rather than visit the multiplexes. Warner Bros. targets older adults with the sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] directed by the Wachowskis [WACHO] and Tom Tykwer [TTYKW]. The R-rated epic features time-spanning storylines that inter-connect with an all-star cast playing multiple characters lead by Tom Hanks [THANK] and Halle Berry [HBERR]. Despite mostly positive reviews, the ambitious film at nearly 3 hours long may not appeal to a broad audience and attract just sci-fi fans Breaking into 2008 theaters, Cloud Atlas may book around $14 million.

After declining a miniscule 15% in its second weekend, Argo [ARGO] could retain 80% during its third outing for $13 million, which could be enough to finish in first place should the new releases falter.

Silent Hill: Revelation [SHIL2] arrives six years after the release of the first Silent Hill which Sony opened to $20.2 million. The R-rated horror sequel is distributed by Open Roads, and features a couple of new young faces in the lead. Although Silent Hill is based on a videogame series, its best-selling days are in the past, unlike the still popular Resident Evil series. Stepping into 2933 theaters, Silent Hill: Revelation could survive with $12 million.

Paranormal Activity 4 [PNAC4] was down sharply from the previous installment. With horror fans tired of the series and partying for Halloween this weekend, the sequel looks to drop more than 60% to $11 million.

Victoria Justice [VJUST] and Jane Levy [JLEVY] star in the Halloween comedy Fun Size [FUNSZ]. The PG-13 rated film presents a trick or treat dilemma for moviegoers. The film might be too tame for teens, while too for parents with young children. Paramount may have to settle for an audience of tween girls, who could be finicky in their fandom support. Hitting 3014 locations, Fun Size could score $8.5 million.

Gerard Butler [GBUTL] stars in the biographical drama Chasing Mavericks [MVRCK] about the late surfing legend Jay Moriarty. Fox has barely marketed the PG rated film, which looks to wash out with $5 million from 2002 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CLATL, WACHO, TTYKW, THANK, HBERR, ARGO, SHIL2, PNAC4, VJUST, JLEVY, FUNSZ, GBUTL, MVRCK

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 25, 2012 @ 03:46 PM 5908 views

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Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 149999 135.05 (+0.35)          Unsung Hero - Opening Weekend (UNSUN.OW) 100000 8.73 (-0.26)          Uncharted 2 (UNCH2) 50000 33.31 (+0.06)          Aladdin 2 (ALAD2) 50000 37.66 (+0.03)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 149999 175.42 (+0.33)          Tron: Ares (TRON3) 29000 81.75 (-0.13)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 150.51 (+0.13)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 2000 118.78 (-0.20)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 1 122.27 (-1.75)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 1 133.81 (+1.63)          Boy Kills World (BOYKW) 15000 8.53 (+1.12)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.52 (+1.58)          Madden (MADEN) 100000 29.69 (+3.77)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 1000 135.05 (+0.35)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 25000 12.52 (+1.58)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Abigail (ABGAL) 150000 31.71 (+0.39)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 29.69 (+3.77)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 10000 169.71 (+0.06)          Anora (ANORA) 150000 4.13 (+0.77)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 44000 31.86 (-0.07)          Avengers 5 (AVNG5) 50000 346.98 (-0.64)          Zatanna (ZATAN) 150000 10.29 (-0.06)          Avatar 3 (AVAT3) 15000 415.39 (+2.23)          Despicable Me 4 (DESM4) 50000 230.67 (+0.83)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 29.69 (+3.77)          Madden (MADEN) 50000 29.69 (+3.77)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 2000 202.96 (+0.02)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 100 254.74 (-1.14)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 50000 156.28 (-0.94)          Unsung Hero H$10 Put (UNSUN.PU) 24999 3.47 (+0.24)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 990 122.27 (-1.75)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 29000 31.86 (-0.07)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 10 156.28 (-0.94)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 10 133.81 (+1.63)          Madden (MADEN) 55000 29.69 (+3.77)          Harold and the Purple Crayon (HATPC) 35000 31.86 (-0.07)          The Bramford aka Apartment 7A (APT7A) 150000 11.41 (-0.10)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.28 (-0.09)          Separate Rooms (SEPRM) 150000 6.00 (0.00)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 50000 390.67 (-0.60)          Blade (BLAD1) 29000 113.93 (-0.17)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 3.28 (-0.09)          East Bay (EASTB) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 150000 54.14 (-0.26)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 29000 39.36 (-0.20)          Clue (CLUE) 149999 17.41 (-0.98)