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Whisper Numbers: How much will Alice in Wonderland find down the rabbit hole?

After spending 3 months on Pandora, moviegoers finally get to feast their spectacled eyes on a new 3D film other than Avatar.   Tim Burton [TBURT] and Lewis Carroll seems such a perfect match that it’s surprising it’s taken this long for the director to put his spin on the classic Alice in Wonderland [ALCNW].   Top box office draw and quirky character maven Johnny Depp [JDEPP] stars as the Mad Hatter in the PG-rated fantasy film based on the book “Alice’s Adventures in Wonderland” as well as its sequel “Through the Looking Glass”.   The Disney machine couldn’t have asked for a better hook for their marketing campaign.  Anticipation and awareness for the film are so high that the opening is unlikely to suffer from the effects of mixed reviews.  Marching into 3728 theaters, Alice in Wonderland could discover around $76 million.

Despite poor exit polls from audiences, Shutter Island [SHISL] held up in its second weekend.  The older-skewing thriller should entice more moviegoers to solve its mystery for another $12 million.

Overture took over the release of the cop drama Brooklyn’s Finest [BRKLN] when its previous distributor Senator went bankrupt.   Without much marketing support, the R-rated film must rely on the recognition factor of its stellar cast, which includes Wesley Snipes [WSNIP] returning to the screen after a five-year absence due to tax problems.  Overture has had success opening similar hard-boiled fares in Law Abiding Citizen and Righteous Kill, though with much wider releases.  Playing in just 1936 theaters, Brooklyn’s Finest may debut with about $10 million

Cop Out [2COPS] did not distinguish itself from any other buddy cop movie.  The disposable action comedy is likely to lose half its opening weekend take and return $9 million in its sophomore session.

Overture already knew The Crazies [CRAZI] is likely to deteriorate quickly when they scheduled Brooklyn’s Finest to open during its second weekend.  The horror remake could scare up another $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): TBURT, ALCNW, JDEPP, SHISL, BRKLN, WSNIP, 2COPS, CRAZI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 4, 2010 @ 04:21 PM 3763 views

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briony_matilda
Monday, March 8 at 20:49 PM Pacific
*Impressed Whistle*



I Know What You Did Last Summer (IKNO4) 3 35.93 (-0.03)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 171.44 (-0.52)          Superman (SUPRM) 3 234.73 (+0.66)          Doctor Strange 3 (DRST3) 150000 173.77 (+0.66)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 5 296.36 (+1.25)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 3 75.40 (+0.01)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 197.31 (+0.51)          The Fantastic 4: First Steps aka (FANF2) 150000 198.81 (+0.18)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 5 83.54 (-0.33)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 6 176.64 (+0.91)          Bring Them Down (BRTDW) 150000 1.65 (-0.28)          Bring Them Down (BRTDW) 150000 1.65 (-0.28)          Zootopia 2 (ZOOT2) 150000 205.72 (+0.50)          Elio (ELIO) 350 134.26 (0.00)          Karate Kid Legends (KKID2) 3 124.12 (+0.29)          Superboys of Malegaon (SOMLG) 150000 1.21 (+0.01)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 5 137.70 (+0.91)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 3 210.70 (+1.16)          Mission: Impossible - The Final (MISS8) 3 162.83 (-0.11)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 150000 82.29 (+0.16)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 3 137.70 (+0.91)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 3 56.69 (-0.04)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 150000 210.70 (+1.16)          A Big Bold Beautiful Journey (ABBBJ) 3 39.59 (-0.06)          Flowervale Street (FLWVS) 10000 56.69 (-0.04)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 3 210.70 (+1.16)          Until Dawn (UDAWN) 50 23.90 (+0.02)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 150000 44.63 (+0.16)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.23 (+0.77)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 3 44.63 (+0.16)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 229.86 (+0.36)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.23 (+0.77)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 150000 229.86 (+0.36)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.22 (-0.78)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 3 88.81 (+0.01)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.87 (+0.81)          Superman (SUPRM) 150000 234.73 (+0.66)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 150000 20.87 (+0.81)          King of Kings (KOKNG) 3 15.53 (-0.04)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 10000 175.51 (-1.04)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 6.14 (+1.37)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 150000 6.14 (+1.37)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 878 30.19 (+1.04)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 299 5.64 (0.00)          The Amateur (AMTUR) 150000 39.92 (+0.20)          Levon's Trade aka Levon Cade (LEVON) 3 24.45 (-0.06)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 26.37 (-0.86)          Heretic (HERTC) 150000 26.37 (-0.86)          Alto Knights aka Wise Guys (WISEG) 33 20.19 (-0.01)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 99 6.14 (+1.37)