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Whisper Numbers: The Twilight Saga set to Eclipse the box office.

Two new films with built-in audiences open mid-week as the box office head into the Independence Day holiday weekend.  The phenomenon The Twilight Saga returns with its third entry Eclipse [TWLI3].   The sequel has already set a new midnight record at $30+ million on its way to a first day total of $68.5 million, which also becomes a box office record for Wednesday.  There was no doubt the vampire vs. werewolf romance would be highly anticipated by “Twihards”.  The question now is whether Eclipse will turn out to be front-loaded.  Summit has given Eclipse the widest release ever at 4416 theaters.  Good word of mouth should drive additional business over the holiday weekend.  Team Edward and Team Jacob together are poised to haul in $95 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $185 million.

Even though Toy Story 3 [TOYS3] will give up the box office crown after two weeks, the Pixar animated sequel should remain the number one option for a broad segment of moviegoers.  The holiday weekend gives them a chance to check out the beloved characters for the last time on screen.  Toy Story 3 looks to bank another $40 million.

M. Night Shylamalan [MNSHY] has adapted the anime series “Avatar: The Last Airbender” into the live-action The Last Airbender [BENDR].  The PG-rated fantasy is riding in on a wave of bad publicity from casting White actors in Asian roles to the late conversion to 3D.  The film is likely to only appeal to families with young children as the terrible reviews may even turn off the hardcore fans.  Swooping into 3169 theaters, The Last Airbender could gather $32 million over the 4-day weekend for a 6-day total around $42 million.

Adam Sandler [ASAND] and gang have not grown up and moviegoers love them for it.  Grown Ups [GRWUP] should bring families together over the holiday weekend to display around $24 million worth of box office fireworks.

The mild opening of Knight and Day [KNDAY] demonstrated moviegoers are over Tom Cruise [TCRUI].  The action romance may settle for $12 million over the 4-day weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): TWLI3, TOYS3, MNSHY, BENDR, ASAND, GRWUP, KNDAY, TCRUI

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, July 1, 2010 @ 02:19 PM 3458 views

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b4bad
Friday, July 2 at 07:33 AM Pacific
Thursday estimates put it to $16M ... source : http://www.deadline.com/2010/07/thursday-box-office-eclipse-25m-the-last-airbender-16m-toy-story-3-8m/



Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.11 (+0.11)          Vanessa Redgrave (VREDG) 25000 17.82 (+0.10)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 6699 8.47 (-0.10)          Radha Mitchell (RMITC) 25000 20.45 (+0.12)          Naomie Harris (NHARR) 25000 96.92 (-0.25)          Natalie Dormer (NDORM) 25000 117.99 (+0.33)          Liev Schreiber (LSCHR) 25000 39.35 (+0.25)          Josh Hutcherson (JHUTC) 25000 82.69 (0.00)          Hugh Grant (HGRAN) 25000 75.49 (+0.25)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 150000 30.20 (+1.05)          Helena Bonham Carter (HBCAR) 25000 38.18 (+0.12)          Emma Thompson (ETHOM) 25000 53.86 (-0.16)          Tom Hardy (THARD) 25000 152.13 (+0.50)          Juno Temple (JTEMP) 25000 60.66 (-0.25)          Bring Them Down (BRTDW) 75000 1.77 (-0.16)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 288.42 (+0.43)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 143300 8.47 (-0.10)          Relay (RELAY) 144999 3.41 (-0.08)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 25000 175.98 (+0.25)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.98 (-0.01)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 6.26 (+0.04)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.08 (-0.92)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 25000 116.72 (+0.69)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 5000 27.40 (+0.83)          Heretic (HERTC) 2000 27.20 (-0.03)          M3GAN 2.0 (M3GA2) 105 75.39 (0.00)          The Familiars (FAMIL) 45009 15.80 (-0.01)          Stuntnuts: The Movie (STUNT) 150000 21.66 (-0.06)          Crazy Rich Asians 2: China Rich (CRAS2) 17000 33.82 (-0.04)          Ranger's Apprentice (RNGAP) 75009 1.70 (-0.01)          Sherlock Holmes 3 (HOLM3) 45000 15.99 (-0.01)          The Saint (TSAIN) 60000 17.55 (+0.32)          Harbinger (HARBN) 100009 0.38 (-0.02)          They Found Us (THFUS) 19999 15.45 (-0.42)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 20000 11.08 (-0.92)          Micronauts (MCRON) 10000 3.29 (0.00)          Red One (REDON) 25000 88.16 (+0.13)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 1 4.26 (0.00)          Look Who's Talking (LWTLK) 50000 4.26 (0.00)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 1 8.33 (-0.03)          The Fire Inside (FLNTS) 150000 8.33 (-0.03)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 1 17.47 (0.00)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 1 17.47 (0.00)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 150000 197.30 (+0.50)          Wicked H$100 Call (WICKD.CA) 25000 7.92 (+0.10)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 1 10.34 (+0.02)          I Love Boosters (ILBOS) 50000 10.34 (+0.02)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 100000 116.72 (+0.69)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 50000 7.92 (-0.08)          Screamboat (SCMBT) 1 5.80 (+0.01)