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Whisper Numbers: Logan to destroy The Shack

March starts off with the superhero blockbuster film Logan [WOLV3] starring Hugh Jackman [HJACK] for the final time in his star-making role of Wolverine. After Fox found tremendous success with the R-rated Deadpool, Logan becomes the first film in their X-Men series to receive an R rating. Patrick Stewart [PSTEW] co-stars as Professor X in a story that combines the comic storylines of ‘Old Man Logan’ and ‘X-23’. The first stand-alone X-Men Origins: Wolverine debuted with $85.0 million in May 2009, while the last installment Wolverine opened at just $53.1 million in July 2013. Logan has earned much better reviews than its two predecessors have which has driven up fans’ anticipation. Advance ticket sales are pacing ahead of all previous X-Men films, including last May's $65.8 million opening from Apocalypse. Unleashing in a record 4071 theaters for an R-rated film, Logan could slice up $78 million.

The breakout hit Get Out [GETOU] enjoys overwhelmingly positive word of mouth. Its opening weekend was under-estimated by 10% due to a Sunday bump, on Oscar night no less. Even against Logan, Get Out could hold 55% of its debut for $18.5 million.

Lionsgate targets Christians with The Shack [SHACK] based on the best-selling book. The PG-13 rated film should connect with audiences in the Bible Belt. The Shack may deliver $12 million from 2888 locations.

Zooey Deutch [ZDEUT] toplines the PG-13 rated fantasy Before I Fall [BIFAL] based on a YA novel. Open Road did not have any success enticing young men to Collide last weekend, and may not do any better courting young women this weekend.  Playing in 2346 theaters, Before I Fall could land $6.5 million.

Fox Searchlight slots the wedding comedy Table 19 [TBL19] into 868 theaters in hope of collecting $1 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): WOLV3, HJACK, PSTEW, GETOU, SHACK, ZDEUT, BIFAL, TBL19

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 2, 2017 @ 04:20 PM 2073 views

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Nick Offerman (NOFFE) 100 51.94 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 1000 71.77 (-0.73)          Last Breath (LBRTH) 10000 17.96 (-0.08)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 2000 71.77 (-0.73)          Rob Delaney (RDELA) 2 93.26 (0.00)          Simon Pegg (SPEGG) 99 139.81 (0.00)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1000 79.78 (-0.93)          Tom Cruise (TCRUI) 2 155.71 (+0.23)          The Legend of Ochi (LOCHI) 10000 15.07 (+0.17)          My Dead Friend Zoe (MDFZO) 10000 7.52 (+1.64)          My Dead Friend Zoe (MDFZO) 149999 7.52 (+1.64)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1340 79.78 (-0.93)          The Piano Lesson (TPLSN) 150000 0.02 (0.00)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 2000 71.77 (-0.73)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 2006 79.78 (-0.93)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 99 71.77 (-0.73)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 15000 12.56 (-0.01)          Hercules (HRCUL) 150000 24.92 (+1.11)          Bob the Builder (BOBTB) 15000 24.27 (-0.01)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 4.56 (-0.07)          The Return (TRETU) 150000 6.76 (+0.73)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 3901 71.77 (-0.73)          Hercules (HRCUL) 149999 24.92 (+1.11)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 432 171.47 (-0.98)          Hercules (HRCUL) 150000 24.92 (+1.11)          Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 97105 130.00 (0.00)          Deliver Me from Nowhere (DMFNW) 15000 24.08 (+0.33)          Levon's Trade aka Levon Cade (LEVON) 149999 24.06 (+0.71)          Vanessa Kirby (VKIRB) 1 61.15 (0.00)          Ving Rhames (VRHAM) 1 126.45 (+0.33)          Levon's Trade aka Levon Cade (LEVON) 150000 24.06 (+0.71)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 106.58 (+0.89)          Mission: Impossible - The Final (MISS8) 101 161.14 (+1.10)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Saint (TSAIN) 150000 15.32 (+4.02)          Moana 2 H$130 Put Wed-Sun (MOAN2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 17.75 (+1.08)          Tim Blake Nelson (TBNEL) 25000 17.75 (+1.08)          Moana 2 H$130 Call Wed-Sun (MOAN2.CA) 25000 2.00 (0.00)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 51907 23.31 (-0.87)          Nutcrackers (NTCRS) 150000 2.87 (+0.07)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 211.42 (+2.80)          Snow White (SNWHT) 150000 211.42 (+2.80)          I’m Still Here (IMSHR) 150000 1.29 (+0.09)          Red One (REDON) 150000 89.04 (-3.91)          David Harbour (DHARB) 3 67.19 (+0.50)          Red One (REDON) 1 89.04 (-3.91)          David Harbour (DHARB) 25000 67.19 (+0.50)          The Saint (TSAIN) 1 15.32 (+4.02)          Moana 2 H$130 Put Wed-Sun (MOAN2.PU) 25000 2.00 (0.00)