SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Fantastic Four to flame on or flame out?

Ten years after the Marvel's superhero team Fantastic Four first appeared on the big screen, the franchise has been rebooted with another Fantastic Four [FANT4]. The 2005 original debuted with $56.1 million, which its 2007 sequel Rise of the Silver Surfer topped with $58.1 million. While semi-successful at the box office, these two films were not beloved by moviegoers. Fox decided to go younger with an all-new cast, and a darker tone akin to director Josh Trank’s first film Chronicle. Unfortunately, the PG-13 rated film has had a troubled production and littered with bad press. Some comic fans also objected to the cast of Michael B. Jordan [MJORD] as Johnny Storm. While Jordan, Miles Teller [MTELL] and Kate Mara [KMAR] are rising stars, none have established box office draw. Tepid reviews from critics have only reinforced those already predisposed to hate the film. There’s also no news of breakout the advance ticket sales front. Arriving in 3995 theaters, Fantastic Four may bank $42 million.

After its solid opening, Mission: Impossible – Rogue Nation [MISS5] should continue to light the box office with its excellent word of mouth. The sequel could near a 50% drop-off with another $28 million.

Jason Bateman [JBATE] and Joel Edgerton [JEDGE] star in the R-rated thriller The Gift [WERDO], the inaugural release from STX Entertainment.  The buzz is not strong due to a muddled marketing campaign, but the favorable reviews could sway some adults to check it out. Opening in 2470 theaters, The Gift could unwrap $8 million.

Sony targets older women with Ricki and the Flash [RICFL] starring Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and her daughter Mamie Gummer [MGUMM]. The PG-13 rated drama appears too light to generate any genuine excitement. Playing in 1603 theaters, Ricki and the Flash could rock out $7 million.

Vacation [VACTN] couldn’t recapture the magic of the original. The sequel looks to tumble more than 50% in its second trip to $6.5 million.

After opening around the world, Shaun the Sheep [SHEEP] finally lands stateside from Lionsgate. The PG-rated film hopes to attract families with young children as well as adult fans of Aardman’s stop-motion animation. Shaun the Sheep grossed $0.85 million on Wednesday and may earn just $4 million over the weekend from 2202 locations.

After 3 weeks of limited release, Irrational Man [IRATM] expands wide into 925 theaters. Lacking critical acclaim, the latest dramedy from Woody Allen [WALLE] may tally just $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): FANT4, MJORD, MTELL, MISS5, JBATE, JEDGE, WERDO, RICFL, MSTRE, MGUMM, VACTN, SHEEP, IRATM, WALLE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 6, 2015 @ 03:49 PM 5115 views

Recent Comments

faisalmajeed
Sunday, August 9 at 22:43 PM Pacific
sad



Lips Like Sugar (LIPLS) 10000 11.49 (-1.06)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 255.85 (+0.50)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 24999 11.78 (-0.04)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 150000 27.13 (-0.89)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 77.88 (+0.66)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 150000 42.08 (+0.30)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)          IF (IMGNF) 150000 150.45 (-1.23)          Michael (MJACK) 150000 62.13 (0.00)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 150000 24.39 (+0.04)          Untitled Ryan Coogler Event Movi (URCEM) 150000 63.04 (+0.21)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 25000 33.69 (-0.98)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 1 21.37 (-0.20)          Ghostbusters animated (GBUST) 4999 22.79 (+0.04)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (BEET2) 39429 161.50 (-0.33)          Freaky Friday 2 (FREK2) 37738 53.93 (+1.66)          Tarot (HRSCP) 25000 27.29 (+0.21)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 50000 27.91 (+0.03)          Final Destination 6: Bloodlines (FDES6) 75000 17.06 (+0.02)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.57 (+0.01)          Dr. Seuss' The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 108 36.68 (+0.08)          Madden (MADEN) 100000 25.00 (0.00)          Mike Faist (MFAIS) 10000 24.37 (+0.17)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 75000 33.69 (-0.98)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 10000 21.37 (-0.20)          Ilana Glazer (IGLAZ) 25000 22.65 (+0.12)          The Exorcism (TGTWP) 150000 1.57 (+0.01)          The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 150000 0.09 (0.00)          Final Destination 6: Bloodlines (FDES6) 89524 17.06 (+0.02)          The Wild Bunch (WILDB) 150000 0.09 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire (KONG2.BW) 25000 7.77 (+0.30)          Jennifer Garner (JEGAR) 5000 45.64 (+0.20)          Madden (MADEN) 72107 25.00 (0.00)          Teresa Palmer (TPALM) 5000 46.09 (+0.03)          Dakota Fanning (DFANN) 5000 43.99 (-0.14)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 53.36 (+1.75)          Brian Cox (BCOX) 5000 33.49 (+0.15)          Madden (MADEN) 1000 25.00 (0.00)          The Strangers: Chapter 1 (STRN3) 60000 27.13 (-0.89)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 49999 21.37 (-0.20)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 150000 53.36 (+1.75)          IF (IMGNF) 20000 150.45 (-1.23)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.29 (+0.29)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 37308 47.09 (-2.91)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 10000 21.46 (-0.08)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.PU) 25000 2.29 (+0.29)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.OW) 37308 47.09 (-2.91)          The Kingdom of the Planet of the (APES4.CA) 25000 1.59 (-0.41)          Madden (MADEN) 150000 25.00 (0.00)