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Whisper Numbers: Spider-Man shoots for spectacular weekend

Despite three blockbuster Spider-Man movies since 2002, Sony decided to reboot the franchise with the fourth entry The Amazing Spider-Man [SPID4]. Andrew Garfield [AGARF] takes over the role of Peter Parker, while Emma Stone [ESTON] plays his high school sweetheart Gwen Stacy. Many have questioned the wisdom of another origin story so soon and wondered if moviegoers will turn out for what’s marketed as “the untold story”. Well, the mid-week turnout has allayed those fears. Opening on Tuesday ahead of the Fourth of July holiday, The Amazing Spider-Man has already banked $58.3 million in two days. Although Spider-Man 3 was the worst of the trilogy, the superhero remains popular with fans of all ages. The Amazing Spider-Man is the first installment to be in 3D, which will add a significant bump to the bottom line.  Swinging into 4318 theaters, The Amazing Spider-Man could spin about $67 million from Friday to Sunday.

Ted [TED] scored the highest R-rated opening ever for a non-sequel comedy. Great word of mouth should help broaden the audience to other demographics besides young males. Ted may decline 45% and finish second at around $30 million.

Magic Mike [MGCMK] brought out the ladies on opening night but has quickly tailed off. The exotic dancing revue could be stripped down 60% to $17 million.

The R-rated actioner Savages [SAVAG] stars Taylor Kitsch [TKITS] and Aaron Johnson [AJOHN] as marijuana entrepreneurs who fight back against a Mexican drug cartel that kidnapped their girlfriend, played by Blake Lively [BLIVE]. The young leading stars have yet to establish box office draw from young moviegoers. Despite heavy promotion from Universal, the film’s appeal looks to be limited to older guys familiar with the supporting cast and director Oliver Stone [OSTON]. Savages may earn $13 million from 2627 locations.

Katy Perry [KPERR] is the latest popstar to get a 3D concert movie. Paramount launched Justin Bieber: Never Say Never to a $29.5 million debut last year, and hopes Katy Perry: Part of Me [KP3D] gets the same love from young girls.  However, her older fanbase does not appear as rabid. Katy Perry: Part of Me opens a day early in 2730 theaters to get a jump on the weekend and could take in $10 million from Friday to Sunday.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): SPID4, AGARF, ESTON, TED, MGCMK, SAVAG, TKITS, AJOHN, BLIVE, OSTON, KPERR, KP3D

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 5, 2012 @ 02:52 PM 10522 views

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Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 15739 219.43 (+5.68)          Moana 2 $360 Blockbuster Warrant (MOAN2.BW) 25000 7.46 (+2.46)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 111111 126.17 (+0.35)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 10000 20.00 (0.00)          Jumanji sequel (JUMN3) 145000 99.54 (+0.45)          King (KING) 1000 7.38 (+1.69)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 10000 13.52 (-0.66)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 6000 32.01 (-0.36)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 2600 32.01 (-0.36)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 100000 19.88 (-0.27)          Huntington (HNGTN) 149889 16.49 (+0.04)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 5000 33.01 (-0.33)          Good Bad & Undead (GBUND) 150000 2.00 (+0.02)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 5000 75.93 (+1.07)          King (KING) 30000 7.38 (+1.69)          King (KING) 9200 7.38 (+1.69)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 8.88 (-0.22)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 8.88 (-0.22)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 219.43 (+5.68)          Brothers (BROHS) 149000 0.03 (+0.02)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 219.43 (+5.68)          The Odyssey aka Untitled Christo (ODYSE) 5000 149.30 (+1.87)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 200 264.33 (+1.86)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 600 264.33 (+1.86)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 4.25 (+0.45)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 4.25 (+0.45)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 10000 28.96 (+3.06)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 4000 28.96 (+3.06)          William Tell (WITEL) 5000 7.33 (+0.04)          King (KING) 150000 7.38 (+1.69)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 1000 30.12 (-0.04)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 149994 75.93 (+1.07)          Prince Charming (PCHRM) 149994 75.93 (+1.07)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 4900 82.70 (-0.53)          Kent State (KENTS) 4000 3.77 (+0.02)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 28.96 (+3.06)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 28.96 (+3.06)          The King of Kings (KOKNG) 150000 18.15 (0.00)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 2.84 (0.00)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 150000 168.69 (-0.87)          The End (THEND) 150000 1.52 (-0.04)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 100000 16.83 (-1.77)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Novocaine (NOVCN) 150000 32.01 (-0.36)          Peter Jackson (PJACK) 50 145.14 (-1.00)          Playdate (PLYDT) 15000 10.56 (+0.04)          Panic Carefully (PNCRF) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 150000 16.87 (-0.56)