SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Fury about to rage into theaters

Three new films each targeting a different demographic fight to install a new box office champion. Brad Pitt [BPITT] leads the pack with the WWII actioner Fury [FURY]. Marketed as an old fashioned war movie, the R-rated film should connect with adult men.  The WWII drama Monuments Men starring George Clooney opened to $22 million in February. Directed by David Ayer [DAYER], Fury has garnered better reviews and its tank battles should attract younger males.  However, the Sony film is unlikely to match the $38 million opening of Inglourious Basterds, which had director Quentin Tarantino. Fighting in 3155 theaters, Fury could hit $27 million.

The animated fantasy Book of Life [BOLIF] centers on the Mexican Day of the Dead celebration. Fox has assembled an impressive cast that includes Channing Tatum [CTATU], Zoe Saldana [ZSALD], Diego Luna [DLUNA] and Ice Cube [ICUBE]. The PG-rated film represents a significant draw for Latino families, an often underestimated moviegoing demographic. Showing in 3069 theaters, Book of Life may tally $19 million.

Strong buzz will continue to steer moviegoers to Gone Girl [GONEG]. The thriller looks to cross the $100 million marker with another $18 million.

James Marsden [JMARS] and Michelle Monaghan [MMONA] hook up in the PG-13 rated romance Best of Me [BESME], the second Nicholas Sparks adaptation produced by Relativity. Their previous Sparks film Safe Haven opened over Valentine’s Day weekend 2013 to $21 million. The only Sparks film to open during fall was Nights in Rodanthe in 2008 with $13.4 million. Poor reviews won’t matter to the target fanbase of older women. Best of Me may take in $14 million from 2936 theaters.

As a family film, Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day [ATHNG] should have a decent hold in its sophomore weekend. A 40% decline would bring in $11 million. On the otherhand, Dracula Untold [DRCYZ] may tumble more than 55% in its second weekend to about $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BPITT, FURY, DAYER, BOLIF, CTATU, ZSALD, DLUNA, ICUBE, GONEG, JMARS, MMONA, BESME, ATHNG, DRCYZ

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 16, 2014 @ 03:19 PM 3257 views

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Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 9.83 (0.00)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 94982 5.32 (+0.02)          Hershey (HERSH) 10000 12.43 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 5000 491.66 (+0.80)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 48.64 (-0.19)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 190 10.38 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.34 (-0.46)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35 218.10 (0.00)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 50 2.76 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 195 8.10 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 60.13 (+0.14)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 190 8.87 (0.00)          Voltron (VOLTN) 115 21.09 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 1 20.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 50000 30.38 (+0.63)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 400 4.16 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 55 46.25 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 66 56.68 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 10000 100.50 (+0.60)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 185 8.76 (0.00)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 185 10.63 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 13.72 (+0.36)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.64 (-0.19)          Pressure (PRSUR) 149997 13.72 (+0.36)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 15 76.42 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1100 242.99 (0.00)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 20000 56.49 (+0.16)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 49 41.42 (+0.15)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 2 165.50 (0.00)          The Flood (FLOOD) 5 78.09 (+0.24)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 10000 12.94 (-0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 18 20.14 (+0.30)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 8000 491.66 (+0.80)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5 81.99 (+0.25)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 4 491.66 (+0.80)          John C. Reilly (JCREI) 20000 44.26 (+0.16)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 5 52.84 (+0.15)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 4 135.52 (+0.33)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 4 117.95 (+0.32)          The Beast (TBEAS) 50 6.89 (-0.22)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 700 2.22 (-0.07)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 5 16.03 (+0.06)          Fonda (FONDA) 149999 9.69 (+0.03)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 9 43.01 (+0.30)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 18 65.76 (-0.97)          James Corden (JCORD) 20000 30.34 (-0.12)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 24 30.38 (+0.63)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 149999 20.00 (0.00)          Late Fame (LTFAM) 1750 1.08 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 5 239.62 (0.00)