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Whisper Numbers: Welcome to the Holiday Jungle

With Christmas eve falling on Sunday this year, the 3-day weekend box office will have a slight dip before bouncing back up on Christmas Day Monday. While a slew of new films join the festivities, Star Wars: The Last Jedi [STAR8] will remain the dominant force in the marketplace with possibly $120 million through the 4-day holiday weekend.

Dwayne Johnson [TROCK] and Kevin Hart [KHART] lead Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle [JUMNJ], Sony’s update of the 1995 original for the gaming crowd. Trailers and ads have conveyed a fun and crowd-pleasing adventure. The PG-13 rated opened on Wednesday, earning $7.2 million. Swinging into 3765 theaters, Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle could score another $55 million.

Universal is marketing Pitch Perfect 3 [PTCP3] as the end of the all-female a cappella troupe the Bellas. Pitch Perfect 2 opened with a whopping $69.2 million, which turned out to be extremely front-loaded. Pitch Perfect 3 will likely only appeal to the diehard fans during a crowded opening weekend. Stepping up in 3447 theaters, Pitch Perfect 3 may hit $40 million.

Hugh Jackman [HJACK] toplines The Greatest Showman [TGSOE] target at musical lovers. Fox hopes Zac Efron [ZEFRO] and Zendaya [ZENDA] will draw in younger moviegoers, though reviews are mixed. The Greatest Showman opened on Wednesday in 3005 theaters with $4.6 million and should tally another $18 million over the long weekend.

Paramount opens the social satire Downsizing [DWNSZ] about living life on a miniature scale. The R-rated film has earned positive reviews through the festival circuit, and award buzz for co-star Hong Chau [HCHAU]. However, Matt Damon [MDAMO] has received negative press recently for his views on sexual harassment. Downsizing could gross $11 million from 2668 theaters.

Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Ed Helms [EHELM] star in the R-rated comedy Father Figures [BASTR], a title Warner Bros. was forced to change from Bastards due to objections from conservative markets. Either way, the film doesn’t look funny. Playing in 2902 theaters, Father Figures may settle for $10 million.

Two awards contenders in limited release expand wide on Friday. The Shape of Water [SHPWT] in 726 theaters and Darkest Hour [DARKH] in 806 theaters could each take in around $6 million over the holiday weekend.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor. Happy holidays!



Tag(s): STAR8, TROCK, KHART, JUMNJ, PTCP3, HJACK, TGSOE, ZEFRO, ZENDA, DWNSZ, HCHAU, MDAMO, OWILS, EHELM, BASTR, SHPWT, DARKH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, December 21, 2017 @ 03:55 PM 3013 views

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Disclosure Day (SKIES) 5000 158.74 (+0.46)          The Beatles - A Four-Film Cinema (BEAT1) 1164 107.52 (+0.10)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 45000 118.79 (-1.54)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 45000 442.00 (-2.85)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 40000 45.32 (+3.17)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 10000 45.32 (+3.17)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 150000 45.32 (+3.17)          Split Fiction (SPFIC) 50000 45.32 (+3.17)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1006 126.97 (-0.29)          Babies (BBIES) 149994 10.00 (0.00)          Spaceballs 2 (SPCB2) 4956 111.75 (+0.12)          Disclosure Day (SKIES) 10000 158.74 (+0.46)          Starship Troopers (STRPR) 2500 49.27 (-0.06)          Love is Not the Answer (LINTA) 150000 4.64 (-0.36)          The Mummy 4 (MUMY5) 2500 70.83 (+0.03)          Matt Reeves (MREEV) 25000 152.78 (0.00)          A Great Awakening (AGAWK) 150000 9.41 (-0.59)          Coyotes (COYOT) 3954 0.67 (-0.01)          Animal Farm (AFARM) 150000 13.90 (+0.02)          Alien sequel (ALIE6) 5000 73.73 (-0.08)          Jurassic World sequel (JURA8) 7641 222.54 (+1.03)          Avatar: Fire and Ash (AVAT3) 150000 442.00 (-2.85)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 1000 126.97 (-0.29)          Digger (DIGER) 150000 101.23 (+1.03)          Gatto (GATTO) 5000 112.03 (+0.01)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 118257 59.04 (-0.82)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 59.04 (-0.82)          The Lord of the Rings: The Hunt (LOTR5) 5000 167.72 (-0.10)          Are We Good? (ARWGD) 998 0.03 (-0.01)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 150000 59.04 (-0.82)          Final Destination 7 (FDES7) 2500 65.04 (-0.05)          El Muerto (MUERT) 1 5.10 (0.00)          28 Years Later: The Bone Temple (28LT4) 31743 59.04 (-0.82)          X-Men aka Mutants (XMEN8) 2500 167.03 (-0.23)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Michael 2 (MJAC2) 2500 139.22 (+0.33)          Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (GLHFD) 10000 17.49 (-0.03)          Ghostwriter aka Acorns (ACRNS) 2500 110.32 (-0.37)          Send Help (SENDH) 3421 35.78 (-0.15)          Black Panther 3 (BPNT3) 2500 236.04 (+0.62)          Hamnet (HAMNT) 44 15.63 (-0.44)          The Backrooms (BACRM) 3000 18.91 (+0.04)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Babies (BBIES) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Guys and Dolls (GUYDL) 150000 22.09 (+0.10)          Fellowship (FELWS) 150000 15.00 (0.00)          Star Wars: Dawn of the Jedi (STRW1) 559 126.97 (-0.29)          Harmonia (HARMO) 150000 4.00 (+0.03)          Snoop Dogg Biopic (SNOOP) 150000 27.26 (+0.28)