SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will The Martian overcome Gravity?

NASA announced the discovery of recent water on Mars this week just as The Martian [MARTN] arrives theaters. Fox can’t be any happier with the free publicity for their PG-13 rated sci-fi film.  Matt Damon [MDAMO] stars as an astronaut stranded on the red planet who must survive solely on his scientific knowledge. Damon played a similar role in Interstellar, which opened to $47.5 million last November, while Sandra Bullock's stranded-in-space flick Gravity set the October record two years ago at $55.8 million. Advance tickets sales are pacing ahead of Gravity. However, The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity. The film is highly anticipated by fans of the best-selling novel and the overwhelmingly positive reviews only build the buzz. If hurricane Joaquin doesn’t hit the East Coast, The Martian could land $58 million from 3826 locations.

Hotel Transylvania 2 [HTRN2] prove more popular than ever. Sony’s Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 declined 38% in its second weekend. A similar decay would put Hotel Transylvania 2 around $29 million.

Older women turned out for the comedy The Intern [INTRN] and should continue to do so. The Intern could hold 60% in its second weekend for $10.5 million.

After two weeks of limited release, Sicario [SICAR] expands wide into 2620 theaters. The R-rated crime drama about the border war on drugs has garnered critical acclaim. Though Lionsgate faces competition for the same audience from The Martian. Sicario may have to settle with $10 million.

Everest [EVRST] did not breakout in its wide expansion. With the loss of most IMAX screens to The Walk, Everest may descend to $6 million.

The Walk [TWALK] opened on 448 IMAX screens Wednesday and grossed just $0.24 million. The 1974-set film stars Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] as the real-life Frenchman who tightwalked across a wire strung between the Twin Towers. There’s little buzz as moviegoers appear uninterested in revisiting the CG site of the 9-11 tragedy. The Walk may reach $4 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): MARTN, MDAMO, HTRN2, INTRN, SICAR, EVRST, TWALK, JGORD

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, October 1, 2015 @ 04:16 PM 4080 views

Recent Comments

Alby
Friday, October 2 at 21:16 PM Pacific
"The Martian runs an hour longer and does not have the higher-priced IMAX screens that propelled Gravity" I'm calling BS --- http://www.si.edu/imax/movie/205



Grendel (GREND) 6 22.11 (+1.38)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 150000 23.49 (+0.52)          The Brutalist (BRUTL) 150000 6.82 (+0.12)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 150000 3.38 (+0.02)          Grendel (GREND) 54890 22.11 (+1.38)          The Incredible Hulk vs. Wolverin (THLK2) 50000 50.55 (+0.09)          Blade (BLAD1) 50000 72.26 (-0.16)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 150000 23.08 (+0.74)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 72.26 (-0.16)          The Incredible Hulk vs. Wolverin (THLK2) 150000 50.55 (+0.09)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 1 3.38 (+0.02)          Night Has Fallen (HFAL4) 1 3.38 (+0.02)          Magic Farm (MGCFM) 1 1.68 (-0.03)          Magic Farm (MGCFM) 1 1.68 (-0.03)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 150000 23.08 (+0.74)          Verity (VERTY) 15000 39.27 (-1.67)          Together (TGETR) 25000 5.09 (-0.85)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 39.27 (-1.67)          Together (TGETR) 150000 5.09 (-0.85)          Magic Farm (MGCFM) 150000 1.68 (-0.03)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 50000 20.35 (-0.04)          The Thing with Feathers (TWFTH) 150000 1.69 (+0.09)          Bubble & Squeak (BUBSQ) 150000 1.76 (0.00)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 150000 23.08 (+0.74)          Verity (VERTY) 150000 39.27 (-1.67)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 14222 36.67 (-1.86)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 150000 36.67 (-1.86)          Love Me (LOVME) 150000 4.84 (+0.26)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 150000 23.08 (+0.74)          The Family Business Fund V (GENES) 20000 26.01 (+0.02)          Moana 2 $360 Blockbuster Warrant (MOAN2.BW) 25000 19.60 (+0.07)          Gladiator II $150M Blockbuster W (GLAD2.BW) 25000 13.76 (+0.14)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 100000 23.08 (+0.74)          Wicked $360M Blockbuster Warrant (WICKD.BW) 25000 19.91 (+0.07)          Opus (OPUS) 25000 15.91 (+0.82)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 20000 20.08 (+1.94)          Tower of Terror (TOWRT) 15000 18.22 (-0.42)          Heart Eyes (HRTEY) 150000 23.16 (+0.56)          Together (TGETR) 25000 5.09 (-0.85)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 11250 191.22 (-0.53)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 150000 36.10 (-0.90)          The Matrix 5 (MTRX5) 50000 36.10 (-0.90)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 150000 70.81 (+0.59)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 40000 205.94 (+0.13)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 149999 23.08 (+0.74)          Companion (CMPAN) 150000 26.62 (-0.74)          Companion (CMPAN) 150000 26.62 (-0.74)          Headhunters (HDHUN) 150000 23.08 (+0.74)          Queer (QUEER) 150000 3.16 (-0.05)          Better Man (BETRM) 150000 15.46 (-0.87)