SPIN FACTOR®

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Whisper Numbers: Murder and Daddy duel for second to Thor

Two new star-studded films enter the box office arena, but Thor: Ragnarok [THOR3] should easily hold on to the championship title. Despite great reviews, Thor: Ragnarok will lose more than 50% like any superhero sequel. The similar toned Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 dropped 55% earlier this year. The same decline would put Thor: Ragnarok at $55.0 million in its second weekend.

The classic Agatha Christie mystery Murder on the Orient Express [MOTOE] gets a remake from Kenneth Branagh [KBRAN] who directed and starred as Detective Poirot. Johnny Depp [JDEPP], Judi Dench [JDENC], Michelle Pfeiffer [MPFEI] and Daisy Ridley [DRIDL] lead the all-star cast, which should appeal to adult moviegoers not interested in superheroes and comedies.   Reviews for the PG-13 rated thriller are positive. Rolling into 3350 theaters, Murder on the Orient Express could pull in $24 million.

Will Ferrell [WFERR] and Mark Wahlberg [MWAHL] reunite for the PG-13 rated comedy sequel Daddy’s Home 2 [DDHM2]. Daddy’s Home opened with $38.7 million, though that was over Christmas weekend. As with A Bad Moms Christmas last week, it may be too early for a holiday-themed movie. The addition of Mel Gibson [MGIBS] could also turn off more moviegoers than attract his old fans. Daddy’s Home 2 may settle for $23 million from 3575 theaters.

With worse reviews, A Bad Moms Christmas [BADM2] is unlikely to have the legs of the first Bad Moms, which held 59% of its opening weekend. The sequel A Bad Moms Christmas is likely to retain around 50% for a second weekend around $8.5 million.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): THOR3, MOTOE, KBRAN, JDEPP, JDENC, MPFEI, DRIDL, WFERR, MWAHL, DDHM2, MGIBS, BADM2

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, November 9, 2017 @ 03:09 PM 2310 views

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Minions 3 (MNIO3) 24878 201.22 (+1.22)          Better Man (BETRM) 150000 19.97 (-0.17)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 203.09 (-12.84)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.22 (+1.22)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 203.09 (-12.84)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 4.21 (+1.79)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 149999 16.49 (-0.06)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 34.90 (-1.84)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 52240 223.54 (-5.02)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 149999 4.21 (+1.79)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.22 (+1.22)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 149999 125.09 (-7.03)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 203.09 (-12.84)          One of Them Days (1OTDS) 149999 17.27 (-0.27)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 25.18 (+0.56)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149999 4.24 (-0.51)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.22 (+1.22)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 34.90 (-1.84)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5000 201.22 (+1.22)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 44 46.37 (+4.90)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 10000 201.22 (+1.22)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 203.09 (-12.84)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.22 (+1.22)          ABC: Shifting Gears (SHFTNG) 25000 11.00 (-0.15)          ABC: Shifting Gears (SHFTNG) 25000 11.00 (-0.15)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 96314 84.68 (+0.24)          Babygirl - Opening Weekend (BBGRL.OW) 16000 4.31 (+0.15)          Babygirl - Opening Weekend (BBGRL.OW) 78000 4.31 (+0.15)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 50000 201.22 (+1.22)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 50000 203.09 (-12.84)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 69.78 (-0.16)          Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (SUPGR) 3686 84.68 (+0.24)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.22 (+1.22)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 83.13 (-0.44)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 29833 223.54 (-5.02)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 203.09 (-12.84)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 149001 8.31 (-1.76)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 43744 223.54 (-5.02)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 32000 25.08 (-1.56)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 150000 14.32 (+0.35)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 35000 25.08 (-1.56)          Elio (ELIO) 49999 135.96 (-0.46)          Snow White (SNWHT) 49999 199.54 (-0.78)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 7815 223.54 (-5.02)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 10000 4.80 (-0.19)          Hunters In The Dark (HNTRD) 10000 0.01 (-0.01)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.22 (+1.22)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 969 0.01 (0.00)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 150000 371.41 (-1.57)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 150000 371.41 (-1.57)