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Whisper Numbers: Ghost Rider looks to burn up the box office

Three new wide releases face strong holdovers during the President’s Day holiday weekend. Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] looks to bounce back from a string of recent flops by reprising his role as the demonic antihero in the sequel Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance [GHST2]. The original Ghost Rider debuted at $45.4 million in 2007, but flamed out quickly due to poor word of mouth. As in their other genre series, Sony has added 3D to entice fans back for another go-around. The PG-13 rated film should connect with its target audience of young men, which should be enough to propel the film to first place. Burning up 3174 theaters, Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance could scorch $34 million over the 4-day weekend.

Safe House [SAFEH] exceeded expectations in its debut and older moviegoers should continue to support the film. The actioner could preside over another $27 million over the long weekend.

Couples and women helped The Vow [THVOW] conquered the box office last weekend. With Valentine’s Day over, the romance looks to decay greater than Safe House to around $26 million over the holiday weekend.

The PG-13 rated This Means War [TMWAR] stars Chris Pine [CPINE] and Tom Hardy [THARD] as partners in espionage competing to win the affection of the same woman, played by Reese Witherspoon [RWITH]. Fox has been marketing the film as a romantic comedy when perhaps they should have gone with action bromance. The McG [MCG] directed film has earned horrible reviews and terrible trackings. Opening in 3189 theater, This Means War may bank $23 million over the 4-day weekend.

With kids off for the long holiday weekend, Journey 2: The Mysterious Island [MYSTR] should experience a small drop-off. The 3D sequel spectacle could bring home another $22 million from Friday to Monday.

The Secret World of Arrietty [ARITY] is the latest Studio Ghibli release from Disney. The G-rated animated film looks more accessible than 2009’s Ponyo which managed just a $3.6 million debut. Opening in 1511 theaters, Arrietty could stash $6 million over the long holiday weeekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): NCAGE, GHST2, SAFEH, THVOW, TMWAR, CPINE, THARD, RWITH, MCG, MYSTR, ARITY

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 16, 2012 @ 03:50 PM 10015 views

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Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 15000 18.38 (-1.02)          Alpha Gang (ALPHG) 108610 7.09 (-0.03)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 100 24.74 (+0.62)          Singham Again (SNGH3) 150000 2.38 (+0.03)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 100 18.38 (-1.02)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 25000 11.00 (-1.00)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 100 7.45 (-0.01)          They Found Us (THFUS) 140000 15.28 (-0.59)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 20000 18.38 (-1.02)          Famous (FAMOS) 100 20.77 (-1.16)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 20.77 (-1.16)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 25000 11.00 (-1.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 10000 24.74 (+0.62)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 200 11.00 (-1.00)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 100000 4.79 (+0.02)          Famous (FAMOS) 50000 20.77 (-1.16)          Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 150000 0.01 (-0.02)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 20.77 (-1.16)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 138633 18.38 (-1.02)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 20.77 (-1.16)          Famous (FAMOS) 100000 20.77 (-1.16)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 50000 7.45 (-0.01)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 3.45 (-0.70)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 3.45 (-0.70)          They Found Us (THFUS) 150000 15.28 (-0.59)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 1.28 (+0.01)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.98 (-0.01)          They Found Us (THFUS) 10000 15.28 (-0.59)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 14.25 (+0.84)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.00 (-1.00)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 20.77 (-1.16)          Switzerland (SWITZ) 150000 2.58 (+0.05)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.38 (-1.02)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 50000 18.38 (-1.02)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.18 (-0.04)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.98 (-0.01)          Gundam (GUNDM) 10000 14.25 (+0.84)          Gundam (GUNDM) 25000 14.25 (+0.84)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 10000 24.74 (+0.62)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 500 4.42 (+0.45)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.12 (+0.12)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.00 (-1.00)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 2000 7.92 (-0.08)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 15000 18.38 (-1.02)          Relay (RELAY) 2000 3.39 (-0.10)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 20.77 (-1.16)          The Monkey (MONKY) 49999 29.36 (+0.06)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 150000 2.91 (-0.02)