SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Number: Ninja Turtles should neck out a victory

Three new films hit the multiplexes this week joined by three wide expansion of films already in limited releases. None are likely to dethrone Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles [TMNT1]. Even with a 55% dropoff in its second weekend, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles would still bank $30 million, which should be enough to hold off the newcomers.

Sylvester Stallone [SSTAL] has added more old stars to the action sequel The Expendables 3 [XPND3]. After a couple of R-rated outings, the third film has gone PG-13 rated in hopes of capturing a younger audience. However, an untimely leak of the finished film on the internet has threatened its box office potential, despite the best efforts of Lionsgate marketing. While the first film debuted at $34.8 million, the second dropped to $28.6 million and the trend is likely to continue. Attacking 3221 theaters, The Expendables 3 may blow up $23 million.

R-rated buddy comedies have performed well this year and Let’s Be Cops [LBCOP] hopes to be latest to succeed. Although the film lacks starpower, the premise is easy enough to explain and sell. The trailers have been funny, and Fox got the word of mouth going with a Wednesday opening that grossed an impressive $5.2 million. Serving 2936 theaters, Let’s Be Cops should be able to arrest $22 million from Friday through Sunday.

One of the original dystopian sci-fi novel for young adults, The Giver [GIVER] finally gets a PG-13 rated adaptation from The Weinstein Co.. Brenton Thwaites [BTHWA] takes the lead role as a boy who learns the truth about his perfect society. Jeff Bridges [JBRID] and Meryl Streep [MSTRE] star in supporting roles to attract moviegoers who read the 1993 novel when they were younger. Aside from The Hunger Games and Divergent, other YA sci-fi adaptations have mostly missed. The Giver could take in $18 million from 3003 locations.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Magic in the Moonlight [MGCML] expands wide into 964 theaters. Woody Allen fans should contribute about $3 million.

After earning more than $10.5 million in 5 weeks, Boyhood [GROWN] ups its theater count to 711. With rave reviews and award buzz, Boyhood looks to grow another $2 million.

The romantic comedy What If [FWORD] also expands wide into 786 theaters and Daniel Radcliffe [DRADC] could attract $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TMNT1, SSTAL, XPND3, LBCOP, GIVER, BTHWA, JBRID, MSTRE, MGCML, GROWN, FWORD, DRADC

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 14, 2014 @ 03:18 PM 2508 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 8.54 (-0.27)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 150000 33.49 (-1.18)          The Housewife (THSWF) 100000 7.24 (0.00)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.62 (+0.62)          Borderlands (BRDLN) 100000 80.26 (-0.87)          Deadpool & Wolverine (DEAD3) 93501 391.27 (+1.06)          Madden (MADEN) 126147 25.62 (+0.62)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 150000 51.42 (-0.25)          Kiersey Clemons (KCLEM) 25000 26.05 (-0.12)          Kiersey Clemons (KCLEM) 25000 26.05 (-0.12)          I Used to be Funny (IUTBF) 150000 0.42 (+0.02)          Madden (MADEN) 50000 25.62 (+0.62)          Inside Out 2 (INOU2) 256 255.45 (+1.69)          I Used to be Funny (IUTBF) 150000 0.42 (+0.02)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 150000 4.61 (-0.08)          Kalki 2898 A.D. (KALKI) 150000 7.28 (-0.35)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.18)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 25000 8.18 (+0.71)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 150000 4.61 (-0.08)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 150000 4.61 (-0.08)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.32 (-0.68)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 150000 4.61 (-0.08)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 150000 4.22 (-0.02)          In a Violent Nature (IAVNT) 150000 3.85 (+0.04)          The Young Wife (TYWIF) 150000 2.00 (+0.25)          Daddio (DADIO) 150000 2.93 (-0.10)          Klara and the Sun (KLARA) 150000 20.75 (-0.12)          Madden (MADEN) 50000 25.62 (+0.62)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 110000 21.33 (-0.21)          Alex Garland (AGARL) 250 31.76 (+0.25)          IF (IMGNF) 3930 150.38 (-1.30)          John Cena (JCENA) 500 108.21 (-0.67)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 23.44 (-0.67)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.62 (+0.62)          Hard Miles (HRDML) 4000 0.97 (-0.01)          Madden (MADEN) 5000 25.62 (+0.62)          Minecraft (MINEC) 250 94.30 (+0.25)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 2000 9.13 (+0.02)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 4.02 (+0.50)          The Fall Guy H$50 Put (FALGY.PU) 25000 4.02 (+0.50)          Chestnut (CHSNT) 4000 0.66 (-0.10)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.18)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 2.21 (-0.18)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.67 (-1.67)          Save the Green Planet (STGPL) 50000 17.99 (-0.10)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 100000 43.67 (-1.67)          Madden (MADEN) 1000 25.62 (+0.62)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 124.03 (-2.41)          Jurassic World Event Film (JURA7) 50000 249.05 (+0.66)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 124.03 (-2.41)