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Whisper Numbers: Will The Martian overcome Gravity?

NASA announced the discovery of recent water on Mars this week just as The Martian [MARTN] arrives theaters. Fox can’t be any happier with the free publicity for their PG-13 rated sci-fi film.  Matt Damon [MDAMO] stars as an astronaut stranded on the red planet who must survive solely on his scientific knowledge. Damon played a similar role in Interstellar, which opened to $47.5 million last November, while Sandra Bullock's stranded-in-space flick Gravity set the October record two years ago at $55.8 million. Advance tickets sales are pacing ahead of Gravity. However, The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity. The film is highly anticipated by fans of the best-selling novel and the overwhelmingly positive reviews only build the buzz. If hurricane Joaquin doesn’t hit the East Coast, The Martian could land $58 million from 3826 locations.

Hotel Transylvania 2 [HTRN2] prove more popular than ever. Sony’s Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 declined 38% in its second weekend. A similar decay would put Hotel Transylvania 2 around $29 million.

Older women turned out for the comedy The Intern [INTRN] and should continue to do so. The Intern could hold 60% in its second weekend for $10.5 million.

After two weeks of limited release, Sicario [SICAR] expands wide into 2620 theaters. The R-rated crime drama about the border war on drugs has garnered critical acclaim. Though Lionsgate faces competition for the same audience from The Martian. Sicario may have to settle with $10 million.

Everest [EVRST] did not breakout in its wide expansion. With the loss of most IMAX screens to The Walk, Everest may descend to $6 million.

The Walk [TWALK] opened on 448 IMAX screens Wednesday and grossed just $0.24 million. The 1974-set film stars Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] as the real-life Frenchman who tightwalked across a wire strung between the Twin Towers. There’s little buzz as moviegoers appear uninterested in revisiting the CG site of the 9-11 tragedy. The Walk may reach $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MARTN, MDAMO, HTRN2, INTRN, SICAR, EVRST, TWALK, JGORD

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 1, 2015 @ 04:16 PM 4448 views

Recent Comments

Alby
Friday, October 2 at 21:16 PM Pacific
"The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity" I'm calling BS --- http://www.si.edu/imax/movie/205


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The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 25000 18.53 (-0.06)          Primetime (PRMTM) 150000 22.28 (-0.52)          Dev Patel (DPATE) 20000 9.83 (0.00)          Rogue Trooper (RTROP) 94982 5.32 (+0.02)          Hershey (HERSH) 10000 12.43 (0.00)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 5000 491.66 (+0.80)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 48.64 (-0.19)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 190 10.38 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 75000 22.28 (-0.52)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 35 218.10 (0.00)          Tomb Raider (TOMB4) 50 2.76 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 195 8.10 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 150000 60.13 (+0.14)          Vegas: A Love Story (VALVS) 190 8.87 (0.00)          Voltron (VOLTN) 115 21.09 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 1 20.00 (0.00)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 50000 30.38 (+0.63)          Wind of Change (WNDOC) 400 4.16 (0.00)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 55 46.25 (0.00)          Wonka 2 (WONK2) 66 56.68 (0.00)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 10000 100.50 (+0.60)          Watch Dogs (WTDOG) 185 8.76 (0.00)          Claire Foy (CFOY) 185 10.63 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 13.72 (+0.36)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.64 (-0.19)          Pressure (PRSUR) 149997 13.72 (+0.36)          Stephen Graham (SGRAH) 15 76.42 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1100 242.99 (0.00)          Dave Franco (DFRAN) 20000 56.49 (+0.16)          Attack of the 50 Foot Woman (A50FW) 49 41.42 (+0.15)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 2 165.50 (0.00)          The Flood (FLOOD) 5 78.09 (+0.24)          Joni Mitchell biopic (JONIM) 10000 12.94 (-0.01)          Heart Eyes 2 (HRTE2) 18 20.14 (+0.30)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 8000 491.66 (+0.80)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5 81.99 (+0.25)          Avengers: Secret Wars (AVNG6) 4 491.66 (+0.80)          John C. Reilly (JCREI) 20000 44.26 (+0.16)          Cocomelon the Movie (COMEL) 5 52.84 (+0.15)          Bluey the Movie (BLUEY) 4 135.52 (+0.33)          A Quiet Place: Part III (AQPL4) 4 117.95 (+0.32)          The Beast (TBEAS) 50 6.89 (-0.22)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 700 2.22 (-0.07)          Archangel aka Price of Freedom a (ARCNG) 5 16.03 (+0.06)          Fonda (FONDA) 149999 9.69 (+0.03)          PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie (PAWP3) 9 43.01 (+0.30)          The End of Oak Street (FLWVS) 18 65.76 (-0.97)          James Corden (JCORD) 20000 30.34 (-0.12)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 24 30.38 (+0.63)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 149999 20.00 (0.00)