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Whisper Numbers: Will Argo rise to the top?

The weekend before Halloween brings four new wide releases, but many moviegoers will be partying in costumes rather than visit the multiplexes. Warner Bros. targets older adults with the sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] directed by the Wachowskis [WACHO] and Tom Tykwer [TTYKW]. The R-rated epic features time-spanning storylines that inter-connect with an all-star cast playing multiple characters lead by Tom Hanks [THANK] and Halle Berry [HBERR]. Despite mostly positive reviews, the ambitious film at nearly 3 hours long may not appeal to a broad audience and attract just sci-fi fans Breaking into 2008 theaters, Cloud Atlas may book around $14 million.

After declining a miniscule 15% in its second weekend, Argo [ARGO] could retain 80% during its third outing for $13 million, which could be enough to finish in first place should the new releases falter.

Silent Hill: Revelation [SHIL2] arrives six years after the release of the first Silent Hill which Sony opened to $20.2 million. The R-rated horror sequel is distributed by Open Roads, and features a couple of new young faces in the lead. Although Silent Hill is based on a videogame series, its best-selling days are in the past, unlike the still popular Resident Evil series. Stepping into 2933 theaters, Silent Hill: Revelation could survive with $12 million.

Paranormal Activity 4 [PNAC4] was down sharply from the previous installment. With horror fans tired of the series and partying for Halloween this weekend, the sequel looks to drop more than 60% to $11 million.

Victoria Justice [VJUST] and Jane Levy [JLEVY] star in the Halloween comedy Fun Size [FUNSZ]. The PG-13 rated film presents a trick or treat dilemma for moviegoers. The film might be too tame for teens, while too for parents with young children. Paramount may have to settle for an audience of tween girls, who could be finicky in their fandom support. Hitting 3014 locations, Fun Size could score $8.5 million.

Gerard Butler [GBUTL] stars in the biographical drama Chasing Mavericks [MVRCK] about the late surfing legend Jay Moriarty. Fox has barely marketed the PG rated film, which looks to wash out with $5 million from 2002 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): CLATL, WACHO, TTYKW, THANK, HBERR, ARGO, SHIL2, PNAC4, VJUST, JLEVY, FUNSZ, GBUTL, MVRCK

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 25, 2012 @ 03:46 PM 6367 views

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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 18.53 (-0.06)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 22.28 (-0.52)          Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 9.83 (0.00)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 94982 5.32 (+0.02)          Hershey (HERSH) 10000 12.43 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 5000 491.66 (+0.80)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 48.64 (-0.19)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 190 10.38 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.28 (-0.52)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35 218.10 (0.00)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 50 2.76 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 195 8.10 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 60.13 (+0.14)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 190 8.87 (0.00)          Voltron (VOLTN) 115 21.09 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 1 20.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 50000 30.38 (+0.63)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 400 4.16 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 55 46.25 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 66 56.68 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 10000 100.50 (+0.60)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 185 8.76 (0.00)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 185 10.63 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 13.72 (+0.36)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.64 (-0.19)          Pressure (PRSUR) 149997 13.72 (+0.36)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 15 76.42 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1100 242.99 (0.00)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 20000 56.49 (+0.16)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 49 41.42 (+0.15)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 2 165.50 (0.00)          The Flood (FLOOD) 5 78.09 (+0.24)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 10000 12.94 (-0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 18 20.14 (+0.30)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 8000 491.66 (+0.80)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5 81.99 (+0.25)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 4 491.66 (+0.80)          John C. Reilly (JCREI) 20000 44.26 (+0.16)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 5 52.84 (+0.15)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 4 135.52 (+0.33)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 4 117.95 (+0.32)          The Beast (TBEAS) 50 6.89 (-0.22)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 700 2.22 (-0.07)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 5 16.03 (+0.06)          Fonda (FONDA) 149999 9.69 (+0.03)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 9 43.01 (+0.30)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 18 65.76 (-0.97)          James Corden (JCORD) 20000 30.34 (-0.12)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 24 30.38 (+0.63)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 149999 20.00 (0.00)