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Whisper Numbers: Brave aims for another Pixar hit

The official first weekend of summer comes with three new wide releases lead by Disney’s animated Brave [BRAVE].  Featuring the first female lead character in Pixar’s 13 film history, the PG-rated Brave is about a redheaded princess who prefers archery over corsets, but not much else is clear about the story set in ancient Scotland.  However, the Pixar brand itself is strong enough to attract audiences of all demographics. Even the subpar sequel Cars 2 debuted with $66 million last year.  Their last non-sequel Up banked a $68 million opening in 2009. one would have to go back to 2007’s Ratatouille for an underperformer at $47 million. Shooting into 4165 theaters, Brave may conquer $63 million.

The historical fantasy Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter [ALVH] surmises that our 16th President secretly slayed bloodsuckers during the Civil War. Although the R-rated film is based on a best-selling novel, recent genre mash-ups like Cowboys and Aliens and Jonah Hex have failed to find a broad audience. With no big stars in its cast, Fox’s main marketing point has been the 3D action from the director of Wanted, Timur Bekmambetov [TBEKM]. With a lack of options for young male moviegoers, Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter could attract enough wallets to score $21 million from 3106 theaters.

Even with direct competition from Brave, Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted [MADG3] could still finish second if Abraham Lincoln: Vampire Hunter falters. Madagascar 3 looks to collect another $19 million.

In its third week of release Prometheus [PROME] should finish fourth with another $10 million. Older female moviegoers should keep the musical Rock of Ages [ROAGE] from falling more than 50% to about $8 million. Unfortunately, nothing will stop the R-rated comedy That’s My Boy [TMBOY] from dropping more than 50% to $6 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE] and Keira Knightley [KKNIG] play an unlikely couple in the R-rated romantic comedy Seeking a Friend for the End of the World [SAFEW]. In order to attract its target audience of sophisticated adults, the unconventional film needs favorable reviews. Unfortunately, the buzz have mostly been negative. Arriving in 1618 theaters, Seeking a Friend for the End of the World may find just $6.5 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BRAVE, ALVH, TBEKM, MADG3, PROME, ROAGE, TMBOY, SCARE, KKNIG, SAFEW

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 21, 2012 @ 04:03 PM 15524 views

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Maria (MARIA) 100 0.77 (+0.04)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 206.59 (-9.34)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 123198 10.85 (+0.88)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 46.26 (+4.79)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 150000 17.45 (-0.55)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 206.59 (-9.34)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1 22.72 (+0.46)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 1000 40.48 (+2.58)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.48 (+2.58)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 146543 4.31 (+1.89)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 8.36 (-1.71)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 8.36 (-1.71)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 24999 80.08 (-2.51)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 500 146.87 (+2.96)          Karate Kid: Legends (KKID2) 900 131.05 (+2.23)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 3.94 (-0.67)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 3.94 (-0.67)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 10000 200.00 (0.00)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 16.02 (+2.63)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 206.59 (-9.34)          Grendel (GREND) 100 21.78 (-0.13)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 150000 54.68 (-0.59)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 15 113.30 (+1.61)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 8 1.58 (-0.01)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 1 200.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 149960 200.00 (0.00)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 4 78.38 (-0.25)          Charlize Theron (CTHER) 4 102.87 (-0.33)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 150000 30.18 (+2.30)          Ben Stiller (BSTIL) 4 49.58 (-0.16)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 4 34.90 (-0.12)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 6 92.80 (-0.50)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 3 97.97 (+0.25)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 3 119.18 (+0.33)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 3 117.42 (+0.33)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Homestead (HMSTD) 149999 16.02 (+2.63)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 4 79.56 (+0.25)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 4 102.86 (+0.33)          Jack Whitehall (JAWHI) 4 65.59 (+0.25)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 150000 87.32 (+1.37)          Grendel (GREND) 100 21.78 (-0.13)          Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 4 30.72 (+0.12)          Dua Lipa (DLIPA) 6 99.15 (+0.50)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 6 89.84 (+0.50)