SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Pacific Rim: Uprising challenges Black Panther

While snow blankets the Northeast and rain pelts the Western U.S., Pacific Rim: Uprising [PACR2] leads five new wide releases. Directed by Guillermo Del Toro, the first Pacific Rim debuted July 2013 at $37.3 million and ended its domestic run at $101.8 million. The sci-fi film performed better overseas so Legendary produced a sequel with a new director and new leads played by John Boyega [JBOYE] and Scott Eastwood [SEAST]. While Warner Bros. released the original, Universal distributes the PG-13 rated sequel, which promises more giant robots vs. giant monsters CG action.  The film is likely to appeal only to the hardcore fans. Hitting 3708 theaters, Pacific Rim: Uprising may score $25 million.

Black Panther [BPNTH.BW] will finally give up the throne in its sixth weekend, but not before mining another $16 million.

Paramount’s animated Sherlock Gnomes [GNOM2] is the sequel to 2011’s Gnomeo & Juliet, which Disney opened to $25.4 million. Emily Blunt [EBLUN] and James McAvoy [JMCAV] reprise their voice roles, while Johnny Depp [JDEPP] joins the cast as the title character, which may no longer be a selling point. Seven years is also a long gap for a sequel aimed at kids, and Sherlock Gnomes doesn’t have the marketing machine of Disney. Playing in 3662 theaters, Sherlock Gnomes may track down $15 million.

As a male-targeted action film, Tomb Raider [TOMB3] is likely to tumble more than 50% in its second weekend to $11.5 million.

Connecting with MercyMe fans, I Can Only Imagine [ICOIM] outperformed expectations and looks to hold strong. A 40% decline would bring in $10 million.

Paul, Apostle of Christ [PAOCH] could be a victim of I Can Only Imagine’s success as they compete for the same faith-based audience. Sony is opening the PG-13 rated Bible epic in just 1473 theaters. Paul, Apostle of Christ may summon $7.0 million.

Bella Thorne [BTHOR] and Patrick Schwarzenegger couple up for Midnight Sun [MDNTS] from Open Road. The PG-13 rated romance will only interest teen girls. Performing in 2200 theaters, Midnight Sun could earn $4.5 million.

Claire Foy [CFOY] stars in the R-rated horror Unsane [UNSAN], whose sole selling point is that director Steven Soderbergh [SSODE] shot it on an iPhone. Bleecker Street has built little awareness. Unsane may commit $3 million from 2023 locations.

That’s the whisper on the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): PACR2, JBOYE, SEAST, GNOM2, EBLUN, JMCAV, JDEPP, TOMB3, ICOIM, PAOCH, BTHOR, MDNTS, CFOY, UNSAN, SSODE

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 22, 2018 @ 02:25 PM 1299 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Maria (MARIA) 100 0.77 (+0.04)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 206.59 (-9.34)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 123198 10.85 (+0.88)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 46.26 (+4.79)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 150000 17.45 (-0.55)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 206.59 (-9.34)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 1 22.72 (+0.46)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 1000 40.48 (+2.58)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.48 (+2.58)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 146543 4.31 (+1.89)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 8.36 (-1.71)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 8.36 (-1.71)          Bowen Yang (BYANG) 24999 80.08 (-2.51)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 500 146.87 (+2.96)          Karate Kid: Legends (KKID2) 900 131.05 (+2.23)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 3.94 (-0.67)          Pillion (PILON) 150000 3.94 (-0.67)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 10000 200.00 (0.00)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 16.02 (+2.63)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 206.59 (-9.34)          Grendel (GREND) 100 21.78 (-0.13)          Dog Man (DOGM1) 150000 54.68 (-0.59)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 15 113.30 (+1.61)          New York Will Eat You Alive aka (ZMBRO) 8 1.58 (-0.01)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 1 200.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 149960 200.00 (0.00)          Sydney Sweeney (SSWEE) 4 78.38 (-0.25)          Charlize Theron (CTHER) 4 102.87 (-0.33)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 150000 30.18 (+2.30)          Ben Stiller (BSTIL) 4 49.58 (-0.16)          Rachel Brosnahan (RBROS) 4 34.90 (-0.12)          Emma Corrin (EMCOR) 6 92.80 (-0.50)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 3 97.97 (+0.25)          Leonardo DiCaprio (LDCAP) 3 119.18 (+0.33)          Florence Pugh (FPUGH) 3 117.42 (+0.33)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Homestead (HMSTD) 149999 16.02 (+2.63)          Kiernan Shipka (KSHIP) 4 79.56 (+0.25)          Ryan Gosling (RGOSL) 4 102.86 (+0.33)          Jack Whitehall (JAWHI) 4 65.59 (+0.25)          Ice Age 6 (ICEA6) 150000 87.32 (+1.37)          Grendel (GREND) 100 21.78 (-0.13)          Cate Blanchett (CBLAN) 4 30.72 (+0.12)          Dua Lipa (DLIPA) 6 99.15 (+0.50)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Jonathan Bailey (JBAIL) 6 89.84 (+0.50)