SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Blair Witch scare Sully?

The Blair Witch Project shook up Hollywood in 1999 with its revolutionary viral marketing and launched the found footage horror sub-genre that ironically it didn’t capitalized on again until now, 17 years later. Lionsgate has return to the roots of viral marketing and found footage for Blair Witch [WOODS], a direct sequel to the events of the 1999 film. A group of college students venture into the same forest where the sister of one of them disappeared years ago. Even though The Blair Witch Project grossed an astonishing $140 million, many of its patrons bought into the hype but didn’t actually enjoyed the experience. The R-rated Blair Witch will have to attract moviegoers who were just babies when the first film came out. Showing in 3121 theaters, Blair Witch may come away with $22 million.

With its appeal to older moviegoers, Sully [SULLY] should be able to hold better than 60% of its opening weekend. Sully may land another $21 million.

After an absence of more than 11 years, Renee Zellweger [RZELL] returns to her most identifiable role in Bridget Jones’s Baby [BJON3]. After prevailing over Hugh Grant, Colin Firth [CFIRT] must now contend with a new competition in the form of Patrick Dempsey [PDEMP]. The first two films both scored over $10 million during its wide opening. Despite the long gap between sequels, the heroine’s older female fanbase is likely to support the next chapter of the R-rated romantic comedy. Bridget Jones’s Baby could deliver $14 million from 2927 locations.

Snowden [SNWDN] stars Joseph Gordon-Levitt [JGORD] as the real-life whistleblower who exposed the NSA’s illegal surveillance on Americans. Director Oliver Stone [OSTON] has fans as well as detractors among the older demographics, so Open Road decided to take the film to Comic-Con to attract young moviegoers. Tapped into 2443 theaters, Snowden may uncover $9 million.

When the Bough Breaks [WTBBR] did not connect with its target audience as well as Sony Screen Gems’ previous efforts. The thriller looks to drop more than 55% in its sophomore weekend to $6 million

Hillsong – Let Hope Rise [HSLHR] sat on the shelf for more than a year before Pure Flix rescued it from Relativity. The concert film will only appeal to fans of the Christian rock band. Booked in 815 theaters, Hillsong – Let Hope Rise may raise $2 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): WOODS, SULLY, RZELL, BJON3, CFIRT, PDEMP, SNWDN, JGORD, OSTON, WTBBR, HSLHR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, September 15, 2016 @ 03:16 PM 2540 views

Recent Comments

o1nk000
Saturday, September 17 at 03:26 AM Pacific
I took the plunge with a short at $67. What a fortune I just made. Especially as it's to open with under $10m



Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 2 222.54 (+1.03)          Broadsword (BROSW) 15110 55.31 (+0.01)          The Ice Tower (ICTWR) 993 0.03 (+0.02)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 5000 106.92 (+0.10)          Fairyland (FARYL) 3997 0.05 (+0.02)          Verity (VERTY) 6000 39.22 (-0.07)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.11 (+0.13)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.73 (+0.27)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.PU) 25000 5.11 (+0.13)          Fairyland (FARYL) 300 0.05 (+0.02)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 150000 66.56 (+0.92)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 3700 107.53 (+0.11)          The SpongeBob Movie: Search for (SPBO4.OW) 100000 18.73 (+0.27)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Tangled (TANGL) 27500 86.99 (-0.37)          Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol (EBNZR) 150000 66.56 (+0.92)          David (DAVID) 150000 74.41 (-1.45)          David (DAVID) 150000 74.41 (-1.45)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 5000 45.32 (+3.17)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 23.33 (-1.24)          David - Opening Weekend (DAVID.OW) 100000 23.33 (-1.24)          Avatar: Fire and Ash H$125 Call (AVAT3.CA) 24999 2.44 (-0.27)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 1 36.66 (+1.97)          No Other Choice (THEAX) 150000 4.64 (-0.14)          Wonder Woman (WOND3) 60000 61.72 (-0.11)          The Testament of Ann Lee (ANLEE) 150000 7.79 (+0.04)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 113.04 (-3.32)          Avatar: Fire and Ash - Opening W (AVAT3.OW) 100000 113.04 (-3.32)          Mamma Mia 3 (MAMI3) 108898 24.11 (+0.06)          Christine (CRSTN) 150000 17.12 (-0.63)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 442.00 (-2.85)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 442.00 (-2.85)          The Mandalorian and Grogu (SWAR3) 5000 253.67 (-0.27)          Girls Like Girls (GRLGR) 30 6.27 (-0.48)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 5000 65.17 (+0.15)          By Design (BYDSG) 149999 0.49 (-0.03)          Scary Movie 6 (SCAR6) 5000 57.28 (-0.05)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 5000 158.74 (+0.46)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 1164 107.53 (+0.11)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 45000 118.79 (-1.54)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 45000 442.00 (-2.85)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 40000 45.32 (+3.17)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 10000 45.32 (+3.17)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 45.32 (+3.17)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 50000 45.32 (+3.17)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1006 126.97 (-0.29)