SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5498 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 80.07 (-2.52)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)          J.C. Chandor (JCCHA) 25000 10.21 (-0.60)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 50000 223.54 (-5.02)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 24386 223.54 (-5.02)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 2.91 (-0.05)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 70000 46.37 (+4.90)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)          J.C. Chandor (JCCHA) 25000 10.21 (-0.60)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 25000 80.07 (-2.52)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 56266 223.54 (-5.02)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 9.03 (-0.25)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 8.36 (-1.71)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 150000 223.54 (-5.02)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 aka Reve (PRAD2) 149000 89.58 (+0.58)          Regretting You (RGRTU) 150000 25.13 (-0.15)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 150000 16.49 (-0.06)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 50000 199.29 (-0.39)          Snow White (SNWHT) 25000 199.71 (-0.61)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 20000 201.18 (+1.18)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 77251 204.04 (-11.89)          The Super Mario Bros. Movie 2 (MARI2) 150000 379.75 (-0.51)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 27392 204.04 (-11.89)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.07 (-0.01)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 45357 204.04 (-11.89)          Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & (FFHS2) 150000 30.96 (+0.20)          The Incredible Hulk vs. Wolverin (THLK2) 149999 55.56 (-0.49)          Blade (BLAD1) 149999 77.48 (-0.68)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 149999 43.73 (-0.59)          The Literary Fund (BOOKS) 20000 77.65 (+0.28)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 21.75 (+0.04)          Superman (SUPRM) 150000 240.24 (-2.00)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 182.39 (-0.03)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 150000 147.83 (+1.12)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 150000 204.41 (+1.82)          Idris Elba (IELBA) 20000 91.20 (+0.55)          Insidious 6 (NSID6) 150000 32.87 (-0.22)          Batgirl (BATGR) 100000 2.18 (-0.02)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)          Untitled Trey Parker (UVCHA) 150000 38.14 (-0.04)          Insidious 6 (NSID6) 150000 32.87 (-0.22)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 150000 194.15 (+0.99)          Vicious (VICUS) 150000 19.42 (-1.80)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 150000 34.85 (-1.89)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 34.85 (-1.89)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.18 (+1.18)