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Whisper Numbers: Toy Story 3

This weekend Pixar delivers its annual instant classic animated feature and this year Pixar goes back to the franchise that started it all.  After enduring a very public battle between Disney and Pixar over the rights to produce the sequel, Toy Story 3 [TOYS3] arrives more than a decade behind the previous installment Toy Story 2.  Thankfully, the two companies came together to the relief of everyone.  Toy Story 3 finds Woody, Buzz and the rest of Andy’s toys dropped off at a day care center where they encounter new characters while trying to find their way home.  As expected, reviews have been outstanding on the G-rated film that wraps up the trilogy.  The series has broad demographic appeal from everyone who has grown up with the beloved characters.   Opening 4028 theaters with the added boost of 3D screens, Toy Story 3 could launch to $110 million and beyond.

Last weekend’s big winner The Karate Kid [KFKID] should more than hold its own against the new competition.  Moviegoers have responded overwhelmingly positive to the remake. The Karate Kid could wear down just 30% from its debut and finish second at around $37 million.

On the other hand, the feature adaptation of The A-Team [ATEAM] was met with a lukewarm reception.  The male-oriented actioner is likely to fall close to 50% to $13 million for its second outing. 

The weekend’s other new wide release is the western Jonah Hex [JOHEX] based on a comic you have never heard of.  Josh Brolin [JBROL] stars as an avenging cowboy with supernatural powers.  Megan Fox [MEFOX] co-star in the PG-13 rated film to up its appeal with young males.  Even though the marketing campaign had a late start, Warner Bros. has advertised heavily on sporting events.  Unfortunately, advance buzz has been low and mostly negative.  Jonah Hex may have to settle for a score around $10 million from 2825 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TOYS3, KFKID, ATEAM, JOHEX, JBROL, MEFOX

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, June 17, 2010 @ 03:01 PM 2736 views

Recent Comments

bigbrain28
Friday, June 18 at 12:10 PM Pacific
I disagree, and predict fall-off for KFKID to be closer to 60%
Afammojoe
Friday, June 18 at 16:04 PM Pacific
jonah hex will do 25-30



Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 50000 8.35 (-1.72)          Jonathan Majors (JMAJO) 25000 57.34 (-0.16)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 150000 40.50 (+2.60)          The Family Business Fund V (GENES) 20000 20.67 (+0.30)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 205.44 (-10.49)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 205.44 (-10.49)          Relay (RELAY) 33333 3.01 (+0.04)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 13567 200.00 (0.00)          Hot Wheels (HOTWH) 150000 13.97 (-0.13)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Homestead (HMSTD) 20000 16.18 (+2.79)          Homestead (HMSTD) 100000 16.18 (+2.79)          The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Loo (DTEBU) 150000 25.44 (-0.47)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 14 200.00 (0.00)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 25.10 (+0.48)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 20000 223.57 (-4.99)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 36783 19.22 (-0.33)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 70000 126.86 (-5.26)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 136419 200.00 (0.00)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 150000 223.57 (-4.99)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 100000 205.44 (-10.49)          The Mummy (TMUMY) 140000 40.50 (+2.60)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 75000 147.01 (+3.10)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 205.44 (-10.49)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 126.86 (-5.26)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 100000 46.34 (+4.87)          Black Bag (BLCBG) 149999 27.03 (+0.56)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 150000 126.86 (-5.26)          Nonnas (NONAS) 75000 2.68 (-0.03)          28 Years Later (28LT3) 25000 100.38 (-0.38)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 3500 19.22 (-0.33)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 46.34 (+4.87)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 3000 19.22 (-0.33)          The Smack (SMACK) 35000 0.33 (0.00)          The Smack (SMACK) 20000 0.33 (0.00)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 25000 205.44 (-10.49)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 5500 55.41 (+0.18)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 3500 55.41 (+0.18)          Carrie Coon (CCOON) 3000 58.18 (-0.02)          Gladiator II $150M Blockbuster W (GLAD2.BW) 25000 10.18 (+0.30)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 200.00 (0.00)          Francis Ford Coppola (FFCOP) 5000 14.84 (0.00)          Francis Ford Coppola (FFCOP) 5000 14.84 (0.00)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 16.18 (+2.79)          Wicked $360M Blockbuster Warrant (WICKD.BW) 25000 10.15 (+0.41)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 50000 25.10 (+0.48)