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Whisper Numbers: Would moviegoers prefer Hall Pass or Drive Angry?

While Hollywood celebrates its best high-brow films from last year at the Academy Awards ceremony on Sunday, it offers two new low-brow fares for moviegoers this weekend. The Farrelly brothers [FARRE] are back with their latest R-rated comedy Hall Pass [HLPAS]. Owen Wilson [OWILS] and Jason Sudekis [JSUDE] star as two married men whose wives let them mess around for a week. The storyline may attract males at the expense of females, who did not respond to the cheating ways in the comedies The Dilemma and Just Go With It. Opening in 2950 theaters, Hall Pass may tally $17 million.

Just a month after his last opener, Nicolas Cage [NCAGE] is back to cash another paycheck in Drive Angry [DRVAN]. The R-rated film was shot in 3D, which is Summit’s main selling point to male action fans. Running in 2290 theaters, Drive Angry could steer away $12 million.

Unknown [UWMAL] connected with the older adult audience looking for another Taken. That could have frontloaded the thriller and lead to a second weekend drop around 45% to $12 million.

I am Number Four [IMNO4] proved not to have as broad appeal as expected. A sophomore frame decline of more than 50% would net around $9 millio.

Big Mommas: Like Father, Like Son [BMOM3] failed to match the opening of its predecessors. The tired threequel looks to fall more than 50% in its second weekend to $7 million.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): FARRE, HLPAS, OWILS, JSUDE, NCAGE, DRVAN, UWMAL, IMNO4, BMOM3

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, February 24, 2011 @ 04:24 PM 2641 views

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Moana 2 - Opening Weekend Wed-Su (MOAN2.OW) 128 138.66 (0.00)          Constantine 2 (CNST2) 150000 67.39 (-0.15)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 12.08 (+0.40)          Margaret Qualley (MQUAL) 25000 12.08 (+0.40)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 1 11.02 (-0.98)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 3.29 (-0.10)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 13.83 (+0.42)          Liam Neeson (LNEES) 25000 3.29 (-0.10)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 13.83 (+0.42)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 150000 176.64 (+0.91)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 150000 8.72 (+0.15)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 27.04 (+0.47)          In The Lost Lands (INTLL) 149980 8.72 (+0.15)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 5000 5.37 (+0.37)          The Man with the Bag (TMWTB) 150000 27.04 (+0.47)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 500 5.27 (+0.27)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 500 11.02 (-0.98)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 150000 24.32 (+0.20)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 150000 24.32 (+0.20)          Bring Them Down (BRTDW) 149999 1.70 (-0.23)          Wicked - Opening Weekend (WICKD.OW) 500 116.91 (+0.88)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.02 (-0.98)          Anne Hathaway (AHATH) 500 19.35 (0.00)          Fred Hechinger (FHECH) 500 20.94 (0.00)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 2000 37.07 (-0.56)          Uma Thurman (UTHUR) 500 7.67 (0.00)          Milla Jovovich (MJOVO) 7500 15.13 (-0.23)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 500 5.55 (+0.78)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 500 4.32 (+0.35)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 150000 2.42 (+0.16)          Y2K (Y2K) 500 16.22 (+0.07)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 150000 2.42 (+0.16)          The Way of the Wind (LPLNT) 500 0.64 (0.00)          Ralph Fiennes (RFIEN) 25000 20.00 (+0.10)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 10000 229.36 (-0.14)          The Accountant 2 (ACTN2) 500 44.47 (0.00)          Everything’s Going to Be Great (EGTBG) 500 2.17 (0.00)          Parthenope (PRTNP) 150000 2.42 (+0.16)          Isabella Rossellini (IROSS) 25000 7.33 (+0.05)          Maria (MARIA) 150000 1.38 (-0.02)          ABC: Doctor Odyssey (DOCODY) 25000 12.81 (-0.14)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 20.76 (-1.17)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.02 (-0.98)          Predator: Badlands (PRED6) 151 52.58 (0.00)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.02 (+0.03)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.02 (+0.03)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 149999 115.16 (+0.22)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 149999 106.91 (+0.11)          The Graduates (GRADS) 150000 0.06 (-0.02)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 149999 17.35 (-0.12)