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Whisper Numbers: The Avengers initiates summer movie season.

Four superhero franchises converge in the highly-anticipated team-up The Avengers [AVNGR]. Marvel planted the seed for the film with a post credit scene in Iron Man, which opened to $98.6 million in 2008, followed by another in The Incredible Hulk the same summer. Although Iron Man 2 debuted with $128.1 million in 2010, the sequel was not as well-received and its total box office did not exceed the original. Thor and Captain America got their stand alone film last summer when the Norse god hammered $65.7 million a year ago this weekend, while The First Avenger followed suit with $65.1 million. Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN], Chris Evans [CEVAN], Chris Hemsworth [CHEMS] and Mark Ruffalo [MRUFF] star as the four superheroes finally brought together in The Avengers by Nick Fury to take on a common enemy.  As directed by fan-favorite Joss Whedon [JWHED], the end product looks to be greater than the sum of each individual part, which may attract even non-comic fans who may not have seen one of the prequels. Disney has already opened The Avengers overseas and the overwhelmingly positive reviews has only further fuel the buzz.

Much like The Hunger Games earlier this year, the competition has ceded the weekend to the PG-13 rated blockbuster tentpole. Although advanced ticket sales have not matched The Hunger Games ($152.5 million opening weekend), The Avengers will enjoy the premium surcharge for 3D. Presales are outpacing Spider-Man 3, which opened this weekend in 2007 to $151.1 million.  The box office records of mid-summer releases The Dark Knight’s $158.4 million and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II’s $169.2 million though may be out of reach with school still in session.  The Avengers could come close and assemble around $158 million from 4349 theaters.

Think Like a Man [TLKAM] should hold its own against the juggernaut and finish second with a still robust $10 million.

Pirates! Band of Misfits [PIRTS] remains the top option for families with young children. The animated film may drop 35% to $7 million. Fellow sophomore pic The Five-Year Engagement [5YENG] won't fare as well and tumble 50% to $5.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AVNGR, RDOWN, CEVAN, CHEMS, MRUFF, JWHED, TLKAM, PIRTS, 5YENG

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 3, 2012 @ 03:40 PM 4489 views

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Split Fiction (SPFIC) 50000 43.99 (-3.13)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 38.45 (-0.10)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.64 (-0.36)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 69.90 (-1.28)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 2000 11.17 (-0.13)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 2000 290.45 (-1.01)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 139.61 (+0.66)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 150000 1.40 (+0.02)          Judy Greer (JGREE) 25000 33.50 (-0.26)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 3959 281.45 (-0.54)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 500 10.60 (+1.06)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.99 (-3.13)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 25000 55.48 (-0.50)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.99 (-3.13)          Ke Huy Quan (KHQUA) 25000 114.90 (-1.32)          The Moment (MOMNT) 500 12.22 (+1.31)          John Leguizamo (JLEGU) 25000 59.76 (+0.33)          Christine (CRSTN) 500 18.35 (+1.66)          Josh Gad (JGAD) 25000 108.39 (+0.66)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 1098 156.16 (+0.84)          Jenny Slate (JESLA) 25000 128.73 (-0.67)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 30000 3.70 (-0.38)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 111.38 (+1.00)          Michelle Yeoh (MYEOH) 25000 142.12 (-1.33)          Peaked (PEAKD) 149998 7.64 (-0.36)          Christine (CRSTN) 25000 18.35 (+1.66)          The Moment (MOMNT) 20000 12.22 (+1.31)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 25000 154.12 (-1.52)          Christine (CRSTN) 20000 18.35 (+1.66)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 149998 11.11 (+0.18)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 50000 5.94 (-0.03)          The Drama (TDRAM) 149998 20.50 (+0.32)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 25000 154.12 (-1.52)          Jon M. Chu (JCHU) 25000 139.55 (-1.34)          Danny Trejo (DTREJ) 25000 85.77 (+1.25)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 25000 154.12 (-1.52)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 149998 13.45 (+0.64)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 1000 13.71 (-0.12)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 1000 3.70 (-0.38)          Jon M. Chu (JCHU) 25000 139.55 (-1.34)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 149998 18.57 (+0.27)          Peaked (PEAKD) 1 7.64 (-0.36)          The Last Witch Hunter 2 (TLWH2) 149996 18.57 (+0.27)          Cynthia Erivo (CERIV) 25000 109.93 (-1.34)          The Death of Robin Hood (TDORH) 4 23.85 (-0.44)          Alan Tudyk (ATUDY) 25000 138.09 (+1.33)          Normal (NORML) 4 20.08 (-0.12)          Anika Noni Rose (ANROS) 25000 105.28 (+1.33)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 69.90 (-1.28)          Midwinter Break (MIDWB) 149996 3.80 (+0.13)