SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Patriots Day challenges Hidden Figures

Three new films open on this Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend, while three others expand into wide release. However, only Patriots Day [PATSD] is likely to make noise at the box office. Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reteams with director Peter Berg [PEBER] on a movie about the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing. The R-rated thriller has already earned nearly $1 million in 3 weeks of limited release from just 7 theaters. Their previous efforts, Deepwater Horizon debuted at $20.2 million last September while Lone Survivor opened to $37.8 million 3 years ago. Playing in 3120 theaters, Patriots Day should be able to raise $24 million over the 4-day weekend.

After toppling Rogue One last weekend, Hidden Figures [HIDNF] should get a boost from the MLK Jr. holiday weekend. The real-life African-American heroines could crunch out $23 million in another close race for the top spot.

After 3 weeks of so-so business in 4 theaters, Live by Night [LVBNT] expands wide into 2822 theaters. Warner Bros. slotted the R-rated crime drama as an awards contender, but it has failed to capture any momentum. Ben Affleck [BAFFL] should be a draw for some moviegoers as Live by Night looks to capture $11 million over the long weekend.

Paramount finally dusts off Monster Trucks [MNTRC], their $125 million blockbuster wannabe that turned out to be a PG-rated family film. Monster Trucks has already been written off as a loss by the studio, which further indicates to the public that the film is a stinker. Still, Monster Trucks could appeal to families that’ve already seen Rogue One and Sing. Showing in 3119 theaters, Monster Trucks may rally with $10 million.

Jamie Foxx toplines the R-rated thriller Sleepless [SLPLS]. Open Road targets urban, male moviegoers that came out for the Ride Along films on this weekend in years past. However, there’s been little marketing and no reviews from critics in advance. Arriving in just 1803 theaters, Sleepless could count up $9 million.

STX drops The Bye Bye Man [BYBYM] after a few release date changes. The PG-13 rated horror film has little buzz and could settle for $7.5 million from 2200 theaters.

The historical drama Silence [SILEN] expands into 747 theaters after 3 weeks of limited release. The 3-hours long epic will only appeal to the senior fans of Martin Scorsese [MSCOR]. Silence may bring home $3 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PATSD, MWAHL, PEBER, HIDNF, LVBNT, BAFFL, MNTRC, SLPLS, BYBYM, SILEN, MSCOR

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, January 12, 2017 @ 04:26 PM 1796 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Wicked H$100 Put (WICKD.PU) 25000 1.24 (-0.04)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 8.01 (+0.19)          Gladiator II H$70 Put (GLAD2.PU) 25000 4.21 (+0.04)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 3764 197.30 (+0.50)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 3286 197.30 (+0.50)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.98 (-0.01)          Famous (FAMOS) 20000 21.08 (-0.85)          Nosferatu (NOSFR) 25000 30.30 (-0.01)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 25000 11.15 (-0.85)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 20000 18.54 (-0.86)          Paddington in Peru (PADT3) 6000 51.54 (-0.10)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 150000 5.25 (+0.35)          Red One (REDON) 3757 88.08 (+0.05)          Flow (FLOW) 8 2.33 (0.00)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 278 197.30 (+0.50)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 168 47.11 (0.00)          Heat 2 (HEAT2) 150000 35.04 (+0.10)          Lilo & Stitch (LILST) 14373 137.48 (+0.69)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 212.56 (+1.01)          Love Me (LOVME) 150000 2.13 (+0.01)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 17206 8.01 (+0.19)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.98 (-0.01)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 7991 6.16 (+0.11)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 8.29 (-0.07)          Wicked (WICKD) 100000 288.37 (+0.38)          Venom: The Last Dance $130M Bloc (VENM3.BW) 25000 9.85 (0.00)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 150000 17.41 (-0.06)          The Order (TORDR) 150000 5.74 (+0.02)          10 Lives (10LIV) 99867 6.70 (+0.02)          Karate Kid Legends (KKID2) 18525 123.68 (-0.15)          Drop (DROP) 150000 26.45 (+0.30)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 1752 8.01 (+0.19)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.15 (-0.85)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 72 138.66 (0.00)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 116.96 (+0.93)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 8.01 (+0.19)          Nobody 2 (NOBO2) 150000 30.46 (+0.70)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 27.50 (+0.93)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 52364 283.49 (+0.02)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 212.56 (+1.01)          The Wild Robot $105M Blockbuster (TWRBT.BW) 25000 15.99 (+0.07)          Beetlejuice Beetlejuice $250M Bl (BEET2.BW) 25000 16.35 (+0.07)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.11 (+0.11)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 25000 17.82 (+0.10)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 6699 8.47 (-0.10)          Radha Mitchell (RMITC) 25000 20.45 (+0.12)          Naomie Harris (NHARR) 25000 96.92 (-0.25)          Natalie Dormer (NDORM) 25000 117.99 (+0.33)          Liev Schreiber (LSCHR) 25000 39.35 (+0.25)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 25000 82.69 (0.00)