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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 4059 views

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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*


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Supergirl (SUPGR) 100000 147.68 (-1.10)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 150000 121.08 (+0.81)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 102 101.82 (+0.45)          The Odyssey (ODYSE) 150000 267.78 (+0.22)          Toy Story 5 (TOYS5) 150000 358.53 (+3.82)          O Horizon (OHORZ) 150000 0.40 (-0.09)          Spider-Man: Brand New Day (SPID9) 150000 415.37 (+0.02)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1 121.08 (+0.81)          Aaron Sorkin (ASORK) 25000 14.39 (+0.20)          Grandgear (GGEAR) 150000 49.69 (+0.25)          Focker In-Law (MPRN4) 1000 121.08 (+0.81)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 117 84.61 (+2.33)          Obsession (OBSSN) 150000 108.72 (+13.24)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 115163 48.83 (+8.83)          Minions & Monsters (MNIO3) 1000 322.96 (-1.77)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 42179 5.76 (+0.01)          Primetime (PRMTM) 10 22.80 (+3.73)          A Visit to Grandpa’s (AVTGP) 150000 3.48 (+0.25)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 1 157.45 (-0.22)          Backrooms (BACRM) 149999 132.05 (+11.83)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 1000 174.95 (+0.94)          The Nightingale (NITNG) 107821 5.76 (+0.01)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.83 (+8.83)          Longlegs 2 (LNLE2) 150000 48.83 (+8.83)          Planet of the Apes sequel (APES5) 1000 48.75 (-1.10)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the (HGAM6) 2999 181.24 (-0.07)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 5000 315.24 (-2.37)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 149999 9.46 (+0.13)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          The Beast (TBEAS) 150000 7.11 (+0.91)          Obsession (OBSSN) 3684 108.72 (+13.24)          Pressure (PRSUR) 2000 13.36 (-1.67)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          The Breadwinner (BREDW) 150000 19.09 (-1.74)          Resident Evil (RESE8) 1 59.99 (+0.01)          The Blair Witch Project 4 (TBWP4) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 21.70 (-0.04)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity (GDCSP) 1 9.46 (+0.13)          Fonda (FONDA) 1 9.66 (+0.04)          The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $39 (MARI2.BW) 5446 18.59 (+0.28)          The African-American Fund (AFRAM) 5144 55.72 (+0.17)          42.6 Years (426YR) 150000 9.08 (-0.04)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          Tuner (TUNER) 150000 3.92 (+0.33)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 54.08 (-0.82)          Tommy Karate (TKART) 149999 12.74 (-0.10)          Masters of the Universe (HEMAN) 149034 84.61 (+2.33)