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Whisper Numbers: Three new films challenge Battle Los Angeles.

A week after the male-targeted, sci-fi actioner Battle: Los Angeles [BATLA] dominated the box office, three new male-driven vehicles enter the marketplace looking to knock off the champ. While Battle: Los Angeles missed with critics, word of mouth has been much more favorable. However, big effects-laden films are often frontloaded.  Battle: Los Angeles looks to tumble about 55% to $16 million, which could still be enough to hold off the newcomers and repeat at number one.

With students out on spring break, the animated film Rango [RANGO] should hold better than 60% to $14 million and contend for second place.

The PG-13 rated thriller Limitless [LMTLS] will test the starpower of new leading man Bradley Cooper [BCOOP]. Relativity has poured on the marketing dollars which included an ad during the Super Bowl. The premise about a wonder drug that unlocks brain power should intrigue a broad audience. Opening in 2756 theaters, Limitless could tap into $14 million.

Seth Rogen [SROGE] voices an alien who escapes Area 51 in the R-rated comedy Paul [PAUL]. While Simon Pegg [SPEGG] has starred in a couple of mega franchises since his last team-up with Nick Frost [NFROS] in 2007’s Hot Fuzz, their popularity may still be limited to the Comic-Con fanboy community featured in the film.  Paul could land $13 million from 2801 locations.

Matthew McConaughey [MMCCO] toplines the thriller The Lincoln Lawyer [LNLAW]. A strong supporting cast has been assembled for the R-rated film targeted at adult moviegoers, rather than the typical female crowd that flock to his romantic comedies. Lionsgate tried to goose advance sales with a last minute deal with Groupon.  Debuting in 2707 theaters, The Lincoln Lawyer could bill about $12 million.

Without any new competition for female moviegoers, Red Riding Hood [GWRRH] could bag $8 million in its second weekend.

That’s the whisper from the trading floor.



Tag(s): BATLA, RANGO, LMTLS, BCOOP, SROGE, PAUL, SPEGG, NFROS, MMCCO, LNLAW, GWRRH

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By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 17, 2011 @ 04:17 PM 5774 views

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Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 150000 5.21 (+0.31)          Brave the Dark (BRVTD) 150000 5.21 (+0.31)          Singham Again (SNGH3) 150000 2.40 (+0.05)          Singham Again (SNGH3) 150000 2.40 (+0.05)          J.J. Abrams (JABRA) 25000 166.69 (+1.00)          Relay (RELAY) 129083 3.44 (-0.05)          Gundam (GUNDM) 150000 14.21 (+0.80)          Lupita Nyong'o (LNYON) 25000 156.44 (-1.00)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.38 (+0.41)          Splitsville (SPTSV) 150000 4.38 (+0.41)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 1000 5.09 (+0.09)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 10000 5.08 (+0.08)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.03 (-0.97)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.98 (-0.01)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 3.70 (-0.45)          They Found Us (THFUS) 3400 15.51 (-0.36)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.03 (-0.97)          Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most (GROM2) 150000 0.09 (+0.02)          Roofman (ROOFM) 12000 20.24 (+0.14)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.54 (-0.86)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.54 (-0.86)          Famous (FAMOS) 150000 21.14 (-0.79)          Reminders of Him (RMNDH) 50000 19.83 (+0.12)          Famous (FAMOS) 5427 21.14 (-0.79)          Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Ve (ASPD3) 10000 208.08 (+0.30)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 6159 18.54 (-0.86)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 75516 18.54 (-0.86)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.54 (-0.86)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 150000 18.54 (-0.86)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 5000 30.20 (+1.05)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.03 (-0.97)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 500 30.20 (+1.05)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.03 (-0.97)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.09 (+0.09)          Werewolves - Opening Weekend (WEREW.OW) 100000 5.08 (+0.08)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.03 (-0.97)          Bring Them Down (BRTDW) 150000 1.78 (-0.15)          Companion (CMPAN) 150000 28.92 (-0.16)          They Found Us (THFUS) 150000 15.51 (-0.36)          Moana (MOAN1) 32662 170.44 (+0.33)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 150000 24.74 (+0.62)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 3.70 (-0.45)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 37.09 (-0.54)          Wuthering Heights (WUTHR) 150000 37.09 (-0.54)          Inheritance (NHTNC) 150000 2.38 (0.00)          Inheritance (NHTNC) 150000 2.38 (0.00)          On Swift Horses (OSWFH) 150000 5.20 (0.00)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 3.70 (-0.45)          The Chronicles of Narnia (NARN4) 150000 3.70 (-0.45)          On Swift Horses (OSWFH) 150000 5.20 (0.00)