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Whisper Numbers: Transformers should hold off Tammy

Three new films open in wide release today ahead of the Fourth of July holiday weekend. Business will likely be slow Friday evening as people gather for festivities and fireworks rather hit the movies. Transformers: Age of Extinction [TFRM4] became the year’s first $100 million opener, though not without controversy over Paramount’s apparent fudging of what others in the industry figured should be $97 million. With everything going against it in its second weekend, Transformers: Age of Extinction is likely to tumble close to 60% to $41 million.

Melissa McCarthy [MMCCA] uses her newfound stardom to produce her first film and solo as the lead in Tammy [TAMMY]. The R-rated comedy features more of her outrageous antics, which helped opened The Heat to $39.1 million and Identity Thief $34.6 million. With a Wednesday opening in 3400 theaters siphoning moviegoers away from the weekend, Tammy is unlikely to match those figures. Tammy may settle with $27 million from Friday to Sunday.

Eric Bana [EBANA] stars in the latest horror film inspired by a true story, Deliver Us From Evil [BWRNT]. Sony hopes to bring out horror fans that made The Conjuring a surprise hit last summer. The R-rated film about exorcism should also appeal to Latino moviegoers. Playing in 3045 theaters, Deliver Us From Evil could scare up $16 million over the weekend.

Relativity counters with the PG-rated Earth to Echo [ECHO], a found footage sci-fi film aimed at families. Earth to Echo looks to uncover $12 million from 3229 theaters between Friday and Sunday.

America: Imagine a World Without Her [AIWWH] expands wide into 1105 theaters. The political documentary targets conservatives who supported director Dinesh D'Souza's 2016: Obama’s America, but is unlikely to have the same success. America may net $3 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): TFRM4, MMCCA, TAMMY, EBANA, BWRNT, ECHO, AIWWH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Wednesday, July 2, 2014 @ 12:17 PM 2682 views

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Day of the Fight (DAYOF) 150000 0.55 (-0.04)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 150000 20.47 (-0.15)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 150000 464.84 (+1.67)          Babymetal Legend - 43 The Movie (BML43) 150000 0.59 (-0.04)          Theater of Thought (THOTH) 150000 0.35 (-0.04)          The Man in the White Van (MITWV) 150000 0.78 (0.00)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 5000 17.64 (-0.36)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 73.79 (+1.69)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 20000 17.64 (-0.36)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 4.22 (+1.80)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 5000 223.54 (-5.02)          Homestead (HMSTD) 10000 16.53 (+3.14)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 9.26 (+2.17)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 1 35.84 (-0.08)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 149999 202.60 (-13.33)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 14553 35.84 (-0.08)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 50000 17.64 (-0.36)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 7687 46.37 (+4.90)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 4 46.37 (+4.90)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 4 46.37 (+4.90)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 50000 17.64 (-0.36)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 25000 35.84 (-0.08)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 37902 46.37 (+4.90)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 25000 17.64 (-0.36)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 20000 46.37 (+4.90)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 37936 46.37 (+4.90)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 24999 17.64 (-0.36)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 50000 35.84 (-0.08)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 37936 46.37 (+4.90)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 50000 35.84 (-0.08)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.52 (+2.62)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.52 (+2.62)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 124.43 (-7.69)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 124.43 (-7.69)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 24878 201.23 (+1.23)          Better Man (BETRM) 150000 19.97 (-0.17)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 202.60 (-13.33)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 202.60 (-13.33)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 4.22 (+1.80)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 149999 16.49 (-0.06)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 34.90 (-1.84)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 52240 223.54 (-5.02)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 149999 4.22 (+1.80)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 149999 124.43 (-7.69)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 202.60 (-13.33)          One of Them Days (1OTDS) 149999 17.27 (-0.27)