SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Lone Survivor should prevail on top.

Four films in limited release with Oscar aspirations expand wide this weekend at the box office led by Lone Survivor [LSURV] starring Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL]. The R-rated action drama is based on the true story of an ill-fated U.S. Navy SEAL mission in Afghanistan. Universal has played up the heroism in its marketing campaign, while the real-life lone survivor Marcus Luttrell has been making the publicity rounds with director Peter Berg [PEBER]. Two years ago, Act of Valor featuring real-life SEALs debuted with $24.5 million, though in the less crowded late February. Football playoffs and a really cold winter could hold back some of the mainstream audiences.  Playing in 2786 theaters, Lone Survivor could pull out $20 million.

Not even the ‘polar vortex’ could cool down Frozen [FROZE.BW], which is likely to finished second in its eighth week with another $12 million.

After earning $3 million in 3 weeks of limited release, Her [HERSJ] expands wide into 1729 theaters. Joaquin Phoenix [JPHOE] plays a man who falls in love with the artificial female voice of his smartphone.  Directed by Spike Jonze [SJONZ], the offbeat drama has earned rave reviews and critical awards. With buzz among hipsters yound and old, Her could download $9 million.

Summit slotted the low-budgeted The Legend of Hercules [HRCLB] into release just two months ago to beat Paramount’s big-budgeted Hercules. Although Kellan Lutz [KLUTZ] appeared in the Twilight series, he lacks any drawing starpower.  Marketed as Gladiator meets 300, the R-rated actioner will only appeal to young men. Playing in 2104 theaters, The Legend of Hercules may grab $6 million.

As with most horror sequels, Paranormal Activity: The Marked Ones [OXNRD] looks to drop around 60% in its second session to around $7 million.

The two other acclaimed films expanding wide this weekend are courting older moviegoers. August, Osage County [AUGOC] starring Meryl Streep [MSTRE] and Julia Roberts [JROBE] may gather $6 million from 905 locations. Inside Llewyn Davis [INSLD] directed by the Coen brothers [COEN] could tune up $3 million from 729 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): LSURV, MWAHL, PEBER, HERSJ, JPHOE, SJONZ, HRCLB, KLUTZ, OXNRD, AUGOC, MSTRE, JROBE, INSLD, COEN

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 9, 2014 @ 04:01 PM 2975 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Molly Gordon (MGORD) 25000 25.75 (+0.75)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 742 107.52 (-0.44)          Hexed aka Untitled Walt Disney A (HEXED) 2500 116.22 (0.00)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 447.57 (-1.12)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 121.29 (-0.54)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 1000 344.61 (-0.31)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 121.29 (-0.54)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 150000 10.56 (+1.02)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 26103 221.01 (+0.08)          Sheep Detectives aka Three Bags (3BAGF) 3390 34.59 (0.00)          EPiC: Elvis Presley in Concert (EPICC) 150000 13.66 (-0.17)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 149998 10.56 (+1.02)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 149996 10.56 (+1.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 50000 43.99 (-3.13)          Crime 101 (CRIM1) 150000 38.45 (-0.10)          Peaked (PEAKD) 150000 7.64 (-0.36)          Colman Domingo (CDOMI) 25000 69.90 (-1.28)          Soulm8te (SOM8T) 2000 11.17 (-0.13)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 2000 290.45 (-1.01)          Dwayne Johnson (TROCK) 25000 139.61 (+0.66)          Carolina Caroline (CROLN) 150000 1.40 (+0.02)          Judy Greer (JGREE) 25000 33.50 (-0.26)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 3959 281.45 (-0.54)          The Chaperones (CHAPR) 500 10.56 (+1.02)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.99 (-3.13)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 25000 55.48 (-0.50)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 43.99 (-3.13)          Ke Huy Quan (KHQUA) 25000 114.90 (-1.32)          The Moment (MOMNT) 500 12.22 (+1.31)          John Leguizamo (JLEGU) 25000 59.76 (+0.33)          Christine (CRSTN) 500 18.35 (+1.66)          Josh Gad (JGAD) 25000 108.39 (+0.66)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 1098 156.16 (+0.84)          Jenny Slate (JESLA) 25000 128.73 (-0.67)          Corporate Retreat (CRPRT) 30000 3.70 (-0.38)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 25000 111.38 (+1.00)          Michelle Yeoh (MYEOH) 25000 142.12 (-1.33)          Peaked (PEAKD) 149998 7.64 (-0.36)          Christine (CRSTN) 25000 18.35 (+1.66)          The Moment (MOMNT) 20000 12.22 (+1.31)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 25000 154.12 (-1.52)          Christine (CRSTN) 20000 18.35 (+1.66)          My Ex-Friend's Wedding (MEXFW) 149998 11.09 (+0.16)          The Adventures of Cliff Booth (TAOCB) 50000 5.94 (-0.03)          The Drama (TDRAM) 149998 20.50 (+0.32)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 25000 154.12 (-1.52)          Jon M. Chu (JCHU) 25000 139.55 (-1.34)          Danny Trejo (DTREJ) 25000 85.77 (+1.25)          Jeff Goldblum (JGOLD) 25000 154.12 (-1.52)          Bruce Lee (BRLEE) 149998 13.45 (+0.64)