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Whisper Numbers: Jason Bourne to beat Bad Moms

Nine years after disappearing from the movie landscape, Jason Bourne [BORN5] returns reuniting Matt Damon [MDAMO] and director Paul Greengrass [PGREE]. The Bourne Ultimatum had seemingly concluded his story and capped off a trilogy with a $69.2 million debut. Wanting to extend the franchise, Universal tapped Jeremy Renner for The Bourne Legacy, which opened to a respectable $38.1 million in 2012. Damon’s presence should bring back some of the original fans, though the murky motivation for Jason Bourne’s reappearance may put off a portion of the audience. Mixed reviews from critics have only confirmed that the PG-13 rated film is an unnecessary sequel. Still, the fifth Bourne is tracking and selling advance tickets similar to the fifth Mission: Impossible, Rogue Nation which opened a year ago with $55.5 million. Playing in 4026 theaters, Jason Bourne should clear $55 million.

Star Trek Beyond [TREK3] felt the fans’ wrath over Into Darkness, but should have better word of mouth. As with most sequels this summer though, Star Trek Beyond looks to power down around 50% in its second weekend to $29 million.

Mila Kunis [MKUNI] and Kristen Bell [KBELL] lead the R-rated comedy Bad Moms [BMOMS]. Ticket presales are pacing ahead of Trainwreck which hit $30 million a year ago. However, Amy Schumer seems to have generated more buzz for Trainwreck than STX has for Bad Moms. Raging in 3215 theaters, Bad Moms may bring home $28 million.

Lionsgate targets millennials with the PG-13 rated thriller Nerve [NERVE]. After a better than expected take of $3.8 million on Wednesday, Nerve should collect another $11 million over the weekend from 2538 locations.

As for the other two sophomore releases, the animated Ice Age: Collision Course [ICEA5] is likely to hold slightly better than 50% for $11 million ,while the horror Lights Out [LITSO] do the opposite at worse than 50% for $10 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): BORN5, MDAMO, PGREE, TREK3, MKUNI, KBELL, BMOMS, NERVE, ICEA5, LITSO

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 28, 2016 @ 03:51 PM 2936 views

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Famous (FAMOS) 150000 20.83 (-1.10)          Leigh Whannell (LWHAN) 20000 50.70 (-0.13)          Moana (MOAN1) 400 171.13 (+1.02)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 50000 21.29 (-0.06)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 400 197.30 (+0.50)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 50000 21.29 (-0.06)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 50000 21.29 (-0.06)          A Minecraft Movie (MINEC) 400 154.68 (+0.33)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 50000 21.29 (-0.06)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 50000 21.29 (-0.06)          Babygirl (BBGRL) 50000 21.29 (-0.06)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.28 (+0.31)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.28 (+0.31)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.28 (+0.31)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.28 (+0.31)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.28 (+0.31)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 50000 4.28 (+0.31)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 50000 5.14 (+0.24)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 50000 5.14 (+0.24)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 1000 20.16 (+0.10)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 50000 5.14 (+0.24)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 50000 5.14 (+0.24)          Belushi (BELUS) 10000 0.04 (+0.02)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 50000 5.14 (+0.24)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 50000 5.14 (+0.24)          The Saint (TSAIN) 100 17.44 (+0.21)          Ian McKellen (IMCKE) 25000 36.48 (-0.37)          The Saint (TSAIN) 50000 17.44 (+0.21)          Belushi (BELUS) 149999 0.04 (+0.02)          The Saint (TSAIN) 50000 17.44 (+0.21)          The Saint (TSAIN) 50000 17.44 (+0.21)          The Saint (TSAIN) 50000 17.44 (+0.21)          The Saint (TSAIN) 50000 17.44 (+0.21)          The Saint (TSAIN) 50000 17.44 (+0.21)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.28 (+0.28)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.16 (+0.10)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.16 (+0.10)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 50000 4.15 (+0.02)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 50000 4.15 (+0.02)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 50000 4.15 (+0.02)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 50000 4.15 (+0.02)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 50000 4.15 (+0.02)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.20 (+0.20)          Night Boat to Tangier (NBTNG) 50000 4.15 (+0.02)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.28 (+0.28)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.20 (+0.20)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 10.93 (-1.07)          Singham Again (SNGH3) 50000 2.34 (-0.01)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 75000 10.93 (-1.07)          Singham Again (SNGH3) 50000 2.34 (-0.01)