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Whisper Numbers: Will Kick-Ass 2 get served by The Butler?

Another foursome enters the box office frame this weekend with a close battle shaping up for the top spot. Aaron Taylor-Johnson [AJOHN] and Chloe Grace Moretz [CMORE] reprise their roles as wannabe superheroes in Kick-Ass 2 [KCKA2].  Jim Carrey [JCARR] joins the cast of the R-rated sequel, but not the publicity campaign due to the Sandy Hook massacre. Will the glorification of violence also turn off the more sensitive moviegoers? The original Kick-Ass opened to $19.8 million in 2010, but then dropped steeply. Director Matthew Vaughn did not return for the sequel, which also switched studios from Lionsgate to Universal. Reviews are worse than the original, but that’s not going to matter to the young male fanbase. Kick-Ass 2 could break $23 million from 2940 locations.

It took more than 40 producers to finally put together Lee Daniels’ The Butler [BUTLR], based on the real life of a black servant who wroked at the White House for eight Presidents. Forest Whitaker [FWHIT] stars in the lead role with Oprah Winfrey acting for the first time in 15 years as his wife. An all-star cast round out the historical figures. The Weinstein Co. got a lot of free publicity when Warner Bros. challenged its original title The Butler. The R-rated drama should have strong support from African-Americans and older women. The film will also cross-over into the arthouse crowd as director Lee Daniels [LDANI] is getting the best reviews of his career and award buzz for the film. Opening in 2933 theaters, Lee Daniels’ The Butler could collect more than $21 million.

With positive word of mouth evident during the weekday box office, We’re the Millers [WEMIL] should hold better than 55% of its debut and smuggle another $15 million. Although Elysium [ELYSM] opened better than We’re the Millers, the sci-fi was not as favorably received. Elysium could fall 55% to $13 million in its second outing. The animated Planes [PLANE] may dive 40% in its second weekend to $13 million.

Ashton Kutcher [AKUTC] stars as the late Apple co-founder in the biopic Jobs [JOBS].  The PG-13 rated film has garnered mostly negative reviews since premiering at the 2013 Sundance Festival.  However, Open Road only needs to entice a fraction of the fanatical Apple devotees  curious about the history of the tech company and its famous leader. Launching in 2381 theaters, Jobs could boot up $10 million.

The PG-13 rated thriller Paranoia [PRNOA] looks unlikely to make a star out of Liam Hemsworth [LHEMS]. The corporate espionage storyline is unlikely to appeal to fans of The Hunger Games. Instead, Gary Oldman [GOLDM] and Harrison Ford [HFORD] are more likely to interest the older adult crowd. While Relativity’s marketing campaign tries to latch onto the current debate over privacy, Paranoia has generated minimal buzz. Showing in 2459 locations, Paranoia may be lucky to crack $8 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AJOHN, CMORE, KCKA2, JCARR, BUTLR, FWHIT, LDANI, WEMIL, ELYSM, PLANE, AKUTC, JOBS, PRNOA, LHEMS, GOLDM, HFORD

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, August 15, 2013 @ 04:18 PM 8385 views

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Union County (UNINC) 149997 1.26 (-0.11)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Goonies 2 (GONI2) 10000 55.46 (-0.06)          Union County (UNINC) 149997 1.26 (-0.11)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.91 (+8.91)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 10000 19.36 (+0.06)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.91 (+8.91)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 5000 55.50 (+2.00)          Leo Woodall (LWOOD) 25000 6.11 (-0.05)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          James Cameron (JCAME) 25000 118.49 (-0.33)          Untitled Kyoto Project (KYOTO) 10000 9.91 (-0.01)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 10000 34.95 (-0.12)          The Last Photograph (LPHOT) 10000 1.47 (-0.02)          Monitor (MONTR) 10000 8.28 (-0.03)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 10000 15.17 (-0.02)          Metal Gear Solid (MTLGR) 10000 15.17 (-0.02)          Nomad (NOMD1) 5000 1.03 (0.00)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 50000 176.58 (-5.22)          Octet (OCTET) 10000 21.65 (-0.09)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 10000 15.94 (-0.05)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 10000 15.94 (-0.05)          Daveed Diggs (DDIGG) 10000 85.57 (+0.35)          Gold Mountain (OGMTN) 10000 15.94 (-0.05)          The Only Living Pickpocket in Ne (OLPNY) 10000 2.39 (0.00)          Peaked (PEAKD) 10000 14.07 (-0.04)          Peaked (PEAKD) 10000 14.07 (-0.04)          The Secret Life of Pets 3 (PETS3) 1000 98.60 (+1.45)          Rose (ROSE) 5000 1.51 (0.00)          Saw XI aka Saw 11 (SAW11) 10000 21.48 (-0.15)          Sender (SENDR) 10000 7.56 (-0.04)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 10000 7.27 (0.00)          Sleeping Dogs (SLPDG) 10000 7.27 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 20000 48.91 (+8.91)          Addison Rae (ARAE) 25000 29.72 (0.00)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.51 (+0.28)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 2.29 (+0.11)          Mila Kunis (MKUNI) 14000 35.20 (+0.07)          Crawlers (CRWLR) 150000 1.56 (-0.12)          Disclosure Day H$45 Call (SKIES.CA) 25000 4.38 (+0.21)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 150000 8.73 (+0.14)          Beach Read (BCHRD) 20000 24.72 (+0.65)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          Custom of the Country (TCOTC) 10000 9.96 (-0.04)          Thumb (THUM) 10000 4.34 (0.00)          Patrick Stewart (PSTEW) 25000 50.88 (-0.83)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 10000 8.87 (+0.05)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 9.60 (+0.29)          Iman Vellani (IVELL) 25000 32.16 (-0.01)          When Darkness Loves Us (WDLUS) 10000 7.25 (0.00)