HSX Forum

Playing & Trading Strategy

Thank you {nm}

Posted by: kibitzer on Oct 24, 09:20 in response to RotoHockeyYTD2014's post Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>.

Tips For Small Ports. <INSIDE>. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 23, 18:46

Thank you kibitzer Oct 24, 09:20

HALW4 3rd weekend over Halloween was only -40%, so HALW5 may only be -50% (HALW5 2nd weekend was -10% worse than than HALW4) Antibody Oct 24, 13:55

(HALW5) Week 2 just 14.1 MILL. Even with (-60%) Drops Week 3 = 5.64 & Week 4 = 2.26 Delist CashOut = 62.00. Stick a Fork in it - It's Done. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 15:16

(HALW4) OW = 49.4 & Week 2 = 73.0 - 49.4 = 23.6. HALW5 Week 2 / HALW4 Week 2 = 14.1 / 23.6 = 59.7% = (-40.3%) Worse than HALW4 Week 2. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 18:21

No Idea where you got your Horribly Incorrect Info from. (HALW5) 2nd Weekend 8.0 / (HALW4) 2nd Weekend 14.45 = (55.3%) = (-44.7%) WORSE. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 24, 23:32

I provided the source.. I'm citing HALW4's weekend drops, not dividing HALW5 by HALW4. {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:40

HALW5 second weekend drop -80% vs. HALW4's second weekend -70% (so roughly -10% worse) {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:46

Therefore, HALW5 3rd weekend drop may only be 50% compared to HALW4's 40% {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 07:48

That's meaningless info. {nm} RotoHockey 2014 Oct 25, 07:49

Historical comp is meaningless? What's your rationale for 70% drop? {nm} Antibody Oct 25, 14:27

Meaningless without Delist CashOut Projections - which the ROTO Posts provided for both (-70%) Drops & (-60%) Drops with Calculations (MATH) {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 26, 00:37

HALW5 declined 52% in its 3rd weekend to a running total of $60.3M. I show traders how to estimate delists instead of following blindly. Antibody Oct 30, 09:06

Week 3 was a -56% Drop from Week 2. (HALW5) was 74.05 on the OCT. 23 ROTO Post which ACCURATELY Projected (HALW5) to DIVE-BOMB. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:51

WRONG. HALW5 was trading at H$68.5 at the time of your post on Oct 23. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:15

Post was started when (HALW5) was 74.05. (HALW5) started October 23, 2022 at 71.75. You can look it up. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:02

The ROTO Projections showed Traders how to Calculate Delist CashOuts. -56% Drop is Closer to a -60% Drop than to a -50% Drop. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 11:56

WRONG. Roto projections showed -70% -70% to a delist of 59.63. {nm} Antibody Oct 30, 14:17

Headline showed 61.00 Delist CashOut. Also Posted -60% Drops with 62.00 Delist CashOut. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:10

To meet your -50% Drops Prediction, (HALW5) needs to have a Week4 HOLD of -70.5% (64.675 - 60.3 / 6.2. That's a Week 4 DROP of -29.5%. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:12

That should be +70.5% HOLD with a -29.5% DROP to meet 64.675 Delist CashOut. Current Price 65.96. RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 15:16

You're misreading my post. I only said 50% for the 3rd weekend drop. Actual 3rd weekend drop -49% {nm} Antibody Oct 31, 19:33

The Week Box Office is vastly more important than the Weekend Box Office (1/2 the story). You should have Posted Delist CashOut Projections. {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Nov 01, 06:49

Quit while you're behind. {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Nov 01, 16:30

Had you Posted Delist CashOut Projections for -50% Drops (Week 3 - 7.05 Week 4 - 3.525) = 54.1 + 7.05 + 3.525 = 64.675 MASSIVELY BELOW 74.05 {nm} RotoHockeyYTD2014 Oct 30, 12:00

That 'delist below 61' claim looks profoundly stupid today. But who needs insight when you have belligerent confidence? {nm} SenJohnBlutarsky Oct 29, 10:09

Its not confidence {nm} Moviesnob Oct 30, 13:22





Post a Reply

To post to the forums you must first login!


The Horror Fund 9 (SPOOK) 20000 20.39 (+0.06)          Marlon Wayans (MWAYA) 25000 25.00 (0.00)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 6.18 (+3.93)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 696 210.81 (+3.18)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 7222 210.81 (+3.18)          Rule Breakers (RULBR) 11000 5.48 (-0.01)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.37 (-3.13)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.37 (-3.13)          Magazine Dreams (MAGZN) 11000 2.68 (-0.02)          How to Train Your Dragon (HTTYD) 42244 181.26 (+0.84)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 2000 81.75 (+6.74)          Wicked (WICKD) 2000 308.13 (+2.23)          On Becoming a Guinea Fowl (OBAGF) 11000 0.93 (-0.02)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 8033 81.75 (+6.74)          Dear Santa (DSATA) 150000 0.60 (-0.11)          Wicked Part 2 (WCKD2) 2000 210.81 (+3.18)          My Dead Friend Zoe (MDFZO) 11000 7.85 (-0.04)          The Senior (SENIR) 1000 4.78 (+1.21)          Ballerina (BLRNA) 10000 81.97 (+0.32)          Flow (FLOW) 3000 6.18 (+3.93)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 6783 81.75 (+6.74)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 20000 81.75 (+6.74)          Den of Thieves 2: Pantera (DENO2) 20000 28.29 (+0.15)          CBS: Georgie & Mandy’s First M (GMFMRG) 7 9.19 (-0.10)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 194 81.75 (+6.74)          Sinners (SINER) 65993 83.66 (+0.52)          Captain America: Brave New World (CAPA4) 52888 216.24 (+0.90)          Avatar: Fire and Ash aka Avatar (AVAT3) 600 437.15 (-0.41)          Gladiator II (GLAD2) 150000 167.37 (-3.13)          Ariana Grande (AGRAN) 1 90.79 (+0.75)          Fast X Part 2 aka Fast & Furious (FAF11) 5000 131.49 (-0.34)          Avatar: Fire and Ash aka Avatar (AVAT3) 4400 437.15 (-0.41)          Flow (FLOW) 149999 6.18 (+3.93)          Dock (DOCK) 150000 0.02 (-0.01)          Flow (FLOW) 150000 6.18 (+3.93)          Five Nights at Freddy's 2 (5NAF2) 5000 108.01 (+0.76)          F1 aka Untitled Formula One (FORM1) 10000 69.95 (-0.16)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 30000 14.53 (+1.72)          Spa Weekend (SPAWK) 50000 14.53 (+1.72)          Den of Thieves 2: Pantera (DENO2) 20000 28.29 (+0.15)          Wicked (WICKD) 49855 308.13 (+2.23)          Acorns (ACRNS) 30000 84.54 (-0.14)          Robin Wright (RWPEN) 5000 79.37 (+0.30)          Kraven the Hunter (KRAVN) 100000 75.55 (-1.28)          Wicked (WICKD) 1 308.13 (+2.23)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 25000 144.85 (-1.60)          Paul Bettany (PBETT) 20000 144.85 (-1.60)          The Beatles (BEAT1) 97 81.75 (+6.74)          Wicked (WICKD) 6430 308.13 (+2.23)          Sneaks (SNEKS) 150000 14.86 (+1.85)