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Whisper Numbers: Super Bowl won't deflate American Sniper

Will the biggest sporting and television event in America finally stop the momentum of American Sniper [AMSNP]? Hollywood is providing little competition this weekend against the box office phenomenon due to the Super Bowl.  After tearing through the $200 million marker, American Sniper has the $300 million goalpost clearly in sight. Even with the Super Bowl cutting into business on Sunday, American Sniper could still hold around 60% of last weekend to remain in first with around $40 million.

Paramount targets teenagers with the PG-13 rated Project Almanac [ALMNC]. The time travelling, found-footage film was originally scheduled for release last year under the title Welcome to Yesterday. The new title clearly mimics Project X, Warner Bros.’ found footage party film which opened to $21.0 million in March 2012. Earlier that same year, Fox’s found-footage sci-fi film Chronicle debuted with $22.0 million over Super Bowl weekend. However, the found-footage concept is no longer fresh today. Clocking in at 2893 theaters, Project Almanac could bring home $14.0 million.

After its decent opening last week, The Boy Next Door [BOYND] is likely drop 55% to about $6.5 million.

Kevin Costner [KCOST] stars in the PG-13 rated racial drama Black or White [BLKWH], which has received favorable reviews on a sensitive subject matter. Relativity targets older adults, but most are likely to just wait for it to reach the small screen. Costner’s starpower has diminished as Draft Day managed only a $9.8 million opening last year. Opening in1823 theaters, Black or White may divvy up $5.5 million.

Open Road has dusted off The Loft [TLOFT] from the shelf where it was previously dropped by both Warner Bros. and Universal. The R-rated thriller premiered its trailer just last month, and had little marketing outside targeted ad buys on cable TV during the last week. The Loft may post $3 million from 1841 locations.

After a month of successful platform release, A24 expands A Most Violent Year [AMVYR] wide into 818 theaters. Although the R-rated drama had excellent reviews, it failed to garner any Oscar nominations. A Most Violent Year could tally $2 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): AMSNP, ALMNC, BOYND, KCOST, BLKWH, TLOFT, AMVYR

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 29, 2015 @ 03:38 PM 2180 views

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Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1000 242.99 (+0.28)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 147.68 (-1.10)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 121.08 (+0.81)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 102 101.82 (+0.45)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 267.78 (+0.22)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 358.53 (+3.82)          O Horizon (OHORZ) 150000 0.40 (-0.09)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 415.37 (+0.02)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1 121.08 (+0.81)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 25000 14.39 (+0.20)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 49.69 (+0.25)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1000 121.08 (+0.81)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 117 84.61 (+2.33)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 108.72 (+13.24)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 115163 48.83 (+8.83)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 1000 322.96 (-1.77)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 42179 5.76 (+0.01)          Primetime (PRMTM) 10 22.80 (+3.73)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.48 (+0.25)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 1 157.45 (-0.22)          Backrooms (BACRM) 149999 132.05 (+11.83)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1000 174.95 (+0.94)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 107821 5.76 (+0.01)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.83 (+8.83)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.83 (+8.83)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 1000 48.75 (-1.10)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 2999 181.24 (-0.07)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5000 315.24 (-2.37)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149999 9.46 (+0.13)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          Obsession (OBSSN) 3684 108.72 (+13.24)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1 59.99 (+0.01)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.70 (-0.04)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Fonda (FONDA) 1 9.66 (+0.04)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 5446 18.59 (+0.28)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 5144 55.72 (+0.17)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 9.08 (-0.04)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 54.08 (-0.82)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 149999 12.74 (-0.10)