SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Star Wars to dominate the holidays

After shattering multiple box office records during last weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens [STAR7] continues to set a new high for each weekday. The second weekend promises to be another bonanza as Christmas Day held the third highest advance ticket sales. The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies declined 25% in its sophomore weekend over Christmas last year, while The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King slipped 30% over the same period. With its massive opening weekend, Star Wars: The Force Awakens is likely to be more frontloaded. A still respectable 35% drop-off would result in about $161 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the family comedy Daddy’s Home [DHOME]. Their previous PG-13 rated effort The Other Guys debuted to $35.5 million in August 2010. With a more crowded marketplace and male teenagers unlikely to be interested in a movie about fatherhood, Daddy’s Home may bring in $20.0 million from 3271 theaters.

Jennifer Lawrence [JLAWR] toplines Joy [JOY] from writer-director David O. Russell [DORUS]. The PG-13 rated biopic has earned mixed reviews, which has muted its Oscar buzz. Interest from women remains high. Sweeping into 2896 theaters, Joy could mop up $15 million.

Sony’s Concussion [GAMEB] stars Will Smith [WSMIT] as the real-life doctor who discovered a degenerative brain disease among former NFL players. Smith’s last dramatic role came 7 years ago with Seven Pounds, which opened to $14.8 million. Concussion may be able to hit $12 million from 2841 locations.

The 1991 action classic Point Break [PTBR2] has been unnecessarily remade with Luke Bracey [LBRAC] and Edgar Ramirez [EDRAM]. Reviews are mostly negative, which will turn off older fans of the original. Launching in 2910 theaters, Point Break may ride out $11 million.

Steve Carell [SCARE], Brad Pitt [BPITT], Christian Bale [CBALE] and Ryan Gosling [RGOSL]combine their starpower for the R-rated drama The Big Short [BIGSH] about the 2007 financial collapse. After netting $1.3 million in limited release, Paramount exapnded the film wide to 1585 theaters on Wednesday and earned $2.3 million. With excellent reviews, The Big Short could add another $9 million over the weekend.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): STAR7, WFERR, MWAHL, DHOME, JLAWR, JOY, DORUS, GAMEB, WSMIT, PTBR2, LBRAC, EDRAM, SCARE, BPITT, CBALE, RGOSL, BIGSH

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 24, 2015 @ 11:11 AM 5862 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.


Ads disabled on hsx.com
Ads disabled on hsx.com


Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 29.75 (0.00)          Children of Blood and Bone (COBAB) 150000 25.28 (0.00)          James Franco (JAFRA) 24000 18.90 (0.00)          James Corden (JCORD) 24000 30.46 (0.00)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 150000 9.50 (0.00)          The Jetsons (JETSN) 1777 55.65 (0.00)          James Franco (JAFRA) 24000 18.90 (0.00)          Her Private Hell (HERPH) 150000 7.67 (0.00)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 1000 322.96 (0.00)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 239.62 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 150000 147.68 (0.00)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 1000 242.99 (0.00)          Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 147.68 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 121.08 (0.00)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 102 101.82 (0.00)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 267.78 (0.00)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 358.53 (0.00)          O Horizon (OHORZ) 150000 0.40 (0.00)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 415.37 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1 121.08 (0.00)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 25000 14.39 (0.00)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 49.69 (0.00)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1000 121.08 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 117 84.61 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 108.72 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 115163 48.83 (0.00)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 1000 322.96 (0.00)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 42179 5.76 (0.00)          Primetime (PRMTM) 10 22.80 (0.00)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.48 (0.00)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 1 157.45 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 149999 132.05 (0.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (0.00)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1000 174.95 (0.00)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 107821 5.76 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.83 (0.00)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.83 (0.00)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 1000 48.75 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (0.00)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 2999 181.24 (0.00)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5000 315.24 (0.00)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149999 9.50 (0.00)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (0.00)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (0.00)          Obsession (OBSSN) 3684 108.72 (0.00)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (0.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (0.00)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (0.00)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1 59.99 (0.00)