HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

We're accurate because of the timing of the halts

Posted by: JohnTEQP on Mar 20, 21:10 in response to phdpens' post HSX Traders & Us as a predictive market

For the first few years of HSX's existence (probably 10 years), stocks were halted on Friday mornings, so we generally didn't have much BO info for the weekend. Now, we all have access to Friday numbers, so by Saturday night, we have a pretty good sense of what the weekend numbers are going to be. And we have Nikki's commentary on Friday/Saturday.

What might be more interesting to study is where derivatives halt on the day of release, or how a stock moves on the day of release. Or what happens post-adjust. For example, does a stock drop or rise on Sunday post-adjust? How well does that predict what the delist will be? RogerMore has some good charts on how Friday numbers predict the weekend total, and how the weekend total predicts delist.





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


Buy Max    Sell All    Short Max    Cover All    Radar

The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 14000 8.66 (+1.20)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 15000 8.55 (+3.78)          Mother Mary (MMARY) 10000 8.55 (+3.78)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 600 11.70 (-0.30)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 10000 11.70 (-0.30)          They Found Us (THFUS) 1000 15.01 (-0.86)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 11.70 (-0.30)          Merlin (MERLN) 50000 0.81 (-0.01)          Alita: Battle Angel 2 (ALIT2) 150000 29.73 (+0.10)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 174.45 (-2.10)          Project Hail Mary (PRJHM) 150000 118.47 (+1.06)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 170.82 (-1.14)          Shrek 5 (SHRK5) 150000 146.52 (-0.66)          Avatar: Fire and Ash aka Avatar (AVAT3) 150000 438.66 (-0.03)          Striking Rescue (STRSC) 150000 1.25 (+0.11)          Striking Rescue (STRSC) 150000 1.25 (+0.11)          Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (SONC3) 1 169.20 (-0.15)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 90000 10.00 (0.00)          Ernest Cole: Lost and Found (ECLAF) 5 0.52 (-0.02)          A Real Pain (ARLPN) 5 7.72 (-0.13)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.66 (+1.20)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 150000 8.66 (+1.20)          Lakeith Stanfield (LSTAN) 3000 27.45 (-0.14)          Red One (REDON) 50000 86.13 (-1.90)          Nick Robinson (NROBI) 2000 18.21 (+0.10)          Anthony Mackie (AMACK) 20000 69.16 (-0.05)          The Last Train From Hiroshima (TLTFH) 26000 45.06 (-0.66)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 15000 280.90 (+2.50)          Wicked (WICKD) 15000 293.55 (+5.56)          Red One (REDON) 10000 86.13 (-1.90)          One of Them Days aka Untitled Ke (1OTDS) 150000 17.46 (-0.01)          The Sequel Fund (SQUEL) 20000 47.13 (+0.02)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Dune: Messiah aka Dune: Part Thr (DUNE3) 150000 170.82 (-1.14)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 137 115.57 (+0.63)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.35 (-0.14)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 150000 0.35 (-0.14)          Cooper Hoffman (CHOFF) 25000 7.85 (-0.05)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 40000 210.74 (+1.20)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 6.44 (+0.22)          Y2K - Opening Weekend (Y2K.OW) 100000 5.70 (+0.70)          Gladiator II H$70 Call (GLAD2.CA) 25000 2.10 (-0.12)          Acorns (ACRNS) 150000 85.01 (+1.41)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 1000 10.00 (0.00)          Acorns (ACRNS) 150000 85.01 (+1.41)          Gladiator II - Opening Weekend (GLAD2.OW) 20000 69.60 (-0.11)          Hard Boiled (HBOIL) 15000 0.01 (-0.02)          Kung Fury 2 (KFURY) 15000 0.02 (0.00)