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Whisper Numbers: The Maze Runner should leg out a win

This weekend brings another dystopian sci-fi film adapted from a best-selling YA novel. The Maze Runner [MAZER] focuses on a group of young men are trapped within a post-apocalyptic glade. Dylan O’Brien [DOBRI] stars as a new arrival who leads the escape. Fox hopes the PG-13 rated film will open more like Divergent’s $54.6 million than The Giver’s $12.3 million, while trackings indicate an opening smack in the middle of the two. Starting in 3604 theaters, The Maze Runner could cross the finish line with $35 million.

Liam Neeson [LNEES] is back with another Taken-like role. Based on the 10th book in a the Matthew Scudder series, A Walk Among the Tombstones [WKTMB] stars Neeson as a private investigator for criminals, hired to track down a couple of sadistic killers. Neeson’s previous effort for Universal, the PG-13 rated Non-Stop debuted at $28.9 million. The R-rated A Walk Among the Tombstones is darker and contains less action, which may limit the audience to older men. Breaking into 2712 theaters, A Walk Among the Tombstones could uncover $17 million.

Warner Bros. has assembled an all-star ensemble cast for the R-rated dramedy This is Where I Leave You [TWILU] based on a best-selling novel. Jason Bateman [JBATE] and Tina Fey [TFEY] are the biggest draws in the film targeted at older female moviegoers. Although reviews have been mixed, This is Where I Leave You could tally $13 million from 2868 theaters.

Last week's breakout number one film, No Good Deed [NOGDD] is likely to drop more than 50% in its second weekend and finish around $11 million.

Despite not having competition for family fare, Dolphin Tale 2 [DLPH2] did not perform as well as its predecessor. The sequel is likely to decline at a faster rate of 35% in its second weekend to $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MAZER, DOBRI, LNEES, WKTMB, TWILU, JBATE, TFEY, NOGDD, DLPH2

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 18, 2014 @ 04:36 PM 20812 views

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Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 1000 48.75 (-1.10)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 2999 181.24 (-0.07)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5000 315.24 (-2.37)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149999 9.46 (+0.13)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          Obsession (OBSSN) 3684 108.22 (+12.74)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1 59.99 (+0.01)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.70 (-0.04)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Fonda (FONDA) 1 9.66 (+0.04)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 5446 18.59 (+0.28)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 5144 55.72 (+0.17)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 9.08 (-0.04)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 54.08 (-0.82)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 149999 12.74 (-0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 149034 84.61 (+2.33)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 43.90 (+0.53)          Ice Cream Man (ICREM) 150000 15.66 (+0.31)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 150000 176.58 (-5.22)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 149999 531.04 (-1.57)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 16900 18.59 (+0.28)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Crime After Crime (CACRM) 150000 2.13 (-0.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 9.63 (+0.32)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 55 358.53 (+3.82)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 2654 18.59 (+0.28)          When We Pray (WPRAY) 150000 0.03 (-0.03)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 20000 6.65 (+0.23)          Scary Movie H$35 Call (SCAR6.CA) 25000 4.58 (+0.20)          Lucky Strike (LCKYS) 40000 6.65 (+0.23)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 99.90 (+2.16)          Scary Movie - Opening Weekend (SCAR6.OW) 100000 43.90 (+0.53)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.59 (0.00)          Peddi (PEDDI) 150000 2.59 (0.00)          Michael $285M Blockbuster Warran (MJACK.BW) 25000 12.30 (+0.61)          Fatherland aka 1949 (FTHRL) 150000 4.70 (+0.06)          The Asian Fund (ASIAN) 20000 48.47 (+0.23)          The Animal Fund (ZOO) 20000 32.42 (+0.05)          Motor City (MTRCT) 25000 8.24 (-0.02)          November 1963 (NOV63) 150000 6.76 (-0.02)