SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will fanboys beat Grown Ups?

Two new contenders will enter the box office arena, but the reigning champion is likely to prevail again. Despicable Me 2 [DESM2] proved to be a bigger blockbuster than anyone expected.  The animated sequel may hold 55% of its opening weekend for another $46 million.

Giant robots battle giant monsters in the sci-fi actioner Pacific Rim [PACRM] with an original story that takes its inspiration from decades of Japanese monster and mecha films. Without a star in the cast, Warner Bros. has focused the marketing on the Kaijus and Jaegers.  Directing his first film in five years, Guillermo del Toro [GDELT] has been relentlessly promoting the PG-13 rated film to the target audience. Enthusiasm from fanboys has been palpable since the release of the first teaser, and there’s no doubt young males will turn out opening weekend.   Trackings in other demographics have been light though, but the reviews have been strong. With little competition for action fares, Pacific Rim could slug out $40 million from 3275 locations.

Adam Sandler [ASAND] reunites with his buddies for the comedy sequel Grown Ups 2 [GRWN2]. Grown Ups opened to $40.5 million in 2010, but were people clamoring for a sequel? With the exception of Nick Swardson [NSWAR] replacing Rob Schneider, the sequel looks like a retread of the original. The PG-13 rated film also added Taylor Lautner [TLAUT], Shaquille O’Neal as well as a slew of SNL cameos, but the audience is unlikely to expand from the usual Sandler fanbase. Playing in 3491 theaters, Grown Ups 2 may gross $37 million.

Moviegoers didn’t care for the revival of The Lone Ranger [LONER]. With poor reviews, the western could tumble more than 50% to $14 million for its second weekend. The Heat [THEAT] should cross the century mark with another $13 million in its third outing.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): DESM2, PACRM, GDELT, ASAND, GRWN2, NSWAR, TLAUT, LONER, THEAT

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 11, 2013 @ 04:14 PM 3306 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Trey Parker (TPARK) 1000 66.27 (+0.27)          Trey Parker (TPARK) 1000 66.27 (+0.27)          Marisa Abela (MABEL) 3000 9.48 (0.00)          Houdini (TSLOH) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 1 15.12 (-1.08)          Marisa Abela (MABEL) 2000 9.48 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 72.00 (-1.44)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 3000 8.48 (-0.06)          Nicholas Galitzine (NGALI) 2000 8.48 (-0.06)          Houdini (TSLOH) 150000 0.03 (+0.01)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 60.62 (-2.60)          The Invite (TINVT) 50000 10.50 (-0.36)          Artificial (AIFIC) 30000 22.47 (-0.08)          David H$25 Put (DAVID.PU) 25000 2.88 (+0.14)          The Invite (TINVT) 2000 10.50 (-0.36)          David H$25 Call (DAVID.CA) 25000 1.14 (-0.26)          The Invite (TINVT) 2000 10.50 (-0.36)          Artificial (AIFIC) 33334 22.47 (-0.08)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1000 28.75 (-0.06)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 24.52 (-0.84)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Put (AVAT3.PU) 25000 3.87 (+0.58)          Whalefall (WHALF) 1000 28.75 (-0.06)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 2000 13.30 (-0.53)          Barbarella (BARBA) 1000 30.04 (-0.05)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 2000 13.30 (-0.53)          Barbarella (BARBA) 1000 30.04 (-0.05)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 25000 2.72 (-0.58)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 117.75 (-4.08)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 3000 5.00 (0.00)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 3000 10.00 (0.00)          Molly Gordon (MGORD) 1000 26.13 (+1.13)          Peaked (PEAKD) 3000 7.70 (-0.30)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 1000 41.40 (-5.72)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 8000 28.13 (-0.13)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.96 (-0.53)          The Housemaid H$20 Call (HMAID.CA) 25000 2.96 (-0.53)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 447.50 (-1.19)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 28520 50.14 (0.00)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.43 (-1.11)          The Housemaid - Opening Weekend (HMAID.OW) 100000 23.43 (-1.11)          The Bride! (BRIDE) 10100 54.44 (-0.18)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 5.00 (0.00)          The Wrecking Crew (WCREW) 150000 15.12 (-1.08)          A Great Aawkening (AGAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Face/Off 2 (FCOF2) 60000 8.18 (-0.04)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.70 (-0.30)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 150000 21.08 (-0.10)          Lords of War (LRDW2) 75000 9.84 (-0.02)          Fred Hechinger (FHECH) 1 8.01 (-0.05)          Raised Eyebrows (REYEB) 150000 0.08 (0.00)