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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 3300 views

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Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 47.30 (-1.53)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 84.48 (-0.13)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 75000 84.48 (-0.13)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.12 (+0.12)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 42272 50.35 (+0.24)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 100000 175.74 (-0.84)          The Exorcist Film Directed by Mi (TEXO2) 150000 50.35 (+0.24)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 6.71 (-0.40)          The Beast (TBEAS) 149999 6.71 (-0.40)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 149999 6.14 (+0.18)          A Head Full of Ghosts (AHFOG) 150000 6.14 (+0.18)          The Devil Wears Prada 2 $200M Bl (PRAD2.BW) 25000 9.66 (+0.03)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 149999 6.90 (+0.41)          Pendulum (PNDLM) 150000 6.90 (+0.41)          Pressure (PRSUR) 149999 13.83 (+0.47)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 74999 135.27 (-0.16)          Pressure (PRSUR) 150000 13.83 (+0.47)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 149500 175.74 (-0.84)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 30.58 (+0.83)          Super Troopers 3 (STRO3) 150000 30.58 (+0.83)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 47.30 (-1.53)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 149999 13.30 (+0.78)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 150000 46.10 (-0.15)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.30 (+0.78)          John Rambo (RAMB6) 100000 38.38 (+0.06)          Nicolas Cage (NCAGE) 25000 18.37 (-0.10)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 47.30 (-1.53)          Young Washington (YWASH) 10000 28.70 (+0.01)          Young Washington (YWASH) 10000 28.70 (+0.01)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 1000 267.78 (0.00)          Backrooms (BACRM) 150000 132.38 (+0.33)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 47.30 (-1.53)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 47.30 (-1.53)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 47.30 (-1.53)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 47.30 (-1.53)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 47.30 (-1.53)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 47.30 (-1.53)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 50000 47.30 (-1.53)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 47.30 (-1.53)          Backrooms (BACRM) 80 132.38 (+0.33)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.30 (+0.78)          Good People Bad Things (GPBT) 150000 13.30 (+0.78)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 47.30 (-1.53)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 2.14 (-0.15)          The Mongoose (MNGOS) 150000 2.14 (-0.15)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.98 (-0.32)          Daniel: The Fiery Furnace (DANIL) 150000 5.98 (-0.32)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 34251 60.16 (+0.17)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 6.71 (-0.40)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 150000 84.48 (-0.13)