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Whisper Numbers: Super Bowl won't deflate American Sniper

Will the biggest sporting and television event in America finally stop the momentum of American Sniper [AMSNP]? Hollywood is providing little competition this weekend against the box office phenomenon due to the Super Bowl.  After tearing through the $200 million marker, American Sniper has the $300 million goalpost clearly in sight. Even with the Super Bowl cutting into business on Sunday, American Sniper could still hold around 60% of last weekend to remain in first with around $40 million.

Paramount targets teenagers with the PG-13 rated Project Almanac [ALMNC]. The time travelling, found-footage film was originally scheduled for release last year under the title Welcome to Yesterday. The new title clearly mimics Project X, Warner Bros.’ found footage party film which opened to $21.0 million in March 2012. Earlier that same year, Fox’s found-footage sci-fi film Chronicle debuted with $22.0 million over Super Bowl weekend. However, the found-footage concept is no longer fresh today. Clocking in at 2893 theaters, Project Almanac could bring home $14.0 million.

After its decent opening last week, The Boy Next Door [BOYND] is likely drop 55% to about $6.5 million.

Kevin Costner [KCOST] stars in the PG-13 rated racial drama Black or White [BLKWH], which has received favorable reviews on a sensitive subject matter. Relativity targets older adults, but most are likely to just wait for it to reach the small screen. Costner’s starpower has diminished as Draft Day managed only a $9.8 million opening last year. Opening in1823 theaters, Black or White may divvy up $5.5 million.

Open Road has dusted off The Loft [TLOFT] from the shelf where it was previously dropped by both Warner Bros. and Universal. The R-rated thriller premiered its trailer just last month, and had little marketing outside targeted ad buys on cable TV during the last week. The Loft may post $3 million from 1841 locations.

After a month of successful platform release, A24 expands A Most Violent Year [AMVYR] wide into 818 theaters. Although the R-rated drama had excellent reviews, it failed to garner any Oscar nominations. A Most Violent Year could tally $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, ALMNC, BOYND, KCOST, BLKWH, TLOFT, AMVYR

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 29, 2015 @ 03:38 PM 2154 views

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Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 35835 22.72 (+0.15)          Obsession - Opening Weekend (OBSSN.OW) 100000 6.27 (-0.30)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 10.66 (-1.39)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 51.57 (-2.22)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 10.66 (-1.39)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 1 10.66 (-1.39)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 60888 10.66 (-1.39)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 10.66 (-1.39)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 150000 101.34 (-1.03)          White Elephant (WELEP) 100000 16.61 (-0.75)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          Embers (EMBER) 150000 3.57 (-0.43)          Obsession (OBSSN) 64333 22.72 (+0.15)          Fing! (FING) 150000 5.10 (+2.48)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.CA) 25000 2.89 (+0.32)          Fing! (FING) 149999 5.10 (+2.48)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 4.78 (+2.56)          Voltron (VOLTN) 150000 22.78 (-0.37)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3.OW) 100000 104.24 (+1.77)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 50000 200.34 (-0.26)          Octet (OCTET) 123772 20.00 (0.00)          Them (THEM) 100000 39.16 (+0.81)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 361 11.98 (+0.27)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 362 11.98 (+0.27)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 35063 11.98 (+0.27)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 50000 200.34 (-0.26)          Is God Is (ISGOD) 70956 11.98 (+0.27)          In the Grey (NGREY) 103769 17.14 (-0.27)          Lea Seydoux (LSEYD) 25000 54.68 (-0.33)          Hugh Bonneville (HBONN) 25000 28.01 (+0.25)          The Wizard of the Kremlin (WZKRM) 150000 3.34 (+0.39)          Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 9.45 (+0.20)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 2.10 (+0.59)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 2.10 (+0.59)          Driver's Ed (DRVED) 150000 2.82 (-0.78)          Fing! (FING) 150000 5.10 (+2.48)          Fing! (FING) 150000 5.10 (+2.48)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 4.78 (+2.56)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 (PRAD2) 50000 200.34 (-0.26)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 150000 4.78 (+2.56)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 4.56 (-0.56)          Jack Ryan: Ghost War (RYAN1) 150000 8.32 (-0.63)          Fing! (FING) 150000 5.10 (+2.48)          The Flood (FLOOD) 40000 67.78 (+3.21)