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Playing & Trading Strategy

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600

Posted by: MattW on Apr 21, 15:17 in response to MattW's post 2024 predictions month by month

May:

Apr holdovers 135
May 3 releases: 110
May 10: 100
May 17: 100
May 24: 100
May 31: 10

General thoughts on 2022 MattW Jan 13, 20:09

Update MattW Mar 27, 17:28

April coming in right at 550, 67% MattW Apr 27, 18:16

May looks like about 755 total, about 75% of the 2016-2019 mean MattW May 27, 14:50

A lot changed in the last few days, May 785 is 77% of 2012-2019 avg, 80% of 2016-2019 avg MattW Jun 02, 11:11

June comes in at 980 or so, 85% of the average. MattW Jun 28, 23:10

I was way off on July, mostly Minions but somewhat better from holdovers as well. Should be 1125 or so, about 90% of the average. MattW Jul 28, 14:01

August looks like it'll end up with about 180 from new releases, 285 from holdovers. {nm} MattW Aug 30, 18:51

192 Aug releases, 275 holdovers {nm} MattW Sep 06, 20:14

August ~475m, Sept <300m, Oct 400-500m {nm} MattW Aug 18, 08:47

Sept thinking 300-325 now, October 475-575 {nm} MattW Sep 07, 14:59

~330 {nm} MattW Sep 24, 17:22

319, a few movies disappointed more than I was thinking at the end there {nm} MattW Oct 05, 14:50

Oct looks like it's gonna come in right at 450. Nov in the 700-750 range. MattW Oct 24, 22:54

Nov still think about 700 {nm} MattW Nov 11, 22:33

Yikes, way overestimated Thanksgiving, the month should be right about 605-610 {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:33

December here we come {nm} MattW Nov 26, 15:34

$850m MattW Dec 01, 10:19

Overestimated all december releases by quite a bit. Will be around $660-670m {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:07

The year as a whole will be about $7355m, 64.4% of the 2016-2019 yearly average. {nm} MattW Dec 30, 19:11

2024 predictions month by month MattW Mar 25, 16:26

Geez, already too low for march, gonna be like 750m {nm} MattW Mar 30, 09:59

April now looks like it'll end up around 450. May right now to me looks like under 600 MattW Apr 21, 15:17





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With Love (WOLOV) 100000 28.17 (+0.06)          Tunnels (TUNLS) 149999 0.11 (-0.01)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 15.95 (+0.27)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 15.95 (+0.27)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 149995 3.89 (-0.11)          Ghostlight (GHSTL) 149995 1.99 (-0.01)          Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 1993 31.48 (+0.12)          Ariana DeBose (ADEBO) 3999 31.48 (+0.12)          Stephanie Beatriz (SBEAT) 1999 52.21 (-0.16)          Stephanie Beatriz (SBEAT) 999 52.21 (-0.16)          Tow (TOW) 50000 7.02 (-0.03)          Piece by Piece (PCBPC) 20000 15.70 (-0.02)          Piece by Piece (PCBPC) 30000 15.70 (-0.02)          Assassination (ASSNT) 14999 16.54 (-0.02)          Greedy People (GRDYP) 30000 5.30 (-0.01)          Greedy People (GRDYP) 40000 5.30 (-0.01)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 40000 5.55 (+0.36)          Now You See Me 3 (NYSM3) 221 28.36 (0.00)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 60000 5.55 (+0.36)          The Pack (TPACK) 15000 15.46 (+0.55)          The Pack (TPACK) 15000 15.46 (+0.55)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 4999 27.81 (+0.92)          Teresa Palmer (TPALM) 25000 46.95 (-0.33)          Teresa Palmer (TPALM) 25000 46.95 (-0.33)          Stephanie Hsu (SHSU) 25000 80.75 (-0.50)          Stephanie Hsu (SHSU) 25000 80.75 (-0.50)          Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 25000 63.23 (-0.50)          Aaron Taylor-Johnson (AJOHN) 25000 63.23 (-0.50)          Carrie-Anne Moss (CMOSS) 25000 18.95 (+0.20)          Carrie-Anne Moss (CMOSS) 25000 18.95 (+0.20)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 25000 148.06 (-0.17)          Atlantis (ATLNT) 10000 27.81 (+0.92)          Cruella 2 (CRUL2) 50000 27.70 (-0.03)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 77143 126.26 (-0.17)          Winter Spring Summer or Fall (WSSOF) 150000 3.89 (-0.11)          The Instigators (NSTGT) 150000 17.64 (-0.31)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 3 10.29 (+0.10)          Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve (STCRS) 5000 4.08 (+0.07)          Longlegs (LNLEG) 3 10.29 (+0.10)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 3 89.17 (-0.49)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 3 89.17 (-0.49)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 3 133.96 (+0.06)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 3 133.96 (+0.06)          The Pack (TPACK) 5000 15.46 (+0.55)          Fuze (FUZE) 150000 15.95 (+0.27)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 2 5.55 (+0.36)          MaXXXine (XTW3) 6424 10.17 (0.00)          Fuze (FUZE) 5000 15.95 (+0.27)          Fuze (FUZE) 5000 15.95 (+0.27)          The Last Showgirl (TLSHG) 10000 5.55 (+0.36)