HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Depends on what happens around adjust, and whether or not it's a good movie

Posted by: JohnTEQP on Dec 13, 13:55 in response to islander's post I have a question for the rich people about holding a...

After the adjust, I look at 4 things: 1) Was the move in the direction I was expecting, or was it the opposite? 2) Was it a minor move, or a major one? 3) What's the buzz, i.e. is it a good movie or a bad one? 4)

For example, I was holding [INVIC] long. Mistake: it dropped H$18. That's a big drop. So should I keep it long, or admit my mistake, and short it now?

I'm holding it long to delist, because I've already paid for my mistake. So the question for me today is: would I buy it at this price, or short it? The reviews have been great, and the buzz seems to be good. It's a serious drama for adults; those tend to build well, so the delist will probably be higher than the adjust. Comedies, action movies, and movies specifically aimed at teens [TWLI2] tend to be frontloaded on the opening weekend, so those are usually a safe bet to hold short to delist.


Tag(s): INVIC, TWLI2





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Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 2500 117.19 (+0.27)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.99 (0.00)          Drop (DROP) 8 26.35 (+0.20)          Flight Risk (FLTRS) 100 30.00 (+0.85)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.99 (0.00)          The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 19.99 (0.00)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 1500 117.19 (+0.27)          Wicked (WICKD) 100 288.49 (+0.50)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 900 196.47 (-0.33)          Ruben Fleischer (RFLEI) 3 105.70 (-0.33)          Ruben Fleischer (RFLEI) 3 105.70 (-0.33)          Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 3 9.44 (0.00)          Sebastian Stan (SSTAN) 3 9.44 (0.00)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 3 251.04 (0.00)          Jon Favreau (JFAVR) 3 251.04 (0.00)          Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 3 99.38 (0.00)          Michael Keaton (MKEAT) 3 99.38 (0.00)          Mackenzie Foy (MFOY) 3 77.10 (0.00)          Mackenzie Foy (MFOY) 3 77.10 (0.00)          The Housekeeper (HSKPR) 150000 7.97 (-0.03)          Relay (RELAY) 75000 3.48 (-0.01)          Paper Tiger (PTIGR) 74999 19.05 (-0.35)          Toby Jones (TOJON) 3 33.51 (0.00)          Toby Jones (TOJON) 3 33.51 (0.00)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 3 10.38 (0.00)          Sadie Sink (SSINK) 3 10.38 (0.00)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 149999 6.29 (+0.07)          Dane DeHaan (DDEHA) 3 60.25 (0.00)          Dane DeHaan (DDEHA) 3 60.25 (0.00)          Gavin Hood (GHOOD) 3 71.37 (0.00)          Gavin Hood (GHOOD) 3 71.37 (0.00)          Elodie Yung (EYUNG) 3 62.53 (0.00)          Elodie Yung (EYUNG) 3 62.53 (0.00)          Rachel Sennott (RSENN) 3 6.60 (0.00)          Rachel Sennott (RSENN) 3 6.60 (0.00)          Rachel McAdams (RMCAD) 25000 112.01 (0.00)          Rachel McAdams (RMCAD) 3 112.01 (0.00)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 3 58.32 (0.00)          Christoph Waltz (CWALT) 3 58.32 (0.00)          Olivia DeJonge (ODEJO) 3 46.51 (0.00)          Olivia DeJonge (ODEJO) 3 46.51 (0.00)          Mena Massoud (MMASS) 3 94.07 (0.00)          Mena Massoud (MMASS) 3 94.07 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 3 90.90 (0.00)          Kumail Nanjiani (KNANJ) 3 90.90 (0.00)          Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 3 60.70 (0.00)          Steve Coogan (SCOOG) 3 60.70 (0.00)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 3 113.03 (0.00)          Danny DeVito (DDEVI) 3 113.03 (0.00)          Nathalie Emmanuel (NEMMA) 3 72.83 (0.00)