SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Fury about to rage into theaters

Three new films each targeting a different demographic fight to install a new box office champion. Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the pack with the WWII actioner Fury [FURY]. Marketed as an old fashioned war movie, the R-rated film should connect with adult men.  The WWII drama Monuments Men starring George Clooney opened to $22 million in February. Directed by David Ayer [DAYER], Fury has garnered better reviews and its tank battles should attract younger males.  However, the Sony film is unlikely to match the $38 million opening of Inglourious Basterds, which had director Quentin Tarantino. Fighting in 3155 theaters, Fury could hit $27 million.

The animated fantasy Book of Life [BOLIF] centers on the Mexican Day of the Dead celebration. Fox has assembled an impressive cast that includes Channing Tatum [CTATU], Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Diego Luna [DLUNA] and Ice Cube [ICUBE]. The PG-rated film represents a significant draw for Latino families, an often underestimated moviegoing demographic. Showing in 3069 theaters, Book of Life may tally $19 million.

Strong buzz will continue to steer moviegoers to Gone Girl [GONEG]. The thriller looks to cross the $100 million marker with another $18 million.

James Marsden [JMARS] and Michelle Monaghan [MMONA] hook up in the PG-13 rated romance Best of Me [BESME], the second Nicholas Sparks adaptation produced by Relativity. Their previous Sparks film Safe Haven opened over Valentine’s Day weekend 2013 to $21 million. The only Sparks film to open during fall was Nights in Rodanthe in 2008 with $13.4 million. Poor reviews won’t matter to the target fanbase of older women. Best of Me may take in $14 million from 2936 theaters.

As a family film, Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day [ATHNG] should have a decent hold in its sophomore weekend. A 40% decline would bring in $11 million. On the otherhand, Dracula Untold [DRCYZ] may tumble more than 55% in its second weekend to about $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPITT, FURY, DAYER, BOLIF, CTATU, ZSALD, DLUNA, ICUBE, GONEG, JMARS, MMONA, BESME, ATHNG, DRCYZ

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 16, 2014 @ 03:19 PM 2775 views

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Gundam (GUNDM) 25000 14.11 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.78 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.78 (0.00)          Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy (BJON4) 50000 2.92 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 13.21 (0.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 1 24.65 (0.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 20000 24.65 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 15000 24.65 (0.00)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 55000 9.13 (0.00)          Companion (CMPAN) 3000 28.98 (0.00)          Companion (CMPAN) 7000 28.98 (0.00)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.21 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 75000 300.18 (0.00)          Donald Glover (DOGLO) 2500 222.20 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.78 (0.00)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 150000 276.82 (0.00)          Evil Dead Untitled (EVLD6) 15000 26.79 (0.00)          Evil Dead Untitled (EVLD6) 25000 26.79 (0.00)          Swamp Thing (SWAMP) 10000 36.91 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.78 (0.00)          The Senior (SENIR) 150000 3.78 (0.00)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 9999 21.48 (0.00)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 2000 21.48 (0.00)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 36000 21.48 (0.00)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 36000 21.48 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 7000 78.18 (0.00)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 6111 78.18 (0.00)          Zoe Kravitz (ZKRAV) 25000 119.56 (0.00)          Jake Kasdan (JKASD) 25000 143.18 (0.00)          Jake Kasdan (JKASD) 25000 143.18 (0.00)          I am Legend 2 (LEGN2) 149999 56.86 (0.00)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 1 34.18 (0.00)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 24950 7.90 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 1 38.78 (0.00)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 149999 170.83 (0.00)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 1 38.78 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 4000 13.21 (0.00)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 6000 13.21 (0.00)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 150000 23.27 (0.00)          Blood on Snow (BLOSN) 1 23.27 (0.00)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 100000 140.73 (0.00)          Nutcrackers (NTCRS) 150000 2.81 (0.00)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 6.40 (0.00)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 2500 172.15 (0.00)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.00 (0.00)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 20.43 (0.00)