SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will fanboys beat Grown Ups?

Two new contenders will enter the box office arena, but the reigning champion is likely to prevail again. Despicable Me 2 [DESM2] proved to be a bigger blockbuster than anyone expected.  The animated sequel may hold 55% of its opening weekend for another $46 million.

Giant robots battle giant monsters in the sci-fi actioner Pacific Rim [PACRM] with an original story that takes its inspiration from decades of Japanese monster and mecha films. Without a star in the cast, Warner Bros. has focused the marketing on the Kaijus and Jaegers.  Directing his first film in five years, Guillermo del Toro [GDELT] has been relentlessly promoting the PG-13 rated film to the target audience. Enthusiasm from fanboys has been palpable since the release of the first teaser, and there’s no doubt young males will turn out opening weekend.   Trackings in other demographics have been light though, but the reviews have been strong. With little competition for action fares, Pacific Rim could slug out $40 million from 3275 locations.

Adam Sandler [ASAND] reunites with his buddies for the comedy sequel Grown Ups 2 [GRWN2]. Grown Ups opened to $40.5 million in 2010, but were people clamoring for a sequel? With the exception of Nick Swardson [NSWAR] replacing Rob Schneider, the sequel looks like a retread of the original. The PG-13 rated film also added Taylor Lautner [TLAUT], Shaquille O’Neal as well as a slew of SNL cameos, but the audience is unlikely to expand from the usual Sandler fanbase. Playing in 3491 theaters, Grown Ups 2 may gross $37 million.

Moviegoers didn’t care for the revival of The Lone Ranger [LONER]. With poor reviews, the western could tumble more than 50% to $14 million for its second weekend. The Heat [THEAT] should cross the century mark with another $13 million in its third outing.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): DESM2, PACRM, GDELT, ASAND, GRWN2, NSWAR, TLAUT, LONER, THEAT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 11, 2013 @ 04:14 PM 2953 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Adrift (ADRIF) 1 5.99 (-0.03)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.54 (+2.54)          Marwan Kenzari (MKENZ) 3 119.13 (-1.01)          Marwan Kenzari (MKENZ) 25000 119.13 (-1.01)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 1 51.56 (+2.06)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 1 51.56 (+2.06)          Between the Temples (BTMPL) 3 1.67 (+0.46)          Speak No Evil (SPNOE) 112988 40.71 (-1.77)          Between the Temples (BTMPL) 150000 1.67 (+0.46)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 13.23 (-0.57)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 46087 45.46 (-0.88)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 96720 55.41 (+0.04)          Tarot (HRSCP) 150000 26.98 (-0.28)          Tarot - Opening Weekend (HRSCP.OW) 100000 12.75 (-0.01)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 3.72 (+0.14)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 25000 1.15 (-0.04)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.39 (-0.63)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 25000 7.47 (+0.57)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.54 (+2.54)          Monkey Man (MNKYM) 150000 23.36 (+0.43)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 10000 169.14 (+0.35)          Monkey Man (MNKYM) 150000 23.36 (+0.43)          Violent Night 2 (VILN2) 1000 24.09 (+0.04)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 100000 50.00 (0.00)          The Running Man (TRUNM) 1000 24.01 (+0.08)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 1 84.25 (-0.46)          Talk 2 Me aka Talk to Me 2 (TLKT2) 1000 20.43 (0.00)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 149999 21.60 (-0.03)          Sasquatch Sunset (SQTCH) 149999 4.57 (+0.07)          Trap House (TRAPH) 2 20.76 (-0.83)          The Wager (WAGER) 149999 36.18 (-0.16)          Trap House (TRAPH) 150000 20.76 (-0.83)          Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 150000 12.54 (+2.54)          Blink Twice (PUSYL) 4000 23.79 (+1.00)          Ronan Boyle and the Bridge of Ri (RBOYL) 1000 23.74 (-0.02)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 1000 21.34 (-0.07)          The Phoenician Scheme (TPSCH) 9000 20.85 (+0.02)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 1000 20.42 (-0.02)          Steve Zahn (SZAHN) 25000 36.90 (-0.12)          Cleaner (CENER) 2000 19.66 (+0.10)          Cleaner (CENER) 1000 19.66 (+0.10)          Heads of State (HDSST) 1000 19.09 (-0.08)          District 10 (DIS10) 1000 18.44 (-0.10)          Ella McCay (EMCAY) 1000 19.31 (+0.01)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 1000 17.99 (-0.02)          The Forge (TFORG) 9000 17.03 (+0.02)