SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 4038 views

Recent Comments

briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*


Ads disabled on hsx.com
Ads disabled on hsx.com


Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 10.42 (-1.63)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 10.42 (-1.63)          I Love Boosters - Opening Weeken (ILBOS.OW) 166 4.67 (+0.02)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 110000 51.54 (-2.25)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 51.54 (-2.25)          The Amazing Digital Circus: The (AMZDC) 25000 20.24 (+1.32)          Voltron (VOLTN) 150000 22.64 (-0.51)          Fing! (FING) 50000 5.21 (+2.59)          The Rivals Of Amziah King (TROAK) 105000 5.14 (+2.92)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 150000 154.46 (+0.48)          Scary Movie (SCAR6) 150000 78.94 (+0.84)          Godzilla x Kong: Supernova (GOKO3) 150000 156.97 (+0.22)          Fonda (FONDA) 150000 8.01 (-0.39)          The Cat in the Hat (TCATH) 3000 88.58 (-0.33)          The Leader (LEADR) 150000 1.85 (+0.05)          Godzilla Minus Zero (GODM2) 3000 55.65 (-0.05)          Clayface (CLAYF) 3000 86.73 (+0.77)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 14.49 (+0.28)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Blade (BLAD1) 150000 27.67 (-0.10)          Angel and the Badman (ANBAD) 150000 14.49 (+0.28)          Obsession (OBSSN) 30000 22.75 (+0.18)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 61000 13.38 (-0.07)          Them (THEM) 150000 39.00 (+0.65)          Them (THEM) 150000 39.00 (+0.65)          From the World of John Wick: Cai (FJWCN) 90000 40.85 (-0.23)          Animal Friends (ANFRN) 4000 58.22 (+0.10)          Peter Asher: Everywhere Man (PAEWM) 150000 1.00 (0.00)          Octet (OCTET) 150000 20.00 (0.00)          Voltron (VOLTN) 150000 22.64 (-0.51)          Jump Street: Now For Her Pleasur (21JS3) 150000 0.06 (+0.01)          Dune: Part Three (DUNE3) 2 241.32 (-0.14)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 150000 0.98 (-0.02)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 150000 51.54 (-2.25)          The Flood (FLOOD) 150000 67.85 (+3.28)          Gears of War (GEARS) 50000 0.06 (-0.02)          Michael (MJACK) 124554 268.43 (-0.06)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 4.31 (-0.81)          In the Grey - Opening Weekend (NGREY.OW) 100000 4.31 (-0.81)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 77.45 (+0.57)          Fing! (FING) 150000 5.21 (+2.59)          Fing! (FING) 150000 5.21 (+2.59)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 2.01 (+0.50)          Mouse (MOUSE) 150000 2.01 (+0.50)          Star Wars: The Mandalorian and G (SWAR3) 25000 196.72 (+1.38)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 149998 51.54 (-2.25)          The Sheep Detectives (3BAGF) 99998 51.54 (-2.25)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 149998 101.34 (-1.03)          Mortal Kombat II (MKMB2) 74998 101.34 (-1.03)