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Playing & Trading Strategy

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is.....

Posted by: ankurbe on Jan 04, 08:18 in response to thatmichaelguy's post Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated,...

Kill your darlings delists on Monday, accordingly Dane DeHaan will get adjusted on Tuesday. SB is at 17.67 while TAG is at 25.35. Now if you take the gross of his last five movies:

5. Lawless : 37.39

4. Jack and Diane: 0.01

3. The Place beyond: 21.38

2. Metallica: 3.42

1. Kill your Darlings: 0.91

Avergae of the 5 is 12.62 ; so an ideal candidate for shorting and making money. TAG was confusing me.

According to FAQ's, TAG's for starbonds are updated every week. Is this correct? So if the TAG is say 40 and Star Bond price is 20 and is ankurbe Jan 04, 06:53

I'm not sure how often the Starbond is adjusted after their main adjust after their most recent movie has delisted, but it does happen. Willroast Jan 04, 07:11

Sorry didn't quiet understand that...can anyone else help please? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 07:34

No problem bud. I think I may have been a little off anyway. The main thing to think about with Starbonds adjusting to match their TAGS Willroast Jan 04, 07:54

the day that their most recent movie delists (so 4 weekends after opening day) *or 12 weekends in the case of a Limeted release {nm} Willroast Jan 04, 07:57

In your example above where the TAG is 40 and the Starbond is at 20 what is probably happening is that people see that Willroast Jan 04, 08:05

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:02

So Tags basically dont move on a weekly basis (on the basis of the Actors movie's BO) and only on Delisting of the movie? Right? {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:04

** This post has been removed by the forum moderator! ** elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:07

Waiting for Roto... {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 10:20

Technically the tags change when Antibody updates it. But, that's not necessary on any schedule that I'm aware of. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:19

Still, by the time that the tag is updated, by Anitibody, it's too late to make any profit. {nm} elchan2012 Jan 04, 12:20

But it makes it easier to tell which direction is right for the next adjust. {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 13:33

A Classic Example of a TAG increasing well after the Adjust Date is ... (See Inside). RotoHockeyYTD2013 Jan 04, 17:09

My last post should say 'direction relative to the current price" {nm} socby19 Jan 04, 20:11

Will has got this one right. TAGs are regularly updated, but... thatmichaelguy Jan 04, 08:05

Got it guys...Thanks a lot! Reason i am asking this is..... ankurbe Jan 04, 08:18

Martin Freeman is another ARB {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 08:30

HowProfitable.com has these expected adjusts for DDEHA. elchan2012 Jan 04, 08:44

Thanks a lot elchan! I was unncessarily breaking my head. Didnt know this existed {nm} ankurbe Jan 04, 09:24

Still nice to know how things work. There are subtleties that the model can't calculate. Read the top discussion on Star forum about WHARR elchan2012 Jan 04, 09:51





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The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 1000 118.28 (+1.33)          CBS: Georgie & Mandy’s First M (GMFMRG) 25000 9.19 (-0.10)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 5.28 (+3.03)          Mufasa: The Lion King (LION2) 1000 303.90 (+1.50)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 75000 209.78 (+2.15)          Flow (FLOW) 10000 5.28 (+3.03)          Mike Tyson biopic (MTYSN) 9998 0.01 (-0.01)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 5000 80.08 (+5.07)          CBS: Georgie & Mandy’s First M (GMFMRG) 25000 9.19 (-0.10)          Jurassic World Rebirth (JURA7) 1 295.00 (+1.50)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 14 209.78 (+2.15)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 10000 167.47 (-3.03)          The Princess Diaries 3 (PDIA3) 15000 35.75 (+0.21)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 7000 251.00 (-0.48)          The Alchemist (ALCHM) 25000 1.91 (-0.02)          Everest aka Mallory aka The Summ (SUMIT) 10000 0.01 (-0.01)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 50 12.35 (+0.70)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 2000 87.88 (-0.91)          Spellbound (SPLBN) 75000 0.20 (+0.01)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 22500 44.16 (-1.98)          FOX: Murder in a Small Town (MDIAST) 25000 7.96 (-0.04)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 3000 87.88 (-0.91)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 2500 44.16 (-1.98)          Tom Hanks (THANK) 25000 55.86 (-0.16)          Wicked (WICKD) 150000 306.97 (+1.07)          Robert Zemeckis (RZEME) 25000 35.76 (-0.12)          Blade (BLAD1) 8000 89.23 (-0.94)          Robin Wright (RWPEN) 25000 79.32 (+0.25)          Ron Perlman (RPERL) 25000 36.33 (0.00)          Spider-Man Untitled (SPID9) 1000 355.18 (-1.12)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.47 (-3.03)          FOX: Murder in a Small Town (MDIAST) 25000 7.96 (-0.04)          Pirates of the Caribbean 6 (PIRT6) 1000 44.16 (-1.98)          Rainn Wilson (RAWIL) 25000 37.26 (-0.37)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 2024 145.78 (-0.67)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 150000 87.88 (-0.91)          The Legend of Zelda (ZELDA) 81485 118.28 (+1.33)          Mickey 17 aka Mickey7 (MCKY7) 150000 87.88 (-0.91)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.47 (-3.03)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 25000 145.78 (-0.67)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.47 (-3.03)          Werewolves (WEREW) 10000 16.43 (+0.02)          The Adventures of Priscilla: Que (APQD2) 20000 8.39 (-0.01)          Werewolves (WEREW) 20000 16.43 (+0.02)          Him aka Goat (GOAT1) 149999 21.39 (+0.19)          Blade (BLAD1) 12495 89.23 (-0.94)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 12.35 (+0.70)          Flow (FLOW) 75000 5.28 (+3.03)          Alto Knights aka Wise Guys (WISEG) 150000 19.98 (-0.05)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4) 37 63.36 (+0.15)