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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 2866 views

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Trap (TRAP) 49999 57.21 (+4.49)          Abigail H$25 Put (ABGAL.PU) 25000 5.03 (+0.16)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 99999 250.39 (+0.24)          Abigail - Opening Weekend (ABGAL.OW) 100000 19.73 (+0.02)          Abigail H$25 Call (ABGAL.CA) 25000 0.42 (+0.06)          Ben Wang (BWANG) 25000 25.53 (-0.51)          Ice Cube (ICUBE) 25000 62.42 (-0.30)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Tarot H$15 Put (HRSCP.PU) 25000 2.83 (+0.83)          Woody Harrelson (WHARR) 25000 70.63 (0.00)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 86.35 (+1.77)          Tarot H$15 Call (HRSCP.CA) 25000 1.53 (-0.47)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 25000 3.54 (+1.54)          The Movie Critic (TMOVC) 520 43.81 (-13.04)          The Wager (WAGER) 1 37.84 (-0.51)          Blue Lock The Movie - Episode Na (BLULK) 41620 15.00 (0.00)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 1 129.06 (0.00)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 77 30.03 (+2.39)          Spy x Family Code: White (SPYFM) 72537 21.06 (-0.36)          Alan Kim (AKIM) 25000 32.28 (0.00)          Unsung Hero (UNSUN) 150000 24.12 (+0.08)          Haikyu!! The Dumpster Battle (HAIKY) 42512 13.53 (+0.28)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 86.35 (+1.77)          Cary Elwes (CELWE) 25000 32.37 (+0.12)          Zendaya (ZENDA) 1 129.06 (0.00)          Dan Stevens (DSTEV) 25000 27.93 (+0.37)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 12.47 (-0.58)          Archie Madekwe (AMADE) 10 19.75 (+0.10)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 79000 128.45 (+0.71)          The Ministry Of Ungentlemanly Wa (TMOUW) 150000 30.03 (+2.39)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 600 51.82 (+1.82)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 1200 51.82 (+1.82)          Jenna Ortega (JORTE) 52 42.47 (+0.52)          The Fall Guy - Opening Weekend (FALGY.OW) 6000 51.82 (+1.82)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 3200 3.54 (+1.54)          The Fall Guy H$50 Call (FALGY.CA) 1200 3.54 (+1.54)          The Naked Gun (NKGUN) 150000 34.11 (-1.63)          Margot Robbie (MROBB) 1 62.95 (+0.01)          Margot Robbie (MROBB) 1 62.95 (+0.01)          Margot Robbie (MROBB) 1 62.95 (+0.01)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 25000 7.97 (+0.37)          A Simple Favor 2 (ASFA2) 400 17.64 (+0.07)          Alec Baldwin (ABALD) 20 15.49 (-0.20)          Laura Linney (LLINN) 25000 20.32 (0.00)          Neve Campbell (NCAMP) 16 41.34 (+0.16)          Aggro Dr1ft (AGROD) 150000 2.21 (+0.01)          Bad Boys: Ride or Die (BADB4) 12471 145.07 (+0.81)          Aggro Dr1ft (AGROD) 150000 2.21 (+0.01)          Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $100 (GHST5.BW) 25000 7.97 (+0.37)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 2 327.62 (+0.22)