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Whisper Numbers: Wreck-It Ralph gets its game on.

Hollywood starts the holiday movie season with three new wide releases even with the eastern seaboard reeling from the devastation of hurricane Sandy. The weekend box office will definitely suffer a negative effect, though how much remains to be seen. Disney leads off with the CG animated Wreck-It Ralph [RALPH] featuring John C. Reilly [JCREI] as a video game villain who wants to be the hero for a change. Although the film doesn’t carry the Pixar brand, Wreck-It Ralph has been called the Toy Story of video games for incorporating many well-known video game characters. The PG-rated film has been generating fantastic buzz from gamers young and old. Wreck-It Ralph should attract a broad audience from parents who grew up with Atari in the ‘80s to older teenagers playing the latest 'Call of Duty' to children of all ages. Starting in 3752 theaters, Wreck-It Ralph could score $45 million in its debut.

Denzel Washington [DWASH] teams up with director Robert Zemeckis [RZEME] for the R-rated drama Flight [FLIGH]. After a string of action thrillers, Washington takes a serious turn playing an alcoholic pilot who is heralded as a hero for landing a distressed plane. Meanwhile, Zemeckis returns to live action for the first time since 2000’s Cast Away. While Paramount plays up the special effects in its marketing, the film is actually about a man dealing with his alcoholism.  Flight will need good reviews to bring out its older adult target audience. Washington has consistently opened his movies in the mid-$20 million range. However, with a theater count of just 1900, Flight is unlikely to reach that height and remained more grounded at $18 million.

RZA [RZA] indulges his martial arts fantasy as The Man With Iron Fists [TMWIF], a martial arts fantasy the former rapper also wrote and directed. Russell Crowe [RCROW] and Lucy Liu [LLIU] co-star in support roles, but they don’t pack much box office draw.  The R-rated film looks to attract primarily to an older male audience. Universal has not been screening the film in advance, never a good sign for their confidence in the film’s quality. Breaking into 1868 theaters, The Man With Iron Fists may punch out $8.5 million.

The ambitious sci-fi epic Cloud Atlas [CLATL] failed to connect with moviegoers. The sophmore holdover could tumble more than 50% to around $4 million.

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That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): RALPH, JCREI, DWASH, RZEME, FLIGH, RZA, TMWIF, RCROW, LLIU, CLATL

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 1, 2012 @ 03:59 PM 6451 views

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My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 28000 10.84 (-0.09)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 3000 10.84 (-0.09)          James Gunn (JGUNN) 1000 212.58 (-1.02)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 2000 461.17 (+1.01)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 1000 8.44 (+0.01)          Cliffhanger (CLFHN) 4000 9.80 (0.00)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 100 111.63 (+0.88)          Hoppers (HOPPR) 3000 140.88 (+1.01)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 100 421.28 (+1.00)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 3000 38.04 (-0.15)          Star Wars: Starfighter (SWAR4) 100 233.06 (+1.17)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 100 461.17 (+1.01)          Street Fighter (STFTR) 10000 68.01 (+0.06)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 1000 25.13 (+0.16)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 100 167.26 (+1.56)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 100 158.28 (+2.96)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 2000 201.99 (+0.02)          Man of Tomorrow (SPMOT) 100 261.28 (+3.15)          Christine (CRSTN) 100 17.68 (+0.99)          Steven Soderbergh (SSODE) 100 17.97 (0.00)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 150 42.96 (0.00)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.16 (-4.96)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 25000 7.03 (+0.56)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 149999 26.95 (-0.63)          Tom & Jerry (TMJR2) 149999 26.95 (-0.63)          Wicker (WCKER) 20000 3.81 (+0.04)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.16 (-4.96)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 10000 65.57 (+1.17)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 3000 38.04 (-0.15)          The Masque Of The Red Death (MOTRD) 143619 13.96 (+0.01)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 26000 38.04 (-0.15)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 2222 13.60 (-2.60)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 147778 13.60 (-2.60)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 2222 13.60 (-2.60)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 42.16 (-4.96)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 7200 122.27 (+0.30)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 150000 65.09 (-1.05)          John Wick: Chapter 5 (WICK5) 7200 122.27 (+0.30)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1000 28.71 (-0.10)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1000 28.71 (-0.10)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 1000 38.35 (-0.10)          Sicario 3 (SICA3) 4000 4.46 (-0.04)          Wicked: For Good $315M Blockbust (WCKD2.BW) 24999 7.03 (+0.56)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 148370 13.60 (-2.60)          I Can Only Imagine 2 (ICOI2) 9000 38.04 (-0.15)          A Minecraft Movie II (MINE2) 900 292.91 (+0.22)          Riddick: Furya (RIDC3) 49000 5.14 (+0.02)          The Sims Movie (TSIMS) 60000 38.35 (-0.10)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 1 60.29 (-2.93)