SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Will Iron Man 2 beat The Dark Knight?

The 2010 summer movie season blasts off with the return of a Marvel Comic superhero in Iron Man 2 [IRNM2].  Robert Downey Jr. [RDOWN] returns as the man in the iron suit, Tony Stark, along with Gwenyth Paltrow [GPALT] as Pepper Potts. Don Cheadle [DCHEA] takes over the role of James Rhodes, who suits up as War Machine. Also joining the cast are Mickey Rourke [MROUR], Sam Rockwell [SROCK] and Scarlett Johansson [SJOHA].  The first Iron Man opened at $102 million and was universally loved by audiences. With tremendous goodwill built up, the sequel will have more moviegoers feel the must-see urge opening weekend.  Trackings indicate the record $158 million debut set by The Dark Knight is within striking distance.  Iron Man 2 has already taken one record from The Dark Knight as the widest release ever at 4380 theaters.  Unlike The Dark Knight however, Iron Man 2 reviews are not as stellar as its predecessor.  Fortunately, the fan favorite is review-proof opening weekend.  With not even a romantic comedy counter-programmed as competition, Iron Man 2 has an open field to punch out $160 million. 

A Nightmare on Elm Street [NELMS] was heavily front-loaded on the Friday of its opening weekend.  The Friday the 13th reboot plummeted 80% in its second weekend last year.  A Nightmare on Elm Street could tumble more than 65% to $11 million.

How to Train Your Dragon looks to cross the $200 million mark with another $6 million in its 7th weekend of release.

Focus Features is opening the documentary Babies [BABIS] in 534 theaters to take advantage of Mother’s Day.  Babies could crack the top ten with around $3 million. 

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.




Tag(s): IRNM2, RDOWN, GPALT, DCHEA, MROUR, SROCK, SJOHA, NELMS, BABIS

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 6, 2010 @ 04:04 PM 3901 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



The Man in the White Van (MITWV) 150000 0.78 (0.00)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 5000 17.64 (-0.36)          Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles seq (TMNT4) 150000 73.79 (+1.69)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 20000 17.64 (-0.36)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 4.22 (+1.80)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 5000 223.54 (-5.02)          Homestead (HMSTD) 10000 16.53 (+3.14)          Return to Silent Hill (SHIL3) 150000 9.26 (+2.17)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 1 35.84 (-0.08)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 149999 202.60 (-13.33)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 14553 35.84 (-0.08)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 50000 17.64 (-0.36)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 7687 46.37 (+4.90)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 4 46.37 (+4.90)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 4 46.37 (+4.90)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 50000 17.64 (-0.36)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 25000 35.84 (-0.08)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 37902 46.37 (+4.90)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 25000 17.64 (-0.36)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 20000 46.37 (+4.90)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 37936 46.37 (+4.90)          Lunik Heist (LUNIK) 24999 17.64 (-0.36)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 50000 35.84 (-0.08)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 37936 46.37 (+4.90)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 50000 35.84 (-0.08)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.52 (+2.62)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.52 (+2.62)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 124.43 (-7.69)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 124.43 (-7.69)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 24878 201.23 (+1.23)          Better Man (BETRM) 150000 19.97 (-0.17)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 202.60 (-13.33)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 202.60 (-13.33)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 150000 4.22 (+1.80)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 149999 16.49 (-0.06)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 34.90 (-1.84)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 52240 223.54 (-5.02)          Freaky Tales (FRKYT) 149999 4.22 (+1.80)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 149999 124.43 (-7.69)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 202.60 (-13.33)          One of Them Days (1OTDS) 149999 17.27 (-0.27)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 25.18 (+0.56)          Hot Spot (HTSPT) 149999 4.24 (-0.51)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 201.23 (+1.23)          The Housemaid (HMAID) 149999 34.90 (-1.84)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 5000 201.23 (+1.23)