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Whisper Numbers: Would moviegoers prefer Hall Pass or Drive Angry?

While Hollywood celebrates its best high-brow films from last year at the Academy Awards ceremony on Sunday, it offers two new low-brow fares for moviegoers this weekend. The Farrelly brothers [FARRE] are back with their latest R-rated comedy Hall Pass [HLPAS]. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Jason Sudekis [JSUDE] star as two married men whose wives let them mess around for a week. The storyline may attract males at the expense of females, who did not respond to the cheating ways in the comedies The Dilemma and Just Go With It. Opening in 2950 theaters, Hall Pass may tally $17 million.

Just a month after his last opener, Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] is back to cash another paycheck in Drive Angry [DRVAN]. The R-rated film was shot in 3D, which is Summit’s main selling point to male action fans. Running in 2290 theaters, Drive Angry could steer away $12 million.

Unknown [UWMAL] connected with the older adult audience looking for another Taken. That could have frontloaded the thriller and lead to a second weekend drop around 45% to $12 million.

I am Number Four [IMNO4] proved not to have as broad appeal as expected. A sophomore frame decline of more than 50% would net around $9 millio.

Big Mommas: Like Father, Like Son [BMOM3] failed to match the opening of its predecessors. The tired threequel looks to fall more than 50% in its second weekend to $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): FARRE, HLPAS, OWILS, JSUDE, NCAGE, DRVAN, UWMAL, IMNO4, BMOM3

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 24, 2011 @ 04:24 PM 2649 views

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The Dog Stars (DOGST) 150000 49.46 (-0.15)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 61.89 (0.00)          Pedro Pascal (PPASC) 25000 61.89 (0.00)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 150000 17.03 (+0.48)          Regretting You (RGRTU) 150000 25.66 (+0.53)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 15.67 (-0.85)          Romy & Michelle 2 (ROMY2) 150000 21.55 (-0.68)          Homestead (HMSTD) 150000 15.67 (-0.85)          America Ferrera (AFERR) 25000 103.98 (+0.33)          Anaconda (ANAC3) 150000 46.22 (-0.15)          Catherine O'Hara (COHAR) 25000 121.81 (+0.33)          Jack Champion (JCHAM) 25000 115.21 (0.00)          Ben Mendelsohn (BMEND) 25000 69.81 (0.00)          Dominique Thorne (DTHOR) 25000 77.75 (-0.25)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 202.49 (+1.25)          Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice (MNANA) 10000 10.86 (-0.16)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 6 18.76 (-0.10)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 6 200.56 (-1.04)          Minions 3 (MNIO3) 150000 202.49 (+1.25)          Jack Ryan (RYAN1) 150000 60.57 (+0.25)          Avengers: Doomsday (AVNG5) 51 464.60 (0.00)          Wicked: For Good (WCKD2) 60 276.34 (0.00)          Ocean's 14 (OCEN5) 270 36.69 (+0.85)          Death Of A Unicorn (DUNIC) 150000 25.87 (+0.69)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 150000 200.56 (-1.04)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 149999 200.56 (-1.04)          Mike & Nick & Nick & Alice (MNANA) 2 10.86 (-0.16)          The Monkey (MONKY) 203 32.23 (-0.03)          The Drama (TDRAM) 126534 17.79 (-0.01)          The Unbreakable Boy (UNBOY) 150000 9.20 (+0.54)          Regretting You (RGRTU) 150000 25.66 (+0.53)          Hurry Up Tomorrow (HUTMR) 150000 17.03 (+0.48)          Blue Moon (BLUMN) 150000 4.42 (+0.05)          Blade (BLAD1) 100000 77.72 (+0.16)          The Drama (TDRAM) 150000 17.79 (-0.01)          The Memory Police (TMEMP) 1 9.93 (0.00)          Golden aka Atlantis (ATLNT) 1 33.63 (0.00)          Eleanor the Great (ELANO) 1 6.69 (0.00)