HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

The market seems to be expecting some short legs for Rogue One

Posted by: MattW_SlightlyMoreHumbleNow (a.k.a MattW) on Dec 14, 13:13

And they seem to be moving in opposite directions the last couple of days.  Weird.

As of right now:
.OW 168
Moviestock 435
Multiplier 2.59

I am legend delist multi 2.95
Hobbit 1 delist multi 3.11
Hobbbit 2 delist multi 3.11
TFA deslit multi 3.27

Those are the biggest December openers.  Looking at 2005 and 2011 I would expect a slightly better multiplier this year than last year for the same quality/reception, but either way 2.6 is low for any december.  

Although to be fair if you think the pent up demand by normal audiences was satisfied last year then the OW could be very inflated by super-fans relative to overall demand levels for the movie, sort of like Civil War having abnormally short legs compared to other superhero movies, especially given how well it was received.





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Moana 2 (MOAN2) 1 327.40 (+3.30)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 150000 119.94 (+0.56)          Untitled Monsterverse Godzilla x (GOKO3) 150000 119.94 (+0.56)          The Hand That Rocks the Cradle (HTRTC) 150000 23.76 (+0.66)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 145882 327.40 (+3.30)          Guillermo Del Toro (GDELT) 25000 28.97 (-0.25)          The Lord of the Rings: The War o (LOTR4.OW) 100000 22.73 (-0.48)          Guillermo Del Toro (GDELT) 25000 28.97 (-0.25)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 5.27 (+1.63)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 33.83 (+3.83)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 24376 71.78 (+3.32)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 20000 225.78 (+0.59)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1 71.78 (+3.32)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 33.83 (+3.83)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 150000 80.63 (+2.38)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 162.93 (-2.31)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 1 71.78 (+3.32)          Untitled Event Film Directed by (UEFCN) 150000 129.62 (+1.16)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 1 33.83 (+3.83)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 1 33.83 (+3.83)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Untitled Martin McDonagh Project (UMAMC) 150000 1.27 (+0.02)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1 256.82 (-3.47)          The Batman: Part II (TBAT2) 1 256.82 (-3.47)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Weekend in Taipei (WKNTP) 150000 3.61 (-0.25)          See You When I See You (SYWIS) 150000 4.60 (+1.54)          Chante Adams (CADAM) 25000 5.34 (+0.10)          Chante Adams (CADAM) 25000 5.34 (+0.10)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 150000 129.73 (+1.89)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 150000 129.73 (+1.89)          The 4:30 Movie (T430M) 150000 0.03 (-0.02)          Small Things Like These (SMTLT) 150000 1.41 (+0.02)          Top Gun 3 (TOPG3) 20000 225.78 (+0.59)          The Critic (KLTLT) 150000 0.41 (+0.01)          Little Shop of Horrors (LSOFH) 20000 2.99 (0.00)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Day Drinker (DRNKR) 150000 10.00 (0.00)          Bethlehem (BTLHM) 150000 33.83 (+3.83)          Logan's Run (LOGAN) 10000 9.56 (-0.01)          A Winter's Journey (AWNTJ) 150000 5.27 (+1.63)          Bonhoeffer (BNHFR) 150000 14.67 (+0.16)          Killing Gawker (KGAWK) 8000 20.25 (-0.02)          Moana (MOAN1) 150000 179.07 (+1.49)          Jane (JANE1) 12000 19.56 (-0.02)          Moana 2 (MOAN2) 150000 327.40 (+3.30)          Dan Da Dan (DDDAN) 150000 1.73 (-0.03)